Leadtrend Technology Corporation (3588) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 3.5B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 11.97 TWD to 19.50 TWD (+62.9%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −13.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (22.89 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 39.85 TWD – 161.36 TWD · fair‑value band 16.37 TWD – 22.89 TWD · the 57.90 TWD price screens above the 19.50 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Leadtrend Technology Corporation (3588) currently trades at 57.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.50 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 66.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Leadtrend Technology Corporation generated revenue of 1.4B TWD at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue grew 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 501M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 16.37 TWD (bear case) to 22.89 TWD (bull case); at 57.90 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -66%, 3588 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (25.16 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (5.37 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Leadtrend Technology Corporation engages in research, development, production, manufacturing, and sales of analog integrated circuits in Taiwan, Mainland China, Korea, and Other countries.
Full company description
Leadtrend Technology Corporation engages in research, development, production, manufacturing, and sales of analog integrated circuits in Taiwan, Mainland China, Korea, and Other countries. It offers hi-power controllers, including interleaved transition mode PFC, PFC with LLC, transition mode PFC, PFC with QR, and AHB controllers; mid-power controllers comprising primary side regulator controllers, isolated green mode, isolated high voltage green mode, PSR MOS combo, SSR MOS combo, and isolated HV MOS/GaN combo; SR controller such as, synchronous rectification driver, and SR MOS combo; and USB power delivery controller. The company also provides LED application products, including 3 in 1 flexible dimming processors, active-PFC primary side regulator controllers, active-PFC secondary side regulator controllers, and secondary side CC/CV controllers. Its products are used in TV/monitor, adapter, networking, and LED lighting applications. Leadtrend Technology Corporation was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Zhubei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Leadtrend Technology Corporation reported revenue of 1.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was 30.6M TWD in FY2025, compounding −44.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
3588 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 318 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $398.37 | $207.49 | -48% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €367.75 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €784.90 | €185.67 | -76% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €425.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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