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Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd ILS 233, price ILS 253, upside -7.7%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · Il · ISIN IL0003870198

AP Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd

ALRPR · TA

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value 233.21 ILA · Fairly valued (−8%)
!Quality 57/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +14.7 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 43.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/14)
✓Wide moat 74/100
!Weak on valuation: 23 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 6 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

317.60 ILA 103.98 ILA Fair Value 233.21 ILA Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 103.98 ILA – 317.60 ILA · the 252.70 ILA price screens above the 233.21 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Alrov Properties and Lodgings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate investment business in Israel, Switzerland, France, England, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Investment Property; Hotels Abroad; Hotels in Israel; and Securities.

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Alrov Properties and Lodgings Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate investment business in Israel, Switzerland, France, England, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Investment Property; Hotels Abroad; Hotels in Israel; and Securities. It invests in real estate properties, including shopping centers and offices; owns and operates hotels; and engages in securities investment. The company was founded in 1978 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

Stock analysis

Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) currently trades at 252.70 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 233.21 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 8.4% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 500.62 ILA per share, and 3 of the 11 models we run sit above the 252.70 ILA price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 26.34 ILA, and 8 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B ILS in FY2025 versus 698M ILS in FY2021, a compound +16.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B ILS in FY2025, compounding +25.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 5.2B ILA · P/E ratio 4.1 · P/S ratio 4.17 · EPS (TTM) 61.67 ILA · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 102% · Return on equity 16.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −8%, ALRPR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 233.21 ILA Fair Value 233.21 ILA Bull 233.21 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (44.58 ILS per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a 125.40 ILA 323.59 ILA 72
5Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a 119.45 ILA 69
Rev-Margin DCF n/a n/a 103.01 ILA 69
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a 119.45 ILA 69
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a 125.40 ILA 323.59 ILA 72
10Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a 51.66 ILA 64
10Y EBITDA Exit n/a 26.34 ILA 191.72 ILA 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 4.66 ILA 8.40 ILA 11.56 ILA 68
DDM Multi-Stage 4.66 ILA 7.00 ILA 8.97 ILA 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple 301.99 ILA 402.66 ILA 503.32 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 534.55 ILA 712.73 ILA 890.92 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 96.50 ILA 226.93 ILA 357.37 ILA 62
EV/EBITDA 83.36 ILA 209.41 ILA 335.47 ILA 63
EV/Revenue n/a 13.50 ILA 105.99 ILA 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 178.18 ILA 238.77 ILA 356.37 ILA 54
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF n/a n/a 103.01 ILA 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income 360.62 ILA 500.62 ILA 1,698 ILA 64

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.5% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +0.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28% vs 18%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 38%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 437% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+48.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +45.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 132 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 47% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.85× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.23× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 17.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.9× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)23 · sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)67 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)57 · sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)6 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN CHF 126.00 CHF 44.83 −64%
Central Pattana Public Company CPN 64.50 THB 71.37 THB +11%
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,490 ₹297.85 −80%
The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹1,993 ₹515.45 −74%
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 16.86 SAR 15.41 SAR −9%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.73 ¥0.7900 −71%
Singapore Land Group U06 3.16 SGD 3.18 SGD +1%
The St. Joe Company JOE $66.21 $34.24 −48%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,909 CLP 5,629 CLP +44%
Frasers Property Limited TQ5 0.9850 SGD 1.10 SGD +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 233.21 ILA versus a price of 252.70 ILA, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ALRPR?
Our model-based fair value for Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 233.21 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 252.70 ILA.
What is the quality score of ALRPR?
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 233.21 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 233.21 ILA, about −8% upside versus a price of 252.70 ILA (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.9B ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd pay a dividend?
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +48.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ALRPR use?
Our models discount Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd that is +48.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd grew +14.7 % a year. The price currently implies +48.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (+48.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.89 %: that much free cash flow Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd it is 233.21 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 252.70 ILA. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ALRPR trades above its calculated fair value: price 252.70 ILA, fair value 233.21 ILA, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALRPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (252.70 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (233.21 ILA). For Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd the two are 19.49 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd worth?
The market values Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd at about 5.2B ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 252.70 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 233.21 ILA per share.
What is the P/E ratio of ALRPR?
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 233.21 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 3.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.9%, debt of 0.85 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALRPR from its 52-week high?
Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd trades at 252.70 ILA, about 20% below its 52-week high of 317.60 ILA and 8% above the low of 234.86 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 233.21 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 252.70 ILA, calculated fair value 233.21 ILA (−8%), Quality Score 57/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALRPR calculated?
We run Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 233.21 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 252.70 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 233.21 ILA, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (233.21 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) come from?
Earnings per share at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd grew +14.3 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.1 %, EBIT margin −0.3 %, tax rate −3.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +10.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The market capitalisation of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 5.2B ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 4.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Earnings per share at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd are 61.67 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The dividend yield of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 0.3% (payout 1.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The net margin of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 102% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
The operating margin of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 46.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Revenue at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is growing −7.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR)?
Earnings per share at Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd are growing −24.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd (ALRPR) carry?
The net debt of Alrov Properties & Lodgings Ltd is 7.9B ILA (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 80.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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