Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech stock ¥7.99, price ¥7.06, upside +13.2%, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.74 – ¥11.95 · fair‑value band ¥4.61 – ¥9.99 · the ¥7.06 price screens below the ¥7.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech(Group)Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells civil explosives.
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The company's products include expanded ammonium nitrate explosives, emulsion explosives, industrial electronic detonators, detonating cord detonators, plastic detonating cords, industrial detonating cords, and on-site mixed explosives; and industrial explosives, detonators, and cables.
It also engages in the production and sale of chemical products, such as liquid ammonia, urea, nitric acid, ammonium nitrate, nitro compound fertilizer, melamine, UAN liquid fertilizer, and dilute ammonia water; fertilizers, and liquefied natural gas; and blasting services, hazardous materials transportation; transportation of dangerous goods and natural gas pipeline transportation business.
In addition, the company provides engineering blasting services comprising drilling and transportation; and professional services, such as blasting scheme design, blasting engineering supervision, and planning and implementation of integrated mine blasting solutions, as well as security guard, leasing; business management, education, and commerce services.
The company also exports its products. The company serves coal mining, metal and non-metal mining, infrastructure construction, agriculture, and industrial production sectors. Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech(Group)Co.,Ltd was founded in 1958 and is based in Urumqi, China.
Stock analysis
Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227) currently trades at ¥7.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.99, implying the stock looks roughly 12% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥8.48 per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥7.06 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.78, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥4.61 (bear) to ¥9.99 (bull), the price of ¥7.06 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech reported revenue of 5.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound 0.0%/yr. Reported net income was 504M CNY in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.6B CNY (≈ $1.1B) Small · P/E ratio 15.7 · P/S ratio 1.45 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.4500 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 9.1% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 13%, 603227 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥4.61Fair Value ¥7.99Bull¥9.99
Price ¥7.06 · Upside +13.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2573 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +20.5% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+25.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23.6% vs 11.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 13%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.7% a year for the price.
Compare Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 728 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+13.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.2% · Above median
Return on assets5.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)9.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)14.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−10.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)15.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.47× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.45× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)30.3× · Pricier than median
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Is Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.99 versus a price of ¥7.06, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 603227?
Our model-based fair value for Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech is ¥7.99 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.06.
What is the quality score of 603227?
Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.99 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.61, optimistic scenario ¥9.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.99, about +13% upside versus a price of ¥7.06 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.61, optimistic scenario ¥9.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech pay a dividend?
Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech currently shows a dividend yield of 2.12% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech pays a dividend of ¥0.15 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.1%. The last ex-dividend date was May 22, 2026. The payout ratio is 33.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.56 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech would have to grow free cash flow by +22.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.9 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 603227 use?
Our models discount Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech that is +22.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech grew +21.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +22.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (+22.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.30 %: that much free cash flow Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech it is ¥7.99 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥7.06. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 603227 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥7.06, fair value ¥7.99, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603227?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.99). For Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech the two are ¥0.9300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech worth?
The market values Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech at about 7.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.06; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603227?
Our models span a range for Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech: cautious scenario ¥4.61, base ¥7.99, optimistic ¥9.99 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥7.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 603227?
Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.7 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥7.99 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 17.7. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 9.2%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603227 from its 52-week high?
Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech trades at ¥7.06, about 33% below its 52-week high of ¥10.49 and 5% above the low of ¥6.73 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥7.06, calculated fair value ¥7.99 (+13%), Quality Score 48/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603227 calculated?
We run Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥7.99 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech currently trades 12% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ¥7.06. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.99, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech right now?
A fairly wide model range (¥4.61 to ¥9.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227) come from?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech grew +15.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.8 %, EBIT margin +2.3 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech
How large is the market capitalisation of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
The market capitalisation of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech is 7.6B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech is 1.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech are ¥0.4500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
The dividend yield of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech is 2.1% (payout 33.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
The net margin of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech is 9.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech is 16.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
The operating margin of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech is 14.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
Revenue at Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech is growing −10.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227)?
Earnings per share at Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech are growing −30.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech (603227) carry?
The net debt of Xinjiang Xuefeng Sci-Tech is 542M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026