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Avalo Therapeutics, Inc (AVTX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $791M

Price$17.83
Fair Value$7.11
Upside-60.1%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $5.33 – $8.89

Analysis

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc (AVTX) currently trades at $17.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.11 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, develops IL-1ß-based treatments for immune-mediated inflammatory diseases in the Unites States. Its lead product includes AVTX-009, a humanized monoclonal antibody that binds to interleukin-1ß, which is in phase 2 clinical trial to treat inflammatory diseases. The company was formerly known as Cerecor Inc. and changed its name to Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. in August 2021. Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Wayne, Pennsylvania.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.