Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Shanyuan Co Ltd TWD 13.48, price TWD 14.10, upside -4.4%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 9.33 TWD – 109.85 TWD · the 14.10 TWD price screens above the 13.48 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shanyuan Co., Ltd. engages in the building of commercial buildings, and trading of related decoration material in Taiwan. It is also involved in rental and sale of commercial office buildings and stores, as well as operate hydropower project. The company was formerly known as Fu Chan Industrial Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanyuan Co., Ltd.
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Shanyuan Co., Ltd. engages in the building of commercial buildings, and trading of related decoration material in Taiwan. It is also involved in rental and sale of commercial office buildings and stores, as well as operate hydropower project. The company was formerly known as Fu Chan Industrial Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanyuan Co., Ltd. in January 2008. Shanyuan Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416) currently trades at 14.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.48 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 4.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 14.75 TWD per share, and 1 of the 4 models we run sit above the 14.10 TWD price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 1.36 TWD, and 3 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Shanyuan Co Ltd reported revenue of 404M TWD in FY2024 versus 136M TWD in FY2020, a compound +31.4%/yr. Reported net income was 5.8M TWD in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 967M TWD (≈ $30.4M) · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) −0.6400 TWD · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin 42.6% · Revenue growth (YoY) +28.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −4%, 4416 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 13.48 TWDFair Value 13.48 TWDBull 13.48 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+246.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+64.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.3%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−83.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−83.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2018 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−24% → 14%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 546 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)43% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth29% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.67× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanyuan Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4416
Frequently asked questions
Is Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.48 TWD versus a price of 14.10 TWD, about −4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 4416?
Our model-based fair value for Shanyuan Co Ltd is 13.48 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4416?
Shanyuan Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.48 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanyuan Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.48 TWD, about −4% upside versus a price of 14.10 TWD (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanyuan Co Ltd it is 13.48 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 14.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanyuan Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4416 trades above its calculated fair value: price 14.10 TWD, fair value 13.48 TWD, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4416?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.48 TWD). For Shanyuan Co Ltd the two are 0.6200 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanyuan Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shanyuan Co Ltd at about 967M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 14.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 13.48 TWD per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanyuan Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.5%, debt of 3.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4416 from its 52-week high?
Shanyuan Co Ltd trades at 14.10 TWD, about 76% below its 52-week high of 59.60 TWD and 51% above the low of 9.33 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.48 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanyuan Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanyuan Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 14.10 TWD, calculated fair value 13.48 TWD (−4%), Quality Score 34/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4416 calculated?
We run Shanyuan Co Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 13.48 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanyuan Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 14.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 13.48 TWD, about −4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanyuan Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (13.48 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Shanyuan Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The market capitalisation of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 967M TWD (≈ $30.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 0.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Earnings per share at Shanyuan Co Ltd are −0.6400 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The net margin of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 1.4% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
The operating margin of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 42.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Revenue at Shanyuan Co Ltd is growing +28.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +64.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416)?
Earnings per share at Shanyuan Co Ltd are growing +397% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416) generate?
The free cash flow of Shanyuan Co Ltd is −123M TWD (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shanyuan Co Ltd (4416) carry?
The net debt of Shanyuan Co Ltd is 11.8B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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