Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd stock $13.39, price $23.61, that is 43.3% below the price, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $16.25 – $65.72 · fair‑value band $11.30 – $15.48 · the $23.61 price screens above the $13.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited designs, develops, and supplies power semiconductor products for computing, consumer electronics, communication, and industrial applications in Hong Kong, China, South Korea, the United States, and internationally.
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The company offers power discrete products, including metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFET), Shielded-Gate low voltage and mid-voltage MOSFETs, SuperJunction high voltage MOSFETs, and trench-stop insulated gate bipolar transistors (IGBTs), as well as application specific MOSFETs for use in smartphone chargers, battery packs, notebooks, desktop and servers, data centers, base stations, graphics card, game boxes, TVs, AC adapters, power supplies, motor control, power tools, e-vehicles, white goods and industrial motor drives, UPS systems, solar inverters, and industrial welding.
It also provides power ICs that deliver power, as well as control and regulate the power management variables, such as the flow of current and level of voltage.
The company's power ICs are used in flat panel displays, TVs, notebooks, graphic cards, servers, AI datacenters, DVD/Blu-Ray players, set-top boxes, and networking equipment.
In addition, the company offers transient voltage protection products, analog switches, and electromagnetic interference filters for notebooks, desktop PCs, tablets, flat panel displays, TVs, smartphones, and portable electronic devices.
Further, it provides silicon carbide, IPM, TVS, and HV gate drivers; and power modules, multiphase controllers, EZBuck regulators, and diode protection switches. Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
Stock analysis
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL) currently trades at $23.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.39, 43% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $11.30 (bear) to $15.48 (bull), the price of $23.61 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd reported revenue of $679M in FY2026 versus $778M in FY2022, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$42.3M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $712M Small · P/S ratio 1.06 · EPS (TTM) $−1.54 · Net margin −6.9% · Return on equity −5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −5.1% · Revenue (TTM) $674M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −43%, AOSL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$11.30Fair Value $13.39Bull$15.48
Price $23.61 · Downside -43.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $623,312 and none bought.
SaleBing XueEVP-WW Sales & Bus Development9× since Nov 14, 2025: 21,834 shares, avg. $32.78$715,653Jul 16, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleClaudia ChenDirector4,061 shares at $39.53$160,520May 22, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleStephen Chunping ChangChief Executive Officer, Director2× since Apr 14, 2026: 20,478 shares, avg. $33.76$691,435Apr 17, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleYifan LiangCFO and Corp Secretary2× since Apr 14, 2026: 35,142 shares, avg. $31.65$1.1MApr 17, 202610b5-1 plan
BuyMike F ChangDirector, 10% owner33,727 shares at $19.00$640,813Mar 9, 2026
Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.8% (2021) → −6.4% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (94 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 369 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−43.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−4.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−6.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−5.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−2.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.89× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.06× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA55.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 21
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AOSL
Frequently asked questions
Is Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.39 versus a price of $23.61, about 43% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AOSL?
Our model-based fair value for Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd is $13.39 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.61.
What is the quality score of AOSL?
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $13.39 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.30, optimistic scenario $15.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $13.39, about 43% lower versus a price of $23.61 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $11.30, optimistic scenario $15.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $674M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd it is $13.39 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $23.61. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, AOSL trades above its calculated fair value: price $23.61, fair value $13.39, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AOSL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($13.39). For Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd the two are $10.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd worth?
The market values Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd at about $712M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $23.61; our models calculate a fair value of $13.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AOSL?
Our models span a range for Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd: cautious scenario $11.30, base $13.39, optimistic $15.48 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $23.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −5.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AOSL from its 52-week high?
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd trades at $23.61, about 56% below its 52-week high of $53.32 and 35% above the low of $17.47 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $13.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $23.61, calculated fair value $13.39 (−43%), Quality Score 48/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AOSL calculated?
We run Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $13.39 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $23.61. Our model-based fair value is $13.39, about 43% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($15.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (48/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
The market capitalisation of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd is $712M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd is 1.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
Earnings per share at Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd are $−1.54. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
The net margin of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd is −6.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd is −5.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
The operating margin of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd is −5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
Revenue at Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd is growing −2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL)?
Earnings per share at Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd are growing −98.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL) generate?
The free cash flow of Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd is −$68.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd (AOSL) hold?
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd holds more cash than debt, $153M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026
