BBGI PCL (BBGI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of BBGI PCL stock THB 3.32, price THB 6.05, that is 45.1% below the price, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range 2.53 THB – 9.33 THB · fair‑value band 2.49 THB – 4.15 THB · the 6.05 THB price screens above the 3.32 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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BBGI Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes biofuel and related products in Thailand. It operates in three segments: Biodiesel, Ethanol, and Others.
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The company offers biodiesel products, such as glycerine and methyl ester products; and bioethanol products. It also provides bio-based products. BBGI Public Company Limited was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
BBGI PCL (BBGI) currently trades at 6.05 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.32 THB, 45% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 6.15 THB per share, and 6 of the 26 models we run sit above the 6.05 THB price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.25 THB, and 20 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.49 THB (bear) to 4.15 THB (bull), the price of 6.05 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
BBGI PCL reported revenue of 17.8B THB in FY2025 versus 14.1B THB in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 283M THB in FY2025, compounding −26.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 8.7B THB (≈ $262M) Micro · P/E ratio 9.5 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) 0.6400 THB · Dividend yield 5.8% · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 139% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −45%, BBGI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2.49 THBFair Value 3.32 THBBull4.15 THB
Price 6.05 THB · Downside -45.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2487 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−22.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−19.7% vs −2.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 2%
2025 sits 192% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 728 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−45.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.8% · Above median
Return on assets2.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)7.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)68.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)5.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)9.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.94× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.44× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)10.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA6.0× · Cheapest 25%
PEG0.23× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 67
PAST (return on equity)39· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BBGI PCL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BBGI
Frequently asked questions
Is BBGI PCL (BBGI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.32 THB versus a price of 6.05 THB, about 45% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BBGI?
Our model-based fair value for BBGI PCL is 3.32 THB (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 6.05 THB.
What is the quality score of BBGI?
BBGI PCL has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.32 THB (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.49 THB, optimistic scenario 4.15 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BBGI PCL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.32 THB, about 45% lower versus a price of 6.05 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.49 THB, optimistic scenario 4.15 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
BBGI PCL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 19.9B THB (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does BBGI PCL pay a dividend?
BBGI PCL currently shows a dividend yield of 5.79% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of BBGI PCL (BBGI) and when is the ex-dividend date?
BBGI PCL pays a dividend of 0.35 THB per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 6, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. The payout ratio is 54.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.59 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, BBGI PCL would have to grow free cash flow by +6.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.3 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BBGI use?
Our models discount BBGI PCL at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For BBGI PCL that is +6.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has BBGI PCL (BBGI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at BBGI PCL grew +7.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +6.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of BBGI PCL (BBGI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into BBGI PCL (+6.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.17 %: that much free cash flow BBGI PCL produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BBGI PCL it is 3.32 THB per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 6.05 THB. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is BBGI PCL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, BBGI trades above its calculated fair value: price 6.05 THB, fair value 3.32 THB, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BBGI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (6.05 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.32 THB). For BBGI PCL the two are 2.73 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BBGI PCL worth?
The market values BBGI PCL at about 8.7B THB (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 6.05 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 3.32 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BBGI?
Our models span a range for BBGI PCL: cautious scenario 2.49 THB, base 3.32 THB, optimistic 4.15 THB per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 6.05 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BBGI?
BBGI PCL trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.5 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.32 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.2, P/B 0.9, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
What is the PEG ratio of BBGI?
The PEG ratio of BBGI PCL is 0.23 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
Balance-sheet figures for BBGI PCL (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 9.8%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BBGI from its 52-week high?
BBGI PCL trades at 6.05 THB, about 20% below its 52-week high of 7.55 THB and 139% above the low of 2.53 THB (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.32 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BBGI PCL?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, Ecolab Inc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Nan Ya Plastics Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BBGI PCL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 6.05 THB, calculated fair value 3.32 THB (−45%), Quality Score 62/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BBGI calculated?
We run BBGI PCL through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 3.32 THB builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. BBGI PCL itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 6.05 THB. Our model-based fair value is 3.32 THB, about 45% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BBGI PCL right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.15 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of BBGI PCL
How large is the market capitalisation of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
The market capitalisation of BBGI PCL is 8.7B THB (≈ $262M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BBGI PCL is 0.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
Earnings per share at BBGI PCL are 0.6400 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
The dividend yield of BBGI PCL is 5.8% (payout 54.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
The net margin of BBGI PCL is 4.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BBGI PCL is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BBGI PCL is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
The operating margin of BBGI PCL is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
Revenue at BBGI PCL is growing +68.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BBGI PCL (BBGI)?
Earnings per share at BBGI PCL are growing +100% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does BBGI PCL (BBGI) carry?
The net debt of BBGI PCL is 2.1B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 5, 2026