Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Dusk Group Ltd A$1.56, price A$0.70, upside +122.9%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.4640 – A$2.55 · fair‑value band A$1.17 – A$1.94 · the A$0.7000 price screens below the A$1.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Dusk Group Limited retails scented and unscented candles, home decor, home fragrances, and gift solutions in Australia.
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Dusk Group Limited retails scented and unscented candles, home decor, home fragrances, and gift solutions in Australia. The company offers candle accessories; wax melts and wax melt burners; reed, oil, and ultrasonic diffusers; oil and wax burners; diffuser accessories; and incense and incense holders, as well as essential and fragrant oils, reed refills, and room sprays. It also provides perfumes, body care and bath products, and soaps; room sprays, home cleaning products, and pillow mist; plates; linens, lighting products, glasses, and mugs; and gift cards and sets. The company operates through a network of physical and online stores under the Dusk brand name. Dusk Group Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Alexandria, Australia.
Stock analysis
Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) currently trades at A$0.7000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.56, implying the stock looks roughly 55.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$4.29 per share, and 22 of the 25 models we run sit above the A$0.7000 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.3400, and 3 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$1.17 (bear) to A$1.94 (bull), the price of A$0.7000 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Dusk Group Ltd reported revenue of A$137M in FY2024 versus A$149M in FY2020, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$4.4M in FY2024, compounding −33.0%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap A$47.9M (≈ $33.6M) · P/E ratio 8.8 · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0800 · Dividend yield 8.6% · Net margin 3.2% · Return on equity 11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 30.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 123%, DSK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$1.17Fair Value A$1.56Bull A$1.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0200 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)8.6%
Profit margin 2018 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+123% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.6% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dusk Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DSK
Frequently asked questions
Is Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.56 versus a price of A$0.7000, about +123% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DSK?
Our model-based fair value for Dusk Group Ltd is A$1.56 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.7000.
What is the quality score of DSK?
Dusk Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.56 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$1.17, optimistic scenario A$1.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dusk Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.56, about +123% upside versus a price of A$0.7000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$1.17, optimistic scenario A$1.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Dusk Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$142M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Dusk Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Dusk Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dusk Group Ltd it is A$1.56 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.7000. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dusk Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DSK trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.7000, fair value A$1.56, a gap of about +123% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DSK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.7000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.56). For Dusk Group Ltd the two are A$0.8600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dusk Group Ltd worth?
The market values Dusk Group Ltd at about A$47.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.7000; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DSK?
Our models span a range for Dusk Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$1.17, base A$1.56, optimistic A$1.94 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.7000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DSK?
Dusk Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$1.56 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 2.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dusk Group Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 11.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DSK from its 52-week high?
Dusk Group Ltd trades at A$0.7000, about 26% below its 52-week high of A$0.9522 and 4% above the low of A$0.6700 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.56 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dusk Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dusk Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.7000, calculated fair value A$1.56 (+123%), Quality Score 77/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DSK calculated?
We run Dusk Group Ltd through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$1.56, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Dusk Group Ltd currently trades 123 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.7000. Our model-based fair value is A$1.56, about +123% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dusk Group Ltd right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$1.17). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Dusk Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The market capitalisation of Dusk Group Ltd is A$47.9M (≈ $33.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dusk Group Ltd is 0.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Earnings per share at Dusk Group Ltd are A$0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The dividend yield of Dusk Group Ltd is 8.6% (payout 75.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The net margin of Dusk Group Ltd is 3.2% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dusk Group Ltd is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dusk Group Ltd is 30.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
The operating margin of Dusk Group Ltd is 17.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Revenue at Dusk Group Ltd is growing +5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dusk Group Ltd (DSK)?
Earnings per share at Dusk Group Ltd are growing +6.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) generate?
The free cash flow of Dusk Group Ltd is A$25.4M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Dusk Group Ltd (DSK) carry?
The net debt of Dusk Group Ltd is A$17.7M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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