Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Aero Win Technology Corp stock TWD 9.55, price TWD 30.80, that is 69.0% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.60 TWD – 66.80 TWD · fair‑value band 8.60 TWD – 12.41 TWD · the 30.80 TWD price screens above the 9.55 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.
Follow Aero Win Technology in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Aero Win Technology is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Aero Win Technology Corporation manufactures various products for the aviation industry in Taiwan and internationally.
Show moreShow less
The company offers super alloy sheet metal and machining parts assemblies, including oil collectors, plenum air inlets, rear and front flanges, oil cover inlets, SAGB casings, and bearing supports; and super alloy sheet metal forming parts, such as cooling inserts of vane, brackets, and combustion liners.
It also offers super alloy forging precision machining parts comprising combustion chamber liners, inner and outer rings for stators, flanges for stators, curvic ring assemblies, inlet housings, and diffuser cases.
Aero Win Technology Corporation was founded in 1974 and is based in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) currently trades at 30.80 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.55 TWD, 69% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 11.47 TWD per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the 30.80 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 5.59 TWD, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 8.60 TWD (bear) to 12.41 TWD (bull), the price of 30.80 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Aero Win Technology Corp reported revenue of 961M TWD in FY2025 versus 352M TWD in FY2021, a compound +28.6%/yr. Reported net income was 37.4M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.1B TWD (≈ $64.4M) Micro · P/E ratio 22.6 · P/S ratio 2.26 · EPS (TTM) 1.36 TWD · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 9.9% · Return on equity 10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −69%, 8222 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear8.60 TWDFair Value 9.55 TWDBull12.41 TWD
Price 30.80 TWD · Downside -69.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8661 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−2.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.4% vs −6.2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−10% → 7%
Compare Aero Win Technology Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−69.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.3% · Above median
Return on assets1.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)9.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)16.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−2.4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.82× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)22.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.35× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)2.26× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA14.5× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 65
PAST (return on equity)41· sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)59· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)23· sector 19
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.55 TWD versus a price of 30.80 TWD, about 69% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8222?
Our model-based fair value for Aero Win Technology Corp is 9.55 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 30.80 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8222?
Aero Win Technology Corp has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9.55 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.60 TWD, optimistic scenario 12.41 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aero Win Technology Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9.55 TWD, about 69% lower versus a price of 30.80 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 8.60 TWD, optimistic scenario 12.41 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Aero Win Technology Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 936M TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Aero Win Technology Corp pay a dividend?
Aero Win Technology Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 1.14% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Aero Win Technology Corp pays a dividend of 0.35 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 16, 2026. The payout ratio is 25.7% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aero Win Technology Corp it is 9.55 TWD per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of 30.80 TWD. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Aero Win Technology Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, 8222 trades above its calculated fair value: price 30.80 TWD, fair value 9.55 TWD, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8222?
No. The price is what the market pays today (30.80 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9.55 TWD). For Aero Win Technology Corp the two are 21.25 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aero Win Technology Corp worth?
The market values Aero Win Technology Corp at about 2.1B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is 30.80 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 9.55 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8222?
Our models span a range for Aero Win Technology Corp: cautious scenario 8.60 TWD, base 9.55 TWD, optimistic 12.41 TWD per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price 30.80 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8222?
Aero Win Technology Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.6 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 9.55 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 41.1. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 14.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aero Win Technology Corp (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 10.3%, debt of 0.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8222 from its 52-week high?
Aero Win Technology Corp trades at 30.80 TWD, about 33% below its 52-week high of 46.30 TWD and 7% above the low of 28.85 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9.55 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aero Win Technology Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aero Win Technology Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price 30.80 TWD, calculated fair value 9.55 TWD (−69%), Quality Score 39/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8222 calculated?
We run Aero Win Technology Corp through 14 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 9.55 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Aero Win Technology Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 30.80 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 9.55 TWD, about 69% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aero Win Technology Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.41 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) come from?
Earnings per share at Aero Win Technology Corp grew −0.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.8 %, EBIT margin −2.7 %, tax rate −1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Aero Win Technology Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The market capitalisation of Aero Win Technology Corp is 2.1B TWD (≈ $64.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aero Win Technology Corp is 2.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Earnings per share at Aero Win Technology Corp are 1.36 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The dividend yield of Aero Win Technology Corp is 1.1% (payout 25.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The net margin of Aero Win Technology Corp is 9.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aero Win Technology Corp is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aero Win Technology Corp is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The operating margin of Aero Win Technology Corp is 16.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Revenue at Aero Win Technology Corp is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Earnings per share at Aero Win Technology Corp are growing +19.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) generate?
The free cash flow of Aero Win Technology Corp is −78.3M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) carry?
The net debt of Aero Win Technology Corp is 890M TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Aero Win Technology Corp in the live analysis
One click puts Aero Win Technology Corp on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 9, 2026