PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk IDR 41, price IDR 151, upside -73.1%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range 36.03 IDR – 486.00 IDR · fair‑value band 30.44 IDR – 50.74 IDR · the 151.00 IDR price screens above the 40.59 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk operates as a fast-moving consumer goods distribution company in Indonesia. The company operates through Food and Beverage and Care Products segments. It also operates retail outlets. It distributes goods of Coca-cola brand, such as Coca-cola, Fanta, Sprite, Ades, Nutriboost, Pulpy Orange, freshtea, Schweppes, and AW drink.
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PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk operates as a fast-moving consumer goods distribution company in Indonesia. The company operates through Food and Beverage and Care Products segments. It also operates retail outlets. It distributes goods of Coca-cola brand, such as Coca-cola, Fanta, Sprite, Ades, Nutriboost, Pulpy Orange, freshtea, Schweppes, and AW drink. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Cirebon, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM) currently trades at 151.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.59 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 272.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 69.99 IDR per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 151.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 14.87 IDR, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 30.44 IDR (bear) to 50.74 IDR (bull), the price of 151.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk reported revenue of 754B IDR in FY2025 versus 326B IDR in FY2022, a compound +32.3%/yr. Reported net income was 3.0B IDR in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 262B IDR (≈ $14.7M) · P/S ratio 0.29 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity 7.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin 2.1% · Revenue (TTM) 904B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 156% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −73%, GRPM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 30.44 IDRFair Value 40.59 IDRBull 50.74 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.3%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−2.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Compare PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−73% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Below median
Return on assets4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth33% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 47
PAST (return on equity)28· sector 50
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)12· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRPM
Frequently asked questions
Is PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.59 IDR versus a price of 151.00 IDR, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GRPM?
Our model-based fair value for PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 40.59 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 151.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GRPM?
PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 40.59 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 30.44 IDR, optimistic scenario 50.74 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 40.59 IDR, about −73% upside versus a price of 151.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 30.44 IDR, optimistic scenario 50.74 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 904B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk it is 40.59 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 151.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GRPM trades above its calculated fair value: price 151.00 IDR, fair value 40.59 IDR, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRPM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (151.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (40.59 IDR). For PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk the two are 110.41 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk worth?
The market values PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk at about 262B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 151.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 40.59 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRPM?
Our models span a range for PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk: cautious scenario 30.44 IDR, base 40.59 IDR, optimistic 50.74 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 151.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRPM from its 52-week high?
PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk trades at 151.00 IDR, about 69% below its 52-week high of 486.00 IDR and 156% above the low of 59.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 40.59 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 151.00 IDR, calculated fair value 40.59 IDR (−73%), Quality Score 47/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRPM calculated?
We run PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 40.59 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 151.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 40.59 IDR, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (50.74 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The market capitalisation of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 262B IDR (≈ $14.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 0.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The dividend yield of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 0.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The net margin of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 5.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
The operating margin of PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
Revenue at PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk is growing +33.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk (GRPM)?
Earnings per share at PT Graha Prima Mentari Tbk are growing +77.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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