Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd stock A$0.27, price A$0.62, that is 56.1% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.3426 – A$0.7372 · fair‑value band A$0.0935 – A$0.4165 · the A$0.6200 price screens above the A$0.2720 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Eureka Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages senior independent living communities in Australia. The company operates in two segments, Rental Villages and Property Management.
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It also engages in the ownership of seniors' and all-ages rental properties; and the provision of property management and caretaking services, as well as catering services. The company was formerly known as SCV Group Limited and changed its name to Eureka Group Holdings Limited in October 2010.
Eureka Group Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Stock analysis
Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH) currently trades at A$0.6200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2720, 56% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of A$0.3500 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the A$0.6200 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$0.0900, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0935 (bear) to A$0.4165 (bull), the price of A$0.6200 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Eureka Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of A$56.7M in FY2026 versus A$29.7M in FY2022, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$16.7M in FY2026, compounding +19.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$347M (≈ $239M) Micro · P/E ratio 16.0 · P/S ratio 4.20 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0387 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 29.4% · Return on equity 6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 64 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −56%, EGH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.0935Fair Value A$0.2720BullA$0.4165
Price A$0.6200 · Downside -56.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0090 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual IncomeA$0.3400A$0.3500A$0.370076
FCF DCFA$0.1100A$0.3600A$0.730074
Growth DCFA$0.1100A$0.3200A$0.620073
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFA$0.1100A$0.3600A$0.730074
5Y Revenue ExitA$0.0400A$0.2300A$0.480066
5Y EBITDA ExitA$0.0900A$0.3400A$0.640070
10Y Revenue ExitA$0.0600A$0.2300A$0.500060
10Y EBITDA ExitA$0.1000A$0.3100A$0.630063
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGMA$0.0500A$0.0900A$0.130067
DDM Multi-StageA$0.0500A$0.0900A$0.100067
Multiples
P/S MultipleA$0.3800A$0.5100A$0.630058
P/B MultipleA$0.3400A$0.4600A$0.570055
EV/EBITA$0.2000A$0.3500A$0.490064
EV/EBITDAA$0.1100A$0.2300A$0.340064
EV/Revenuen/aA$0.1100A$0.210046
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)A$0.2200A$0.3000A$0.440054
Growth DCF
Growth DCFA$0.1100A$0.3200A$0.620073
Rev-Margin DCFA$0.0400A$0.2200A$0.460066
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeA$0.3400A$0.3500A$0.370076
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+23.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.3% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+57.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.6% vs 3.2%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 26%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.9% a year for the price.
Compare Eureka Group Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 472 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−56.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.8% · Above median
Return on assets3.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)29.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)30.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)28.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.54× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)16.0× · Pricier than median
P/B0.94× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)4.20× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA24.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 55
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)27· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)73· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)48· sector 66
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eureka Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EGH
Frequently asked questions
Is Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.2720 versus a price of A$0.6200, about 56% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EGH?
Our model-based fair value for Eureka Group Holdings Ltd is A$0.2720 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.6200.
What is the quality score of EGH?
Eureka Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.2720 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0935, optimistic scenario A$0.4165. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Eureka Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.2720, about 56% lower versus a price of A$0.6200 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0935, optimistic scenario A$0.4165. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
Eureka Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$56.8M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Eureka Group Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Eureka Group Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.42% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Eureka Group Holdings Ltd pays a dividend of A$0.015 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 25, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2019. The payout ratio is 42.1% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 37.5%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.79 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Eureka Group Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +18.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.5 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EGH use?
Our models discount Eureka Group Holdings Ltd at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.06, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Eureka Group Holdings Ltd that is +18.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Eureka Group Holdings Ltd grew +15.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +18.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (+18.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.65 %: that much free cash flow Eureka Group Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Eureka Group Holdings Ltd it is A$0.2720 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of A$0.6200. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Eureka Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, EGH trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.6200, fair value A$0.2720, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EGH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.6200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.2720). For Eureka Group Holdings Ltd the two are A$0.3480 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Eureka Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Eureka Group Holdings Ltd at about A$347M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is A$0.6200; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.2720 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EGH?
Our models span a range for Eureka Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0935, base A$0.2720, optimistic A$0.4165 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price A$0.6200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EGH?
Eureka Group Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.0 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.2720 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2026 it is 18.0 (reported 16.0). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings, FY2026 ex one-offs: 12.6. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 4.2, EV/EBITDA 24.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 6.8%, debt of 0.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EGH from its 52-week high?
Eureka Group Holdings Ltd trades at A$0.6200, about 16% below its 52-week high of A$0.7372 and 38% above the low of A$0.4488 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.2720 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Eureka Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Eureka Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price A$0.6200, calculated fair value A$0.2720 (−56%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EGH calculated?
We run Eureka Group Holdings Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.2720 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Eureka Group Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.6200. Our model-based fair value is A$0.2720, about 56% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Eureka Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.4165). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0935 to A$0.4165). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH) come from?
Earnings per share at Eureka Group Holdings Ltd grew +2.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.3 %, EBIT margin −0.6 %, tax rate −4.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
The market capitalisation of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd is A$347M (≈ $239M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd is 4.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
Earnings per share at Eureka Group Holdings Ltd are A$0.0387 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
The dividend yield of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd is 2.4% (payout 42.1%, on adjusted earnings, reported 37.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
The net margin of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd is 29.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
The operating margin of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd is 30.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
Revenue at Eureka Group Holdings Ltd is growing +28.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH)?
Earnings per share at Eureka Group Holdings Ltd are growing −17.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (EGH) carry?
The net debt of Eureka Group Holdings Ltd is A$134M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 8.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 6, 2026