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Shanyuan Co (4416) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TW · Market cap 769M TWD

Price12.20 TWD
Fair Value1.36 TWD
Upside-88.9%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range 1.02 TWD – 1.70 TWD

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

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Analysis

Shanyuan Co (4416) currently trades at 12.20 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.36 TWD — implying the stock looks roughly 88.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Shanyuan Co., Ltd. engages in the building of commercial buildings, and trading of related decoration material in Taiwan. It is also involved in rental and sale of commercial office buildings and stores, as well as operate hydropower project. The company was formerly known as Fu Chan Industrial Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanyuan Co., Ltd. in January 2008. Shanyuan Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanyuan Co (4416) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.36 TWD versus a price of 12.20 TWD — about −89% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 4416?
Our 21-model fair value for Shanyuan Co is 1.36 TWD (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 12.20 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4416?
Shanyuan Co has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.