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AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. $8.38, price $7.16, upside +17.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · US · ISIN US0094221068

AG AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.

AIRO · US

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value $8.38 · Undervalued (+17%)
!Quality 57/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +74.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -20.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$31.00 $5.85 Fair Value $8.38 Jun 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range $5.85 – $31.00 · fair‑value band $5.44 – $13.46 · the $7.16 price screens below the $8.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc., a multi-faceted advanced Aerospace and Defense company in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. Its Drones segment develops, manufactures, and sells drones.

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AIRO Group Holdings, Inc., a multi-faceted advanced Aerospace and Defense company in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. Its Drones segment develops, manufactures, and sells drones. The Avionics segment develops, manufactures, and sells avionics for military and general aviation aircraft, drones, and eVTOLs. This segment offers flight displays, connected panels, and GPS/GNSS sensors. The Training segment currently provides military pilot training, which includes adversary air, close air support, ISR, aircraft leasing, pilot training, ground liaison services, and JTAC, as well as full joint theatre ISR and simulated ground strike training and consulting services. Its Electric Air Mobility segment develops a rotorcraft eVTOL for cargo applications through our Jaunt brand. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

Stock analysis

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (AIRO) currently trades at $7.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.38, implying the stock looks roughly 14.6% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $5.44 (bear) to $13.46 (bull), the price of $7.16 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $90.9M in FY2025 versus $11.8M in FY2021, a compound +66.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $262M · P/S ratio 2.98 · EPS (TTM) $−0.5800 · Net margin −4.5% · Return on equity −2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.5% · Operating margin −193% · Revenue (TTM) $88.0M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 17%, AIRO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.44 Fair Value $8.38 Bull $13.46
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $7.00 $11.49 $19.32 69
NCAV (Graham) $11.75 $15.75 $23.51 54
All 2 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $7.00 $11.49 $19.32 69
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.75 $15.75 $23.51 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+74.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−21.8% (2021) → −31.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +17% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −193% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −25% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.35× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.98× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)56 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 17

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $319.22 $92.68 −71%
RTX Corporation RTX $190.99 $88.37 −54%
Airbus SE AIR €194.60 €112.75 −42%
Safran SA SAF €332.00 €365.20 +10%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $522.34 $440.05 −16%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $225.36 $52.47 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $343.39 $274.32 −20%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $509.86 $383.06 −25%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,112 $1,224 +10%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $239.89 $263.88 +10%

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AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock · Fair Value
$8.38 +15%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIRO

Frequently asked questions

Is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.38 versus a price of $7.16, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AIRO?
Our model-based fair value for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock is $8.38 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.16.
What is the quality score of AIRO?
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.38 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.44, optimistic scenario $13.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.38, about +17% upside versus a price of $7.16 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $5.44, optimistic scenario $13.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $88.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock it is $8.38 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $7.16. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AIRO trades below its calculated fair value: price $7.16, fair value $8.38, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIRO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.38). For AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock the two are $1.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock at about $262M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $7.16; our models calculate a fair value of $8.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIRO?
Our models span a range for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock: cautious scenario $5.44, base $8.38, optimistic $13.46 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $7.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
Balance-sheet figures for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −2.8%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AIRO from its 52-week high?
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock trades at $7.16, about 64% below its 52-week high of $20.08 and 22% above the low of $5.85 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $7.16, calculated fair value $8.38 (+17%), Quality Score 57/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIRO calculated?
We run AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $7.16. Our model-based fair value is $8.38, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock right now?
A fairly wide model range ($5.44 to $13.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The market capitalisation of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock is $262M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock is 2.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
Earnings per share at AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock are $−0.5800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The net margin of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock is −4.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock is −2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock is −7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
The operating margin of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock is −193% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO)?
Revenue at AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock is growing −24.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +74.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) generate?
The free cash flow of AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock is −$35.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) hold?
AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock holds more cash than debt, $68.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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