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Data-driven stock valuation

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. stock $7.10, price $5.21, upside +36.2%, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

AG AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.

AIRO · US
Speculative

The stock costs 27% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $7.10 · Undervalued
Low debt
Revenue last quarter +76% vs. a year ago.
Quality 41/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +74.6 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Insiders sold $696,641 (6M)
Loss-making · -23.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 19/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$31.00 $4.75 Fair Value $7.10 Jun 2025 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

17‑month range $4.75 – $31.00 · fair‑value band $4.61 – $11.41 · the $5.21 price screens below the $7.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc., a multi-faceted advanced Aerospace and Defense company in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. Its Drones segment develops, manufactures, and sells drones.

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The Avionics segment develops, manufactures, and sells avionics for military and general aviation aircraft, drones, and eVTOLs. This segment offers flight displays, connected panels, and GPS/GNSS sensors.

The Training segment currently provides military pilot training, which includes adversary air, close air support, ISR, aircraft leasing, pilot training, ground liaison services, and JTAC, as well as full joint theatre ISR and simulated ground strike training and consulting services.

Its Electric Air Mobility segment develops a rotorcraft eVTOL for cargo applications through our Jaunt brand. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

Stock analysis

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) currently trades at $5.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.10, implying the stock looks roughly 27% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $4.61 (bear) to $11.41 (bull), the price of $5.21 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $90.9M in FY2025 versus $11.8M in FY2021, a compound +66.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $164M Micro · P/S ratio 1.49 · EPS (TTM) $−0.8200 · Net margin −23.9% · Return on equity −3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.8% · Revenue (TTM) $107M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 19 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 36%, AIRO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.61 Fair Value $7.10 Bull $11.41
Price $5.21 · Upside +36.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings $5.42 $8.35 $13.42 70
NCAV (Graham) $1.50 $2.27 $2.83 55
All 2 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $5.42 $8.35 $13.42 70
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.50 $2.27 $2.83 55

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 9
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 76
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 85
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 1
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $696,641 and none bought.

  • SaleMariya PylypivChief Financial Officer4× since Mar 12, 2026: 78,192 shares, avg. $8.77$686,042Sep 2, 2026
  • SaleJohn UczekajPresident and COO, Director6× since Jan 5, 2026: 24,994 shares, avg. $8.95$223,727Sep 2, 2026

Plus 8 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+74.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−21.8% (2021) → −31.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside +36.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −23.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 3.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 75.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.22× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.54× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)82 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 41
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
TransDigm Group TDG $1,197 $1,317 +10% vs AIRO
Honeywell Aerospace Inc HONA $152.92 $168.21 +10% vs AIRO
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $567.08 $439.21 −23% vs AIRO
General Dynamics Corporation GD $354.06 $274.19 −23% vs AIRO
Thales S.A HO €221.70 €170.99 −23% vs AIRO
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $525.01 $382.98 −27% vs AIRO
Airbus SE AIR €196.40 €112.14 −43% vs AIRO
RTX Corporation RTX $189.53 $88.19 −53% vs AIRO
General Electric Company GE $323.24 $92.26 −71% vs AIRO
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $205.81 $52.65 −74% vs AIRO

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AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIRO

Frequently asked questions

Is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.10 versus a price of $5.21, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AIRO?
Our model-based fair value for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is $7.10 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.21.
What is the quality score of AIRO?
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.10 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.61, optimistic scenario $11.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.10, about +36% upside versus a price of $5.21 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $4.61, optimistic scenario $11.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $107M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. it is $7.10 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $5.21. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (DCF Models, Asset-Based).
Is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, AIRO trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.21, fair value $7.10, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIRO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.21); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.10). For AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. the two are $1.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. at about $164M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $5.21; our models calculate a fair value of $7.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIRO?
Our models span a range for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.: cautious scenario $4.61, base $7.10, optimistic $11.41 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $5.21). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
Balance-sheet figures for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −3.6%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AIRO from its 52-week high?
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. trades at $5.21, about 62% below its 52-week high of $13.80 and 10% above the low of $4.75 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $5.21, calculated fair value $7.10 (+36%), Quality Score 41/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIRO calculated?
We run AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. through 2 models from 2 families: DCF Models, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $7.10 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. currently trades 27% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $5.21. Our model-based fair value is $7.10, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($4.61 to $11.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The market capitalisation of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is $164M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is 1.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
Earnings per share at AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. are $−0.8200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The net margin of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is −23.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is −3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is −7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The operating margin of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
Revenue at AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is growing +75.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +74.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) generate?
The free cash flow of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is −$35.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) hold?
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. holds more cash than debt, $68.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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