Watch Inspired Entertainment Inc for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes.

Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Inspired Entertainment Inc stock $2.95, price $3.70, that is 20.3% below the price, quality 32 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

10 models, one by oneBear $2.95 to bull $9.27 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 32/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Consumer Cyclical US

Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Inspired Entertainment Inc

INSE · US

Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 20% below what the stock costs today.

Generates free cash flow

Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.9 %/yr in USD)

Negative equity (buybacks among others)

Revenue last quarter 29% below a year ago.

Fair value $2.95 · Overvalued

Quality 32/100

Loss-making · -3.0% net margin (TTM)

Trails peers (3/9)

Narrow moat 33/100

Thin data

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.17 – $16.30 · fair‑value band $2.95 – $9.27 · the $3.70 price screens above the $2.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Inspired Entertainment, Inc., a gaming technology company, supplies content, platform, and other products and services to online and land-based regulated lottery, betting, and gaming operators in the United Kingdom, Greece, and internationally.

Show moreShow less

It operates in four segments: Gaming, Virtual Sports, Interactive, and Leisure.

The Gaming segment supplies gaming terminals and software to licensed betting offices, casinos, gaming halls, and adult gaming centers; a portfolio of games through its digital terminals under the Gold Cash Free Spins, Golden Winner, Cops n Robbers Big Money, Big Piggy Bank, and Wolf it Up; and a range of traditional casino games, such as roulette, blackjack, and number games.

This segment also offers Velos, Vantage Slant, Astra's Community Party, Valiant, Vantage Cat C, Vantage, Valor, Prismatic B3, Prismatic Cat C, Ipub3, Sabre Hydra, Eclipse, and Flex gaming cabinets.

Its Virtual Sports segment designs, develops, markets, and distributes games, including greyhound racing, tennis, motor racing, cycling, cricket, speedway, golf, and darts games under the V-Play Soccer, V-Play Women's Soccer, V-Play Football, V-Play Basketball, and V-Play Baseball brands.

The Interactive segment provides a range of random number generated casino content from feature-rich bonus games to European-style casino free spins and table games. Its Leisure segment supplies gaming terminals and amusement machines in pubs, bingo halls, and adult gaming centers.

Inspired Entertainment, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE) currently trades at $3.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.95, 20% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $13.14 per share, and 4 of the 10 models we run sit above the $3.70 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $2.29, and 6 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $2.95 (bear) to $9.27 (bull), the price of $3.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Inspired Entertainment Inc reported revenue of $304M in FY2025 versus $206M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$17.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $108M Micro · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2500 · Net margin −3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 19.9% · Revenue (TTM) $257M · Revenue growth (YoY) −28.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at −20%, INSE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.95 Fair Value $2.95 Bull $9.27

Price $3.70 · Downside -20.3%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

FCF DCF n/a $2.13 $6.84 77

Growth DCF n/a $1.55 $5.31 75

5Y EBITDA Exit $7.73 $21.41 $37.54 71

All 10 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF n/a $2.13 $6.84 77

5Y Revenue Exit n/a $2.95 $9.27 69

5Y EBITDA Exit $7.73 $21.41 $37.54 71

10Y Revenue Exit n/a $1.88 $7.29 64

10Y EBITDA Exit $3.18 $12.54 $25.29 62

Multiples

EV/EBIT $6.81 $13.14 $19.47 63

EV/EBITDA $18.36 $28.55 $38.73 66

EV/Revenue n/a $1.65 $5.81 50

Growth DCF

Growth DCF n/a $1.55 $5.31 75

Rev-Margin DCF n/a $3.02 $8.95 69

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 30

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 29

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 29

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 10

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 26

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 28

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 0

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 4

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 78

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

BuyA Lorne WeilExecutive Chairman, Director, 10% owner2× since Nov 26, 2025: 100,000 shares, avg. $7.45$745,415Mar 27, 2026
BuyBrooks H PiercePresident and CEO2× since Nov 20, 2025: 40,000 shares, avg. $7.02$280,933Mar 27, 2026
BuyMichael R. ChambrelloDirector10,000 shares at $6.92$69,241Mar 26, 2026

Plus 2 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Revenue growth 1 year

+2.4%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+2.2%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+8.9%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.1% a year

Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+5.9%

’14

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−9.1% (2020) → 12.2% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price

The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+43.0%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

−0.5%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +39.7% a year for the price and −2.8% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)−17.3%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.8%

Projected 2028 (sales)+4.4%

Projected 2029 (sales)+4.1%

Projected 2030 (sales)+3.7%

INSE screens overvalued: fair value 20% below the price. Compare with Evolution AB →

Compare Inspired Entertainment Inc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gambling · 45 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −20.3% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Return on assets −3.9% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (12 months) −3.0% · Below median

Operating margin (12 months) 19.9% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −28.8% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Gambling median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

P/S (12 months) 0.42× · Cheapest 25%

Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 16.9× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 4.9× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)6 · sector 54

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 37

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29

HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 88

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 85

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

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Inspired Entertainment Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Inspired Entertainment Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INSE

Frequently asked questions

Is Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.95 versus a price of $3.70, about 20% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of INSE?

Our model-based fair value for Inspired Entertainment Inc is $2.95 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.70.

What is the quality score of INSE?

Inspired Entertainment Inc has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.95 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.95, optimistic scenario $9.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Inspired Entertainment Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $2.95, about 20% lower versus a price of $3.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.95, optimistic scenario $9.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

Inspired Entertainment Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $257M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).

What growth is priced into Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Inspired Entertainment Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +43.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.9 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of INSE use?

Our models discount Inspired Entertainment Inc at 13.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.16, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Inspired Entertainment Inc that is +43.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Inspired Entertainment Inc grew +8.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +43.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Inspired Entertainment Inc (+43.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.91 %: that much free cash flow Inspired Entertainment Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Inspired Entertainment Inc it is $2.95 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $3.70. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF).

Is Inspired Entertainment Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 8, 2026, INSE trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.70, fair value $2.95, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of INSE?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.95). For Inspired Entertainment Inc the two are $0.7500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Inspired Entertainment Inc worth?

The market values Inspired Entertainment Inc at about $108M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $3.70; our models calculate a fair value of $2.95 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about INSE?

Our models span a range for Inspired Entertainment Inc: cautious scenario $2.95, base $2.95, optimistic $9.27 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $3.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

Balance-sheet figures for Inspired Entertainment Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is INSE from its 52-week high?

Inspired Entertainment Inc trades at $3.70, about 62% below its 52-week high of $9.82 and 17% above the low of $3.17 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.95 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Inspired Entertainment Inc?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Evolution AB, Flutter Entertainment plc, The Lottery Corporation, Lottomatica Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Inspired Entertainment Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $3.70, calculated fair value $2.95 (−20%), Quality Score 32/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of INSE calculated?

We run Inspired Entertainment Inc through 10 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $2.95 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Inspired Entertainment Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $3.70. Our model-based fair value is $2.95, about 20% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Inspired Entertainment Inc right now?

Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($2.95 to $9.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Inspired Entertainment Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

The market capitalisation of Inspired Entertainment Inc is $108M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Inspired Entertainment Inc is 0.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

Earnings per share at Inspired Entertainment Inc are $−0.2500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

The net margin of Inspired Entertainment Inc is −3.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Inspired Entertainment Inc is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

The operating margin of Inspired Entertainment Inc is 19.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE)?

Revenue at Inspired Entertainment Inc is growing −28.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How much net debt does Inspired Entertainment Inc (INSE) carry?

The net debt of Inspired Entertainment Inc is $321M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 50.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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