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AIRO Group (AIRO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $262M

Price$7.43
Fair Value$3.16
Upside-57.5%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $2.76 – $3.86

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

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Analysis

AIRO Group (AIRO) currently trades at $7.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.16 — implying the stock looks roughly 57.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc., a multi-faceted advanced Aerospace and Defense company in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. Its Drones segment develops, manufactures, and sells drones. The Avionics segment develops, manufactures, and sells avionics for military and general aviation aircraft, drones, and eVTOLs. This segment offers flight displays, connected panels, and GPS/GNSS sensors. The Training segment currently provides military pilot training, which includes adversary air, close air support, ISR, aircraft leasing, pilot training, ground liaison services, and JTAC, as well as full joint theatre ISR and simulated ground strike training and consulting services. Its Electric Air Mobility segment develops a rotorcraft eVTOL for cargo applications through our Jaunt brand. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

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Frequently asked questions

Is AIRO Group (AIRO) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.16 versus a price of $7.43 — about −57% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AIRO?
Our 21-model fair value for AIRO Group is $3.16 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.43.
What is the quality score of AIRO?
AIRO Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.