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PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk stock IDR 64, price IDR 88, that is 27.7% below the price, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive ID

PG PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk

GRPM · JK
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.

Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +33%, profit +78%.
Quality 47/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +32.3 %/yr in IDR)
Thin margins · 0.5% net margin (TTM)
Fair value 63.64 IDR · Overvalued
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 29/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

486.00 IDR 36.03 IDR Fair Value 63.64 IDR Jul 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range 36.03 IDR – 486.00 IDR · fair‑value band 45.45 IDR – 81.83 IDR · the 88.00 IDR price screens above the 63.64 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk operates as a fast-moving consumer goods distribution company in Indonesia. The company operates through Food and Beverage and Care Products segments. It also operates retail outlets.

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It distributes goods of Coca-cola brand, such as Coca-cola, Fanta, Sprite, Ades, Nutriboost, Pulpy Orange, freshtea, Schweppes, and AW drink. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Cirebon, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM) currently trades at 88.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 63.64 IDR, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 69.99 IDR per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the 88.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 9.35 IDR, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 45.45 IDR (bear) to 81.83 IDR (bull), the price of 88.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk reported revenue of 754B IDR in FY2025 versus 326B IDR in FY2022, a compound +32.3%/yr. Reported net income was 3.0B IDR in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap 136B IDR (≈ $7.6M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.16 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% (4-year average) · Operating margin 2.1% · Revenue (TTM) 904B IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 82% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −28%, GRPM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 45.45 IDR Fair Value 63.64 IDR Bull 81.83 IDR
Price 88.00 IDR · Downside -27.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 27.83 IDR 28.06 IDR 29.57 IDR 73
EPV 26.13 IDR 28.54 IDR 30.44 IDR 68
ROIC Compounder 26.13 IDR 28.54 IDR 30.44 IDR 67
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 13.14 IDR 91.66 IDR 128.63 IDR 60
Lynch FV 39.70 IDR 56.71 IDR 73.72 IDR 58
PEG = 1.0 39.70 IDR 56.71 IDR 73.72 IDR 55
EPV 26.13 IDR 28.54 IDR 30.44 IDR 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 6.04 IDR 9.44 IDR 11.67 IDR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 6.04 IDR 9.26 IDR 10.21 IDR 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 30.44 IDR 40.59 IDR 50.74 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 24.64 IDR 32.86 IDR 41.07 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 190.62 IDR 254.16 IDR 317.70 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 62.48 IDR 82.30 IDR 102.12 IDR 63
EV/Revenue 45.45 IDR 63.64 IDR 81.83 IDR 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.58 IDR 19.05 IDR 23.82 IDR 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income 27.83 IDR 28.06 IDR 29.57 IDR 73
ROIC Compounder 26.13 IDR 28.54 IDR 30.44 IDR 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 49.00 IDR 69.99 IDR 90.99 IDR 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 45
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 4
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 72
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 33
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 46
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−2.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%

GRPM screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 80 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −27.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 7.1% · Below median
Return on assets 1.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 2.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 33.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.87× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 12.2× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)28 · sector 54
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)22 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥115.00 ¥173.16 +51% vs GRPM
Celsius Holdings CELH $32.16 $35.38 +10% vs GRPM
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$45.22 HK$49.28 +9% vs GRPM
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $45.72 $41.19 −10% vs GRPM
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹438.00 ₹339.34 −23% vs GRPM
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP $116.13 $89.56 −23% vs GRPM
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $141.34 $97.18 −31% vs GRPM
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $36.63 $24.43 −33% vs GRPM
Primo Brands Corporation PRMB $22.39 $12.23 −45% vs GRPM
The Coca-Cola Company KO $95.67 $29.32 −69% vs GRPM

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PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRPM

Frequently asked questions

Is PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 63.64 IDR versus a price of 88.00 IDR, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GRPM?
Our model-based fair value for PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 63.64 IDR (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 88.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GRPM?
PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 63.64 IDR (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 45.45 IDR, optimistic scenario 81.83 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 63.64 IDR, about 28% lower versus a price of 88.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 45.45 IDR, optimistic scenario 81.83 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 904B IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of 1.09% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk has a dividend yield of 1.1%.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk it is 63.64 IDR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 88.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, GRPM trades above its calculated fair value: price 88.00 IDR, fair value 63.64 IDR, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRPM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (88.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (63.64 IDR). For PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk the two are 24.36 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk worth?
The market values PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk at about 136B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 88.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 63.64 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRPM?
Our models span a range for PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk: cautious scenario 45.45 IDR, base 63.64 IDR, optimistic 81.83 IDR per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 88.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 7.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRPM from its 52-week high?
PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk trades at 88.00 IDR, about 82% below its 52-week high of 486.00 IDR and 49% above the low of 59.00 IDR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 63.64 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 88.00 IDR, calculated fair value 63.64 IDR (−28%), Quality Score 47/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRPM calculated?
We run PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk through 15 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 63.64 IDR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 88.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 63.64 IDR, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (81.83 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (47/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (45.45 IDR to 81.83 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The market capitalisation of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 136B IDR (≈ $7.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 0.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The dividend yield of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 1.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The net margin of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 0.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 5.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The operating margin of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
Revenue at PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is growing +33.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
Earnings per share at PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk are growing +77.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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