Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited (0174) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$159M
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from HK$0.4360 to HK$0.3400 (−22.0%) since Jul 1, 2026. Share price −11.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 66% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1620 – HK$1.12 · the HK$0.2050 price screens below the HK$0.3400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited (0174) currently trades at HK$0.2050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 65.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited generated revenue of HK$790M at a net margin of -37.2%. Revenue declined 16.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.2%. Net debt stands at HK$7.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 66%, 0174 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property investment and development, and other businesses in Hong Kong, the United States, and internationally.
Full company description
Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property investment and development, and other businesses in Hong Kong, the United States, and internationally. The company leases office and residential properties; develops commercial and residential properties; manages real estate; and invests in various investment funds, securities, and other investments; as well as operates as a restaurant. The company was formerly known as Gemini Property Investments Limited and changed its name to Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited in July 2011. Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gemini Investments (Holdings) Limited reported revenue of HK$795M in FY2025 versus HK$1.2B in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$294M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 520 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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