Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd stock ¥6.75, price ¥4.72, upside +43.1%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.44 – ¥9.67 · fair‑value band ¥5.06 – ¥8.44 · the ¥4.72 price screens below the ¥6.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of steel pipes in China.
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The company offers steel pipes, including hot-dip galvanized, straight seam, plastic-lined and coated composite, galvanized seamless, spiral seam double-sided submerged arc welded, and square rectangular welded steel pipes; stainless steel pipes and fittings; hot-dip galvanized rectangular tubes; pipe fittings; and socket-type disc-type steel pipe support under the Youfa and Zhengjinyuan brands.
It also exports its products to North America, South America, Europe, Africa, Oceania, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Tianjin, China.
Stock analysis
Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686) currently trades at ¥4.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.75, implying the stock looks roughly 30% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥11.61 per share, and 19 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥4.72 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.59, and 5 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥5.06 (bear) to ¥8.44 (bull), the price of ¥4.72 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd reported revenue of 50.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 66.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 680M CNY in FY2025, compounding +2.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.9B CNY (≈ $1.0B) Small · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.4500 · Dividend yield 12.7% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 43%, 601686 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥5.06Fair Value ¥6.75Bull¥8.44
Price ¥4.72 · Upside +43.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF¥9.28¥10.48¥12.5582
Growth DCF¥9.41¥10.56¥12.3880
Owner Earnings¥6.52¥6.83¥7.3678
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥9.28¥10.48¥12.5582
Owner Earnings¥6.52¥6.83¥7.3678
5Y Revenue Exit¥10.16¥12.47¥15.8374
5Y EBITDA Exit¥10.93¥13.80¥17.5977
5Y P/E Exit¥10.03¥12.24¥14.8972
10Y Revenue Exit¥9.62¥11.22¥12.9568
10Y EBITDA Exit¥10.19¥11.99¥13.9270
10Y P/E Exit¥9.68¥11.09¥12.4365
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥3.12¥3.82¥4.2967
EPV¥9.66¥10.25¥10.7574
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥2.46¥2.67¥2.9769
DDM Multi-Stage¥2.46¥2.97¥3.6467
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥5.85¥7.81¥9.7663
P/S Multiple¥5.85¥7.81¥9.7658
P/B Multiple¥4.57¥6.10¥7.6255
EV/EBIT¥12.91¥15.11¥17.3066
EV/EBITDA¥13.99¥16.55¥19.1167
EV/Revenue¥12.03¥14.48¥16.9254
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥1.93¥2.59¥3.8654
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥9.41¥10.56¥12.3880
Rev-Margin DCF¥10.16¥12.56¥15.4974
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥3.91¥4.27¥4.8676
ROIC Compounder¥9.66¥10.25¥10.7572
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥4.17¥5.96¥7.7467
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +7.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)12.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5.5% vs 1.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 2%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 54% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
Compare Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 410 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+43.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.6% · Above median
Return on assets2.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)1.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)1.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)12.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)10.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.03× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.14× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)13.1× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601686
Frequently asked questions
Is Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.75 versus a price of ¥4.72, about +43% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601686?
Our model-based fair value for Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd is ¥6.75 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.72.
What is the quality score of 601686?
Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.75 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.06, optimistic scenario ¥8.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.75, about +43% upside versus a price of ¥4.72 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.06, optimistic scenario ¥8.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 50.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 12.71% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.6 per share a year, a dividend yield of 12.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Jan 21, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2021. The payout ratio is 133% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.60 times. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What growth is priced into Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.9 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 601686 use?
Our models discount Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.46, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd grew +0.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of less than minus 40 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.62 %: that much free cash flow Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd it is ¥6.75 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥4.72. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 601686 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥4.72, fair value ¥6.75, a gap of about +43% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601686?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.75). For Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd the two are ¥2.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd worth?
The market values Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd at about 6.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.72; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601686?
Our models span a range for Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.06, base ¥6.75, optimistic ¥8.44 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥4.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601686?
Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.75 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2020 to 2025), reported earnings: 16.8. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 9.6%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601686 from its 52-week high?
Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd trades at ¥4.72, about 27% below its 52-week high of ¥6.44 and 3% above the low of ¥4.60 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥4.72, calculated fair value ¥6.75 (+43%), Quality Score 49/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601686 calculated?
We run Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥6.75 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd currently trades 30% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥4.72. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.75, about +43% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (49/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥5.06). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
The market capitalisation of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd is 6.9B CNY (≈ $1.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd is 0.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
Earnings per share at Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd are ¥0.4500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
The dividend yield of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd is 12.7% (payout 133%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
The net margin of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd is 1.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
The operating margin of Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
Revenue at Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd is growing +6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686)?
Earnings per share at Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd are growing −13.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd (601686) hold?
Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 9.4B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 5, 2026