Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Aero Win Technology Corp TWD 9.28, price TWD 35.15, upside -73.6%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.70 TWD – 66.80 TWD · fair‑value band 8.35 TWD – 11.60 TWD · the 35.15 TWD price screens above the 9.28 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Aero Win Technology Corporation manufactures various products for the aviation industry in Taiwan and internationally.
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Aero Win Technology Corporation manufactures various products for the aviation industry in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers super alloy sheet metal and machining parts assemblies, including oil collectors, plenum air inlets, rear and front flanges, oil cover inlets, SAGB casings, and bearing supports; and super alloy sheet metal forming parts, such as cooling inserts of vane, brackets, and combustion liners. It also offers super alloy forging precision machining parts comprising combustion chamber liners, inner and outer rings for stators, flanges for stators, curvic ring assemblies, inlet housings, and diffuser cases. Aero Win Technology Corporation was founded in 1974 and is based in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) currently trades at 35.15 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.28 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 278.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 9.55 TWD per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 35.15 TWD price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 1.88 TWD, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 8.35 TWD (bear) to 11.60 TWD (bull), the price of 35.15 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Aero Win Technology Corp reported revenue of 961M TWD in FY2025 versus 352M TWD in FY2021, a compound +28.6%/yr. Reported net income was 37.4M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.6B TWD (≈ $82.8M) · P/E ratio 63.9 · P/S ratio 2.49 · EPS (TTM) 0.5500 TWD · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −74%, 8222 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (1.88 TWD to 20.26 TWD). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 8.35 TWDFair Value 9.28 TWDBull 11.60 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1468 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−2.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3% vs −6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−10% → 7%
Compare Aero Win Technology Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−74% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.82× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)63.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.93× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.80× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA21.2× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 46
PAST (return on equity)18· sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)59· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)20· sector 17
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.28 TWD versus a price of 35.15 TWD, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8222?
Our model-based fair value for Aero Win Technology Corp is 9.28 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 35.15 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8222?
Aero Win Technology Corp has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9.28 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.35 TWD, optimistic scenario 11.60 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aero Win Technology Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9.28 TWD, about −74% upside versus a price of 35.15 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 8.35 TWD, optimistic scenario 11.60 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Aero Win Technology Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 942M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Aero Win Technology Corp pay a dividend?
Aero Win Technology Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aero Win Technology Corp it is 9.28 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 35.15 TWD. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aero Win Technology Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 8222 trades above its calculated fair value: price 35.15 TWD, fair value 9.28 TWD, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8222?
No. The price is what the market pays today (35.15 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9.28 TWD). For Aero Win Technology Corp the two are 25.87 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aero Win Technology Corp worth?
The market values Aero Win Technology Corp at about 2.6B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 35.15 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 9.28 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8222?
Our models span a range for Aero Win Technology Corp: cautious scenario 8.35 TWD, base 9.28 TWD, optimistic 11.60 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 35.15 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8222?
Aero Win Technology Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 63.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 9.28 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.9, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 21.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aero Win Technology Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.5%, debt of 0.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8222 from its 52-week high?
Aero Win Technology Corp trades at 35.15 TWD, about 30% below its 52-week high of 49.95 TWD and 4% above the low of 33.75 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9.28 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aero Win Technology Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aero Win Technology Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 35.15 TWD, calculated fair value 9.28 TWD (−74%), Quality Score 38/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8222 calculated?
We run Aero Win Technology Corp through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9.28 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Aero Win Technology Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 35.15 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 9.28 TWD, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aero Win Technology Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (11.60 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) come from?
Earnings per share at Aero Win Technology Corp grew −0.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.8 %, EBIT margin −2.7 %, tax rate −1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Aero Win Technology Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The market capitalisation of Aero Win Technology Corp is 2.6B TWD (≈ $82.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aero Win Technology Corp is 2.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Earnings per share at Aero Win Technology Corp are 0.5500 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 63.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The dividend yield of Aero Win Technology Corp is 1.0% (payout 63.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The net margin of Aero Win Technology Corp is 3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aero Win Technology Corp is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aero Win Technology Corp is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
The operating margin of Aero Win Technology Corp is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Revenue at Aero Win Technology Corp is growing −7.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aero Win Technology Corp (8222)?
Earnings per share at Aero Win Technology Corp are growing +19.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) generate?
The free cash flow of Aero Win Technology Corp is −78.3M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Aero Win Technology Corp (8222) carry?
The net debt of Aero Win Technology Corp is 890M TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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