Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $1.3B
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited
AOSL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $82.43 to $18.16 (−78.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($21.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $16.25 – $65.72 · fair‑value band $14.48 – $21.85 · the $36.08 price screens above the $18.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) currently trades at $36.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.16, implying the stock looks roughly 49.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited generated revenue of $685M at a net margin of -15.5%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $102M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $14.48 (bear case) to $21.85 (bull case); at $36.08, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 112% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -50%, AOSL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($19.37) versus Dividend Discount ($3.64). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited designs, develops, and supplies power semiconductor products for computing, consumer electronics, communication, and industrial applications in Hong Kong, China, South Korea, the United States, and internationally.
Full company description
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited designs, develops, and supplies power semiconductor products for computing, consumer electronics, communication, and industrial applications in Hong Kong, China, South Korea, the United States, and internationally. The company offers power discrete products, including metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFET), Shielded-Gate low voltage and mid-voltage MOSFETs, SuperJunction high voltage MOSFETs, and trench-stop insulated gate bipolar transistors (IGBTs), as well as application specific MOSFETs for use in smartphone chargers, battery packs, notebooks, desktop and servers, data centers, base stations, graphics card, game boxes, TVs, AC adapters, power supplies, motor control, power tools, e-vehicles, white goods and industrial motor drives, UPS systems, solar inverters, and industrial welding. It also provides power ICs that deliver power, as well as control and regulate the power management variables, such as the flow of current and level of voltage. The company's power ICs are used in flat panel displays, TVs, notebooks, graphic cards, servers, AI datacenters, DVD/Blu-Ray players, set-top boxes, and networking equipment. In addition, the company offers transient voltage protection products, analog switches, and electromagnetic interference filters for notebooks, desktop PCs, tablets, flat panel displays, TVs, smartphones, and portable electronic devices. Further, it provides silicon carbide, IPM, TVS, and HV gate drivers; and power modules, multiphase controllers, EZBuck regulators, and diode protection switches. Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited reported revenue of $696M in FY2025 versus $657M in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$97.0M in FY2025.
AOSL screens 50% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Alpha & Omega Semiconductor (AOSL) Launches Multiphase Controllers for Next-Gen Intel Processors
- Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Stock Has Doubled This Year. Is It Still a Buy?
- An Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Insider Sold Nearly 5,000 Company Shares. What Does That Mean for Investors?
- Alpha and Omega (AOSL) Surges 11.3%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 319 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 54/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $398.37 | $207.49 | -48% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €367.75 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC | C$52.57 | C$7.50 | -86% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €425.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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