Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Leadtrend Technology Corp stock TWD 25.50, price TWD 44.75, that is 43.0% below the price, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 39.85 TWD – 161.36 TWD · fair‑value band 21.93 TWD – 27.77 TWD · the 44.75 TWD price screens above the 25.50 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Leadtrend Technology Corporation engages in research, development, production, manufacturing, and sales of analog integrated circuits in Taiwan, Mainland China, Korea, and Other countries.
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It offers hi-power controllers, including interleaved transition mode PFC, PFC with LLC, transition mode PFC, PFC with QR, and AHB controllers; mid-power controllers comprising primary side regulator controllers, isolated green mode, isolated high voltage green mode, PSR MOS combo, SSR MOS combo, and isolated HV MOS/GaN combo; SR controller such as, synchronous rectification driver, and SR MOS combo; and USB power delivery controller.
The company also provides LED application products, including 3 in 1 flexible dimming processors, active-PFC primary side regulator controllers, active-PFC secondary side regulator controllers, and secondary side CC/CV controllers.
Its products are used in TV/monitor, adapter, networking, and LED lighting applications. Leadtrend Technology Corporation was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Zhubei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588) currently trades at 44.75 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25.50 TWD, 43% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 25.16 TWD per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the 44.75 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 7.75 TWD, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 21.93 TWD (bear) to 27.77 TWD (bull), the price of 44.75 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Leadtrend Technology Corp reported revenue of 1.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was 30.6M TWD in FY2025, compounding −44.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.8B TWD (≈ $84.5M) Micro · P/E ratio 37.3 · P/S ratio 1.86 · EPS (TTM) 1.20 TWD · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 5.0% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −43%, 3588 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear21.93 TWDFair Value 25.50 TWDBull27.77 TWD
Price 44.75 TWD · Downside -43.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.03 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF24.16 TWD27.21 TWD32.63 TWD82
Growth DCF24.41 TWD27.29 TWD31.98 TWD80
Owner Earnings22.52 TWD25.26 TWD30.12 TWD78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF24.16 TWD27.21 TWD32.63 TWD82
Owner Earnings22.52 TWD25.26 TWD30.12 TWD78
5Y Revenue Exit17.43 TWD18.62 TWD20.46 TWD74
5Y EBITDA Exit25.36 TWD32.04 TWD41.22 TWD77
5Y P/E Exit20.77 TWD24.28 TWD28.71 TWD72
10Y Revenue Exit20.71 TWD22.09 TWD23.38 TWD68
10Y EBITDA Exit24.64 TWD29.11 TWD33.98 TWD70
10Y P/E Exit22.39 TWD25.05 TWD27.59 TWD65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd3.36 TWD5.37 TWD6.46 TWD67
EPV9.96 TWD10.12 TWD10.25 TWD74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM7.25 TWD8.20 TWD9.12 TWD69
DDM Multi-Stage7.25 TWD8.64 TWD10.05 TWD67
Multiples
P/E Multiple10.36 TWD13.82 TWD17.27 TWD63
P/S Multiple6.29 TWD8.39 TWD10.49 TWD58
P/B Multiple126.88 TWD169.17 TWD211.46 TWD55
EV/EBIT12.85 TWD14.44 TWD16.02 TWD66
EV/EBITDA29.13 TWD36.15 TWD43.16 TWD67
EV/Revenue10.49 TWD11.52 TWD12.56 TWD54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)13.64 TWD20.66 TWD25.83 TWD54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF24.41 TWD27.29 TWD31.98 TWD80
Rev-Margin DCF17.43 TWD19.08 TWD21.51 TWD74
Economic Profit
Residual Income14.92 TWD15.86 TWD17.19 TWD76
ROIC Compounder9.96 TWD10.12 TWD10.25 TWD72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E7.25 TWD10.36 TWD13.46 TWD67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.6% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−11.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−13.9% vs −12.0%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.9% a year for the price.
Compare Leadtrend Technology Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 369 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside−43.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.2% · Below median
Return on assets1.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)5.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)10.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)26.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)37.3× · Pricier than median
P/B1.58× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.86× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)19.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA19.9× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)46· sector 21
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 25.50 TWD versus a price of 44.75 TWD, about 43% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3588?
Our model-based fair value for Leadtrend Technology Corp is 25.50 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 44.75 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3588?
Leadtrend Technology Corp has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 25.50 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 21.93 TWD, optimistic scenario 27.77 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Leadtrend Technology Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 25.50 TWD, about 43% lower versus a price of 44.75 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 21.93 TWD, optimistic scenario 27.77 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
Leadtrend Technology Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Leadtrend Technology Corp pay a dividend?
Leadtrend Technology Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 2.29% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
Leadtrend Technology Corp has a dividend yield of 2.3%.
What growth is priced into Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Leadtrend Technology Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +12.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.4 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3588 use?
Our models discount Leadtrend Technology Corp at 14.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.23, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Leadtrend Technology Corp that is +12.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (14.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Leadtrend Technology Corp grew -1.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +12.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Leadtrend Technology Corp (+12.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.36 %: that much free cash flow Leadtrend Technology Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Leadtrend Technology Corp it is 25.50 TWD per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of 44.75 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Leadtrend Technology Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, 3588 trades above its calculated fair value: price 44.75 TWD, fair value 25.50 TWD, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3588?
No. The price is what the market pays today (44.75 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (25.50 TWD). For Leadtrend Technology Corp the two are 19.25 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Leadtrend Technology Corp worth?
The market values Leadtrend Technology Corp at about 2.8B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is 44.75 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 25.50 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3588?
Our models span a range for Leadtrend Technology Corp: cautious scenario 21.93 TWD, base 25.50 TWD, optimistic 27.77 TWD per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price 44.75 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3588?
Leadtrend Technology Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.3 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 25.50 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 19.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
Balance-sheet figures for Leadtrend Technology Corp (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 4.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3588 from its 52-week high?
Leadtrend Technology Corp trades at 44.75 TWD, about 41% below its 52-week high of 75.90 TWD and 6% above the low of 42.25 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 25.50 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Leadtrend Technology Corp?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Leadtrend Technology Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price 44.75 TWD, calculated fair value 25.50 TWD (−43%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3588 calculated?
We run Leadtrend Technology Corp through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 25.50 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Leadtrend Technology Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 44.75 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 25.50 TWD, about 43% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Leadtrend Technology Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (27.77 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588) come from?
Earnings per share at Leadtrend Technology Corp grew −4.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.8 %, EBIT margin −10.2 %, tax rate +2.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Leadtrend Technology Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
The market capitalisation of Leadtrend Technology Corp is 2.8B TWD (≈ $84.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Leadtrend Technology Corp is 1.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
Earnings per share at Leadtrend Technology Corp are 1.20 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
The dividend yield of Leadtrend Technology Corp is 2.3% (payout 85.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
The net margin of Leadtrend Technology Corp is 5.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Leadtrend Technology Corp is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Leadtrend Technology Corp is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
The operating margin of Leadtrend Technology Corp is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
Revenue at Leadtrend Technology Corp is growing +26.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588)?
Earnings per share at Leadtrend Technology Corp are growing +23.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Leadtrend Technology Corp (3588) hold?
Leadtrend Technology Corp holds more cash than debt, 501M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 9, 2026