Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shanyuan Co Ltd stock TWD 13.63, price TWD 10.40, upside +31.1%, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9.33 TWD – 109.85 TWD · fair‑value band 10.17 TWD – 14.84 TWD · the 10.40 TWD price screens below the 13.63 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Shanyuan Co., Ltd. engages in the building of commercial buildings, and trading of related decoration material in Taiwan. It is also involved in rental and sale of commercial office buildings and stores, as well as operate hydropower project.
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The company was formerly known as Fu Chan Industrial Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanyuan Co., Ltd. in January 2008. Shanyuan Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416) currently trades at 10.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.63 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 24% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 21.02 TWD per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the 10.40 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 2.80 TWD, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 10.17 TWD (bear) to 14.84 TWD (bull), the price of 10.40 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Shanyuan Co Ltd reported revenue of 404M TWD in FY2024 versus 136M TWD in FY2020, a compound +31.4%/yr. Reported net income was 5.8M TWD in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 758M TWD (≈ $23.1M) Micro · P/E ratio 4.0 · P/S ratio 0.24 · EPS (TTM) 2.61 TWD · Net margin 7.3% · Return on equity 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 23.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 31%, 4416 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear10.17 TWDFair Value 13.63 TWDBull14.84 TWD
Price 10.40 TWD · Upside +31.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.61 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+246.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+64.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−83.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−83.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2018 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−24% → 14%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 471 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+31.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)12.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)7.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)23.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)245.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.67× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanyuan Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4416
Frequently asked questions
Is Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.63 TWD versus a price of 10.40 TWD, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4416?
Our model-based fair value for Shanyuan Co Ltd is 13.63 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 10.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4416?
Shanyuan Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.63 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 10.17 TWD, optimistic scenario 14.84 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanyuan Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.63 TWD, about +31% upside versus a price of 10.40 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 10.17 TWD, optimistic scenario 14.84 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanyuan Co Ltd it is 13.63 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 10.40 TWD. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Shanyuan Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 4416 trades below its calculated fair value: price 10.40 TWD, fair value 13.63 TWD, a gap of about +31% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4416?
No. The price is what the market pays today (10.40 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.63 TWD). For Shanyuan Co Ltd the two are 3.23 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanyuan Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shanyuan Co Ltd at about 758M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 10.40 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 13.63 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4416?
Our models span a range for Shanyuan Co Ltd: cautious scenario 10.17 TWD, base 13.63 TWD, optimistic 14.84 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 10.40 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4416?
Shanyuan Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 13.63 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 9.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanyuan Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 12.7%, debt of 3.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4416 from its 52-week high?
Shanyuan Co Ltd trades at 10.40 TWD, about 79% below its 52-week high of 49.60 TWD and 11% above the low of 9.33 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.63 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanyuan Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanyuan Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 10.40 TWD, calculated fair value 13.63 TWD (+31%), Quality Score 34/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4416 calculated?
We run Shanyuan Co Ltd through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 13.63 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Shanyuan Co Ltd currently trades 24% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 10.40 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 13.63 TWD, about +31% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanyuan Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Shanyuan Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The market capitalisation of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 758M TWD (≈ $23.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 0.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Earnings per share at Shanyuan Co Ltd are 2.61 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The net margin of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 7.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The operating margin of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 23.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Revenue at Shanyuan Co Ltd is growing +245% versus a year earlier (3y avg +64.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Earnings per share at Shanyuan Co Ltd are growing +179% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416) generate?
The free cash flow of Shanyuan Co Ltd is −123M TWD (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416) carry?
The net debt of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 11.8B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026