Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd HK$0.24, price HK$0.17, upside +40.1%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1620 – HK$1.00 · fair‑value band HK$0.0987 – HK$0.5056 · the HK$0.1700 price screens below the HK$0.2381 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property investment and development, and other businesses in Hong Kong, the United States, and internationally.
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Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property investment and development, and other businesses in Hong Kong, the United States, and internationally. The company leases office and residential properties; develops commercial and residential properties; manages real estate; and invests in various investment funds, securities, and other investments; as well as operates as a restaurant. The company was formerly known as Gemini Property Investments Limited and changed its name to Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited in July 2011. Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174) currently trades at HK$0.1700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2381, implying the stock looks roughly 28.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 14 models at a data quality of 82/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0987 (bear) to HK$0.5056 (bull), the price of HK$0.1700 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$795M in FY2025 versus HK$1.2B in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$294M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$159M (≈ $20.3M) · P/S ratio 0.20 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1900 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −36.9% · Return on equity −8.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 28.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 40%, 0174 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0987Fair Value HK$0.2381Bull HK$0.5056
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−24.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
94.9% (2018) → 22.2% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 546 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+40% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−37% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)29% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−16% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.03× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.2× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA6.2× · Cheapest 25%
PEG0.42× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)87· sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)3· sector 65
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Is Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2381 versus a price of HK$0.1700, about +40% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0174?
Our model-based fair value for Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2381 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1700.
What is the quality score of 0174?
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2381 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0987, optimistic scenario HK$0.5056. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2381, about +40% upside versus a price of HK$0.1700 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0987, optimistic scenario HK$0.5056. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$790M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2381 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1700. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0174 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1700, fair value HK$0.2381, a gap of about +40% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0174?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2381). For Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0681 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd at about HK$159M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1700; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2381 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0174?
Our models span a range for Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0987, base HK$0.2381, optimistic HK$0.5056 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.1700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0174?
The PEG ratio of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is 0.42 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0174 from its 52-week high?
Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1700, about 36% below its 52-week high of HK$0.2650 and 5% above the low of HK$0.1620 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2381 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.1700, calculated fair value HK$0.2381 (+40%), Quality Score 44/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0174 calculated?
We run Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2381, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd currently trades 40 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.1700. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2381, about +40% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0987 to HK$0.5056). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The market capitalisation of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is HK$159M (≈ $20.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is 0.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Earnings per share at Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.1900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The dividend yield of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The net margin of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is −36.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is −8.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
The operating margin of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is 28.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174)?
Revenue at Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is growing −16.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174) generate?
The free cash flow of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is HK$100M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd (0174) carry?
The net debt of Gemini Investments Holdings Ltd is HK$7.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 72.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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