Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd stock ILS 233, price ILS 318, that is 26.7% below the price, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 103.98 ILS – 320.00 ILS · fair‑value band 233.21 ILS – 348.08 ILS · the 318.20 ILS price screens above the 233.21 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Alrov Properties and Lodgings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate investment business in Israel, Switzerland, France, England, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Investment Property; Hotels Abroad; Hotels in Israel; and Securities.
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It invests in real estate properties, including shopping centers and offices; owns and operates hotels; and engages in securities investment. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Stock analysis
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) currently trades at 318.20 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 233.21 ILS, 27% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 471.76 ILS per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the 318.20 ILS price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 95.14 ILS, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 233.21 ILS (bear) to 348.08 ILS (bull), the price of 318.20 ILS sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B ILS in FY2025 versus 698M ILS in FY2021, a compound +16.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B ILS in FY2025, compounding +25.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.6B ILS Mid · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 2.83 · EPS (TTM) 40.64 ILS · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 36.1% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 70 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −27%, ALRPR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear233.21 ILSFair Value 233.21 ILSBull348.08 ILS
Price 318.20 ILS · Downside -26.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (34.11 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.5% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +0.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28.4% vs 18.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 38%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 437% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+46.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +43.3% a year for the price.
Compare Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 114 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−26.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)36.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)49.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−56.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.85× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
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Is Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 233.21 ILS versus the last price from Oct 28, 2026 of 318.20 ILS, about 27% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALRPR?
Our model-based fair value for Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 233.21 ILS (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 28, 2026): 318.20 ILS.
What is the quality score of ALRPR?
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 233.21 ILS (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 233.21 ILS, optimistic scenario 348.08 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 233.21 ILS, about 27% lower versus the last price from Oct 28, 2026 of 318.20 ILS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 233.21 ILS, optimistic scenario 348.08 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.3B ILS (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd pay a dividend?
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd pays a dividend of 0.73 ILS per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Apr 13, 2026. The payout ratio is 1.8% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 6.54 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +46.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.7 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ALRPR use?
Our models discount Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd that is +46.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd grew +14.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +46.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (+46.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.50 %: that much free cash flow Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd it is 233.21 ILS per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 318.20 ILS. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, ALRPR trades above its calculated fair value: price 318.20 ILS, fair value 233.21 ILS, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALRPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (318.20 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (233.21 ILS). For Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd the two are 84.99 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd worth?
The market values Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd at about 6.6B ILS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 318.20 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 233.21 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALRPR?
Our models span a range for Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd: cautious scenario 233.21 ILS, base 233.21 ILS, optimistic 348.08 ILS per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 318.20 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALRPR?
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 233.21 ILS is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 8.4. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 8.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 11.3%, debt of 0.85 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALRPR from its 52-week high?
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd trades at 318.20 ILS, about 1% below its 52-week high of 320.00 ILS and 33% above the low of 238.40 ILS (as of Nov 3, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 233.21 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, The Phoenix Mills Limited, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 318.20 ILS, calculated fair value 233.21 ILS (−27%), Quality Score 57/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALRPR calculated?
We run Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd through 14 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 233.21 ILS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 28, 2026 and stands at 318.20 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 233.21 ILS, about 27% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) come from?
Earnings per share at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd grew +14.3 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.1 %, EBIT margin −0.3 %, tax rate −3.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +10.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The market capitalisation of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 6.6B ILS. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 2.83 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Earnings per share at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd are 40.64 ILS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The dividend yield of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 0.2% (payout 1.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The net margin of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 36.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The operating margin of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 49.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Revenue at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is growing −56.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Earnings per share at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd are growing −78.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) carry?
The net debt of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 7.9B ILS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 80.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 7, 2026