Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Dusk Group Ltd stock A$1.91, price A$0.70, upside +172.9%, quality 72 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.4543 – A$2.17 · fair‑value band A$1.44 – A$2.39 · the A$0.7000 price screens below the A$1.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Follow Dusk Group in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Dusk Group is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Dusk Group Limited retails scented and unscented candles, home decor, home fragrances, and gift solutions in Australia.
Show moreShow less
The company offers candle accessories; wax melts and wax melt burners; reed, oil, and ultrasonic diffusers; oil and wax burners; diffuser accessories; and incense and incense holders, as well as essential and fragrant oils, reed refills, and room sprays.
It also provides perfumes, body care and bath products, and soaps; room sprays, home cleaning products, and pillow mist; plates; linens, lighting products, glasses, and mugs; and gift cards and sets. The company operates through a network of physical and online stores under the Dusk brand name.
Dusk Group Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Alexandria, Australia.
Stock analysis
Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) currently trades at A$0.7000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.91, implying the stock looks roughly 63% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$5.26 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the A$0.7000 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.3300, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$1.44 (bear) to A$2.39 (bull), the price of A$0.7000 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Dusk Group Ltd reported revenue of A$149M in FY2025 versus A$138M in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$5.4M in FY2025, compounding −26.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$43.6M (≈ $30.1M) Micro · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0900 · Dividend yield 8.0% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 16.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 173%, DSK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$1.44Fair Value A$1.91BullA$2.39
Price A$0.7000 · Upside +172.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0292 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFA$4.22A$6.32A$9.3778
Growth DCFA$4.26A$6.07A$8.5476
Residual IncomeA$0.5400A$0.6700A$0.920076
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFA$4.22A$6.32A$9.3778
Owner EarningsA$4.11A$6.14A$9.1073
5Y Revenue ExitA$2.78A$3.90A$5.2971
5Y EBITDA ExitA$4.38A$6.93A$9.9172
5Y P/E ExitA$2.55A$3.45A$4.3869
10Y Revenue ExitA$3.24A$4.38A$5.8565
10Y EBITDA ExitA$4.28A$6.42A$9.2966
10Y P/E ExitA$3.15A$4.08A$5.1863
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddA$0.5900A$1.96A$2.6264
Lynch FVA$0.4400A$0.6300A$0.820061
PEG = 1.0A$0.4400A$0.6300A$0.820057
EPVA$1.61A$1.81A$1.9870
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGMA$0.5100A$0.9900A$1.4767
DDM Multi-StageA$0.5100A$0.8500A$1.0567
Multiples
P/E MultipleA$1.44A$1.91A$2.3963
P/S MultipleA$1.11A$1.48A$1.8558
P/B MultipleA$1.11A$1.48A$1.8555
EV/EBITA$2.21A$3.06A$3.9263
EV/EBITDAA$4.33A$5.89A$7.4564
EV/RevenueA$1.37A$2.11A$2.8551
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)A$0.2400A$0.3300A$0.490051
Growth DCF
Growth DCFA$4.26A$6.07A$8.5476
Rev-Margin DCFA$2.78A$3.95A$5.3271
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeA$0.5400A$0.6700A$0.920076
ROIC CompounderA$1.67A$1.94A$2.2270
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/EA$1.21A$1.73A$2.2467
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−13.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−21.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−21.7% vs 12.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 8%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 203 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+172.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)16.5% · Above median
Return on assets5.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)3.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)−9.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)14.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)8.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dusk Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DSK
Frequently asked questions
Is Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.91 versus a price of A$0.7000, about +173% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DSK?
Our model-based fair value for Dusk Group Ltd is A$1.91 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.7000.
What is the quality score of DSK?
Dusk Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.91 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$1.44, optimistic scenario A$2.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dusk Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.91, about +173% upside versus a price of A$0.7000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$1.44, optimistic scenario A$2.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Dusk Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$149M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Dusk Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Dusk Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 8.00% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Dusk Group Ltd pays a dividend of A$0.056 per share a year, a dividend yield of 8.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 8, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2021. The payout ratio is 62.2% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 5.70 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dusk Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.0 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DSK use?
Our models discount Dusk Group Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.14, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dusk Group Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dusk Group Ltd grew +0.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of less than minus 40 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dusk Group Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 45.64 %: that much free cash flow Dusk Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dusk Group Ltd it is A$1.91 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of A$0.7000. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Dusk Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, DSK trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.7000, fair value A$1.91, a gap of about +173% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DSK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.7000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.91). For Dusk Group Ltd the two are A$1.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dusk Group Ltd worth?
The market values Dusk Group Ltd at about A$43.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is A$0.7000; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DSK?
Our models span a range for Dusk Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$1.44, base A$1.91, optimistic A$2.39 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price A$0.7000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DSK?
Dusk Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$1.91 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2020 to 2025), reported earnings: 10.2. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 1.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dusk Group Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 16.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DSK from its 52-week high?
Dusk Group Ltd trades at A$0.7000, about 25% below its 52-week high of A$0.9323 and 7% above the low of A$0.6560 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dusk Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dusk Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price A$0.7000, calculated fair value A$1.91 (+173%), Quality Score 72/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DSK calculated?
We run Dusk Group Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$1.91 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Dusk Group Ltd currently trades 63% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.7000. Our model-based fair value is A$1.91, about +173% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dusk Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$1.44). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (72/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Dusk Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The market capitalisation of Dusk Group Ltd is A$43.6M (≈ $30.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dusk Group Ltd is 0.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Earnings per share at Dusk Group Ltd are A$0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The dividend yield of Dusk Group Ltd is 8.0% (payout 62.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The net margin of Dusk Group Ltd is 3.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dusk Group Ltd is 16.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dusk Group Ltd is 23.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The operating margin of Dusk Group Ltd is −9.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Revenue at Dusk Group Ltd is growing +14.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Earnings per share at Dusk Group Ltd are growing +6.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) carry?
The net debt of Dusk Group Ltd is A$22.5M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Dusk Group Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Dusk Group Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 3, 2026