ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd (ICL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd stock $4.84, price $4.68, upside +3.5%, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd
ICL · USThe stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.52 – $9.59 · fair‑value band $3.04 – $5.33 · the $4.68 price screens below the $4.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Company profile
ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Growing Solutions.
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The Industrial Products segment produces bromine out of a solution that is a by-product of the potash production process, as well as bromine-based compounds; sells various grades of potash, salt, magnesium chloride, and magnesia products; and produces and markets phosphorous-based flame retardants and other phosphorus-based products.
The Potash segment produces and sells potash, salt, magnesium, electricity, and magnesium alloys; as well as chlorine and sylvinite.
The Phosphate segment uses phosphate commodity products to produce specialty products; sells phosphate-based fertilizers, as well as sulphuric and green phosphoric acid, and phosphate fertilizers; and offers phosphate salts and acids.
It also develops and produces functional food ingredients and phosphate additives.
The Growing Solutions segment develops, manufactures, markets, and sells fertilizers based primarily on nitrogen, potash, and phosphate, including water-soluble specialty, and controlled-release fertilizers, as well as secondary nutrients, bio-stimulants, soil conditioners, seed treatment products, and adjuvants.
It also offers digital platforms and technological solutions for farmers and agronomists.
The company serves pharmaceutical, food, oil and gas, de-icing, building and construction, oral care, paints and coatings, energy storage, water treatment, electronics, automotive, agriculture, textiles, tire manufacturing, and healthcare industries, as well as power plants and battery producers.
It sells its products through marketing companies, agents, and distributors. The company was formerly known as Israel Chemicals Ltd. and changed its name to ICL Group Ltd in May 2020. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Stock analysis
ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd (ICL) currently trades at $4.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.84, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.3%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $5.45 per share, and 8 of the 23 models we run sit above the $4.68 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.03, and 15 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $3.04 (bear) to $5.33 (bull), the price of $4.68 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd reported revenue of $7.2B in FY2025 versus $7.0B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was $226M in FY2025, compounding −26.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $6.0B Mid · P/E ratio 19.9 · P/S ratio 0.78 · EPS (TTM) $0.2400 · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at 3%, ICL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 23 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Recent news
- ICL Group (ICL) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
- Do Options Traders Know Something About ICL Group Stock We Don't?
- Is ICL Group (NYSE:ICL) Undervalued Based On Future Cash Flow?
- ICL Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call
Compare ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 162 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Debt-to-equity by industry
- Price/FCF by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | $71.48 | $83.09 | +16% | vs ICL |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥23.15 | ¥26.81 | +16% | vs ICL |
| The Mosaic Company MOS | $22.36 | $25.77 | +15% | vs ICL |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 401.00 | kr 419.83 | +5% | vs ICL |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥36.68 | ¥38.01 | +4% | vs ICL |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.39 | $114.88 | −4% | vs ICL |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹534.90 | ₹478.29 | −11% | vs ICL |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥26.22 | ¥17.67 | −33% | vs ICL |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹1,824 | ₹1,129 | −38% | vs ICL |
| The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company SMG | $64.71 | $37.63 | −42% | vs ICL |
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Key figures of ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd
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