Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Arxis, Inc. Class A stock $12.98, price $49.90, that is 74.0% below the price, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 11 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Arxis, Inc. designs and manufactures electronic and mechanical components for mission critical applications in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Electronic Components and Mechanical Components.
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Its Electronic Components segment provides engineered electronic components and interconnect solutions, including connectors, cable assemblies, microelectronic packaging, radio frequency (RF) and microwave products, power products, sensors, capacitors. and resistors.
The Mechanical Components segment offers precision and self-lubricating bearings, seals, springs, gaskets and ducting, and radar absorbing materials.
It serves defense and space systems, commercial aerospace platforms, medical technology, semiconductor testing, analytical devices, industrial automation, and other specialized industrial sectors. The company was founded in 2019 and is based in Bloomfield, Connecticut.
Stock analysis
Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS) currently trades at $49.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.98, 74% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $15.63 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the $49.90 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $13.85, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $6.52 (bear) to $25.60 (bull), the price of $49.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $424M in FY2023, a compound +94.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$49.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $23.7B Large · P/E ratio 305.2 · P/S ratio 13.4 · EPS (TTM) $0.1800 · Net margin −3.1% · Return on equity 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% (2-year average) · Operating margin 6.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −74%, ARXS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.1700 to $24.29). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear$6.52Fair Value $12.98Bull$25.60
Price $49.90 · Downside -74.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1544 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
BuyJason Aaron RothOfficer60,000 shares at $28.00$1.7MApr 17, 2026
BuyKevin Scott PerhamusOfficer, Director53,600 shares at $28.00$1.5MApr 17, 2026
BuyPatrick E AllenDirector10,000 shares at $28.00$280,000Apr 17, 2026
BuyStephen Duane OetgenDirector25,000 shares at $28.00$700,000Apr 17, 2026
BuyRoss Bradley SealfonOfficer12,500 shares at $28.00$350,000Apr 17, 2026
BuyAzad Sid BadakhshOfficer36,000 shares at $28.00$1.0MApr 17, 2026
BuyRyan Anthony JankowskiChief Accounting Officer4,464 shares at $28.00$124,992Apr 17, 2026
Plus 2 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 2 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+17.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.6% a year for the price and +15.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (23 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Arxis builds a components portfolio for aerospace and defense via acquisitions, with positive FCF and solid gross margins as main strengths, offset by negative earnings, weak ROE and lack of moat.
Main risk: A move toward low-cost autonomous unmanned systems might compress the multi-decade aftermarket revenue streams that support high-margin sales of mission-critical components on traditional aerospace and defense platforms.
Bull case: Arxis could integrate its acquired sensor and packaging technologies into next-generation attritable platforms and expand content on shorter-cycle programs while maintaining high reliability standards.
Bear case: If defense procurement shifts decisively to disposable systems, Arxis might lose substantial recurring revenue from long-lived platforms and face pressure to compete on cost rather than proprietary performance.
Arxis assembles a portfolio of proprietary components for extreme environments in aerospace, defense and related markets through repeated acquisitions. Recent additions in specialized bearings and ceramic packages broaden its mechanical and electronic offerings. Our models see the stock as overvalued on this path. Will integration sustain organic growth across the installed base or keep the company dependent on the next deal?
Compare Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside−74.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.5% · Below median
Return on assets−0.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)7.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)25.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.45× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)305.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.63× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARXS
Frequently asked questions
Is Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.98 versus a price of $49.90, about 74% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARXS?
Our model-based fair value for Arxis, Inc. Class A is $12.98 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $49.90.
What is the quality score of ARXS?
Arxis, Inc. Class A has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.98 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.52, optimistic scenario $25.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.98, about 74% lower versus a price of $49.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $6.52, optimistic scenario $25.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
Arxis, Inc. Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock pay a dividend?
Arxis, Inc. Class A does not currently pay a dividend.
What growth is priced into Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Arxis, Inc. Class A would have to grow free cash flow by +39.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +94.2 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ARXS use?
Our models discount Arxis, Inc. Class A at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Arxis, Inc. Class A that is +39.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Arxis, Inc. Class A grew +94.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +39.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Arxis, Inc. Class A (+39.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.04 %: that much free cash flow Arxis, Inc. Class A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arxis, Inc. Class A it is $12.98 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $49.90. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF).
Is Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, ARXS trades above its calculated fair value: price $49.90, fair value $12.98, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ARXS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($49.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.98). For Arxis, Inc. Class A the two are $36.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock worth?
The market values Arxis, Inc. Class A at about $23.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $49.90; our models calculate a fair value of $12.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ARXS?
Our models span a range for Arxis, Inc. Class A: cautious scenario $6.52, base $12.98, optimistic $25.60 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $49.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ARXS?
Arxis, Inc. Class A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 305.2 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.6, P/S 13.4, EV/EBITDA 48.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Arxis, Inc. Class A (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 1.5%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $49.90, calculated fair value $12.98 (−74%), Quality Score 62/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ARXS calculated?
We run Arxis, Inc. Class A through 11 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $12.98 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Arxis, Inc. Class A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $49.90. Our model-based fair value is $12.98, about 74% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arxis, Inc. Class A Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($25.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($6.52 to $25.60). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Arxis, Inc. Class A
How large is the market capitalisation of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
The market capitalisation of Arxis, Inc. Class A is $23.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arxis, Inc. Class A is 13.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
Earnings per share at Arxis, Inc. Class A are $0.1800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 305.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
The net margin of Arxis, Inc. Class A is −3.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arxis, Inc. Class A is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arxis, Inc. Class A is 1.6% (avg 2y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
The operating margin of Arxis, Inc. Class A is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS)?
Revenue at Arxis, Inc. Class A is growing +25.0% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Arxis, Inc. Class A (ARXS) carry?
The net debt of Arxis, Inc. Class A is $1.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 5, 2026