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Avantium Holding BV (AVTX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Avantium Holding BV stock €2.27, price €1.98, upside +14.4%, quality 24 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials NL · ISIN NL0012047823

AH Avantium Holding BV logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Avantium Holding BV

AVTX · AS
Speculative

The stock costs 13% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value €2.27 · Undervalued (13%)
Low debt
Revenue last quarter 30% below a year ago.
Quality 24/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −6.5 %/yr in EUR)
Loss-making · -154.3% net margin (FY2025)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

€19.70 €1.98 Fair Value €2.27 Sep 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.98 – €19.70 · fair‑value band €1.69 – €3.38 · the €1.98 price screens below the €2.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Avantium N.V., a chemical technology company, develops and commercializes bio-based plastics and chemicals in the Netherlands. It operates through Avantium R&D Solutions and Avantium Renewable Polymers.

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The company offers Releaf, boasts barrier properties for carbon dioxide and oxygen that leads to longer shelf life of packaged products used for packaging, textiles, film, and PEF applications.

It also provides furandicarboxylic acid (FDCA), a building block for the high-performance plant-based polymer polyethylene furanoate (PEF). In addition, the company offers YXY Technology which catalytically converts plant-based sugars into FDCA. Further, it is development and commercialization of the Dawn Technology, Parana Technology, and Volta Technology.

The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Stock analysis

Avantium Holding BV (AVTX) currently trades at €1.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.27, implying the stock looks roughly 13% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: €1.69 (bear) to €3.38 (bull), the price of €1.98 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Avantium Holding BV reported revenue of €14.6M in FY2025 versus €10.9M in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€22.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €75.7M Micro · P/S ratio 8.40 · EPS (TTM) €−1.25 · Return on equity −42.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −499% · Revenue (TTM) €12.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) −29.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 14%, AVTX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €1.69 Fair Value €2.27 Bull €3.38
Price €1.98 · Upside +14.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) €1.99 €2.67 €3.98 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.99 €2.67 €3.98 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 26
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 41
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 33
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 5
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 10/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−30.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−343.7% (2020) → −298.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 727 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +14.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −6.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −154.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −29.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.26× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.50× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 6.01× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)53 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 67
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 239.50 TWD 383.20 TWD +60% vs AVTX
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥72.65 ¥68.03 −6% vs AVTX
Linde plc LIN $515.25 $446.62 −13% vs AVTX
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $122.38 $77.68 −37% vs AVTX
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 100.50 CHF 57.70 −43% vs AVTX
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $344.10 $146.37 −57% vs AVTX
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 4,054 CHF 1,554 −62% vs AVTX
EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG EMSN CHF 848.50 CHF 284.63 −66% vs AVTX
Ecolab Inc ECL $300.68 $96.56 −68% vs AVTX
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $304.84 $82.92 −73% vs AVTX

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Avantium Holding BV: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avantium Holding BV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVTX

Frequently asked questions

Is Avantium Holding BV (AVTX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.27 versus a price of €1.98, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AVTX?
Our model-based fair value for Avantium Holding BV is €2.27 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.98.
What is the quality score of AVTX?
Avantium Holding BV has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.27 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.69, optimistic scenario €3.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avantium Holding BV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.27, about +14% upside versus a price of €1.98 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.69, optimistic scenario €3.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
Avantium Holding BV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €12.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avantium Holding BV it is €2.27 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of €1.98. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Avantium Holding BV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, AVTX trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.98, fair value €2.27, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AVTX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.27). For Avantium Holding BV the two are €0.2855 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avantium Holding BV worth?
The market values Avantium Holding BV at about €75.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is €1.98; our models calculate a fair value of €2.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AVTX?
Our models span a range for Avantium Holding BV: cautious scenario €1.69, base €2.27, optimistic €3.38 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price €1.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avantium Holding BV (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −42.3%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AVTX from its 52-week high?
Avantium Holding BV trades at €1.98, about 69% below its 52-week high of €6.41 and at the low of €1.98 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avantium Holding BV?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avantium Holding BV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price €1.98, calculated fair value €2.27 (+14%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AVTX calculated?
We run Avantium Holding BV through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €2.27 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Avantium Holding BV currently trades 13% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €1.98. Our model-based fair value is €2.27, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avantium Holding BV right now?
A fairly wide model range (€1.69 to €3.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Avantium Holding BV

How large is the market capitalisation of Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
The market capitalisation of Avantium Holding BV is €75.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Avantium Holding BV is 8.40 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
Earnings per share at Avantium Holding BV are €−1.25. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avantium Holding BV is −42.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avantium Holding BV is −21.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
The operating margin of Avantium Holding BV is −499% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Avantium Holding BV (AVTX)?
Revenue at Avantium Holding BV is growing −29.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Avantium Holding BV (AVTX) generate?
The free cash flow of Avantium Holding BV is −€58.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Avantium Holding BV (AVTX) carry?
The net debt of Avantium Holding BV is €108M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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