Aurea SA (AURE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Aurea SA stock €5.62, price €4.80, upside +17.1%, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.52 – €12.46 · fair‑value band €4.40 – €7.15 · the €4.80 price screens below the €5.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Aurea SA engages in the recycling of black motor oil in France. It also manufactures remould tyres from used tyres, as well as recycling rigid PVC. In addition, the company recycles complex plastics and packaging; refines and recycles aluminium; and recycles copper and produces copper alloy.
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Further, it is involved in the treatment and recycling of zinc, lead, and cadmium; and treatment and decontamination of mercury waste. The company was formerly known as AUER and changed its name to Aurea SA in 1988. Aurea SA was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Paris, France.
Stock analysis
Aurea SA (AURE) currently trades at €4.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.62, implying the stock looks roughly 15% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €7.63 per share, and 8 of the 10 models we run sit above the €4.80 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €4.17, and 2 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €4.40 (bear) to €7.15 (bull), the price of €4.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Aurea SA reported revenue of €201M in FY2025 versus €219M in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€5.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €45.1M Micro · P/S ratio 0.20 · EPS (TTM) €−0.3500 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin −1.6% · Return on equity −4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 19 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 17%, AURE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€4.40Fair Value €5.62Bull€7.15
Price €4.80 · Upside +17.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.1% (2020) → −1.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 154 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+17.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−3.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−1.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)4.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)2.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.45× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.67× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.20× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.8× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aurea SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AURE
Frequently asked questions
Is Aurea SA (AURE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.62 versus a price of €4.80, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AURE?
Our model-based fair value for Aurea SA is €5.62 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €4.80.
What is the quality score of AURE?
Aurea SA has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aurea SA (AURE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.62 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.40, optimistic scenario €7.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aurea SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.62, about +17% upside versus a price of €4.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €4.40, optimistic scenario €7.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aurea SA (AURE)?
Aurea SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €225M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does Aurea SA pay a dividend?
Aurea SA currently shows a dividend yield of 3.06% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Aurea SA (AURE)?
Aurea SA has a dividend yield of 3.1%.
What growth is priced into Aurea SA (AURE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Aurea SA would have to grow free cash flow by +11.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.8 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AURE use?
Our models discount Aurea SA at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.47, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Aurea SA that is +11.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Aurea SA (AURE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Aurea SA grew +6.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +11.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Aurea SA (AURE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Aurea SA (+11.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Aurea SA (AURE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.34 %: that much free cash flow Aurea SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Aurea SA (AURE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aurea SA it is €5.62 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €4.80. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Aurea SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, AURE trades below its calculated fair value: price €4.80, fair value €5.62, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AURE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€4.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.62). For Aurea SA the two are €0.8200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aurea SA worth?
The market values Aurea SA at about €45.1M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €4.80; our models calculate a fair value of €5.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AURE?
Our models span a range for Aurea SA: cautious scenario €4.40, base €5.62, optimistic €7.15 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €4.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AURE?
The PEG ratio of Aurea SA is 3.23 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aurea SA (AURE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aurea SA (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −4.5%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AURE from its 52-week high?
Aurea SA trades at €4.80, about 23% below its 52-week high of €6.20 and 1% above the low of €4.76 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aurea SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aurea SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €4.80, calculated fair value €5.62 (+17%), Quality Score 41/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AURE calculated?
We run Aurea SA through 10 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €5.62 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Aurea SA currently trades 15% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aurea SA (AURE)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was €4.80. Our model-based fair value is €5.62, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aurea SA right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Aurea SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Aurea SA (AURE)?
The market capitalisation of Aurea SA is €45.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aurea SA (AURE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aurea SA is 0.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aurea SA (AURE)?
Earnings per share at Aurea SA are €−0.3500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aurea SA (AURE)?
The dividend yield of Aurea SA is 3.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aurea SA (AURE)?
The net margin of Aurea SA is −1.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aurea SA (AURE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aurea SA is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aurea SA (AURE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aurea SA is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aurea SA (AURE)?
The operating margin of Aurea SA is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aurea SA (AURE)?
Revenue at Aurea SA is growing +2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aurea SA (AURE)?
Earnings per share at Aurea SA are growing −77.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Aurea SA (AURE) carry?
The net debt of Aurea SA is €9.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 9, 2026