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Inspired Entertainment, Inc (INSE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $213M

IE Inspired Entertainment, Inc logo Inspired Entertainment, Inc INSE · US
Price$6.65
Fair Value$12.99
Upside+95.3%
Quality32/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -18.7% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range $12.99 – $19.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −6.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 95% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.99). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.30 $6.11 Fair Value $12.99 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.11 – $16.30 · fair‑value band $12.99 – $19.25 · the $6.65 price screens below the $12.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Inspired Entertainment, Inc (INSE) currently trades at $6.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.99, implying the stock looks roughly 95.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Inspired Entertainment, Inc generated revenue of $137M at a net margin of -18.7%. Revenue declined 10.1% year over year. Net debt stands at $321M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.99 (bear case) to $19.25 (bull case); at $6.65, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 95%, INSE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Rev-Margin DCF $4.44 74
EV/EBITDA $18.83 $28.90 $38.96 54
EV/EBIT $7.41 $13.67 $19.93 53
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $5.40 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.62 $18.15 $34.27 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.7600 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.23 $19.74 37
Multiples
EV/EBIT $7.41 $13.67 $19.93 53
EV/EBITDA $18.83 $28.90 $38.96 54
EV/Revenue $2.31 $6.42 43
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF $4.44 74

Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.67) versus DCF Models ($7.23). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $137M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.1%
Net margin -18.7%
Free cash flow $6.4M FY2025
Operating margin 5.7%
EPS (TTM) $-0.6000
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +398,191%
Net debt $321M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Inspired Entertainment, Inc., a gaming technology company, supplies content, platform, and other products and services to online and land-based regulated lottery, betting, and gaming operators in the United Kingdom, Greece, and internationally. It operates in four segments: Gaming, Virtual Sports, Interactive, and Leisure.

Full company description

Inspired Entertainment, Inc., a gaming technology company, supplies content, platform, and other products and services to online and land-based regulated lottery, betting, and gaming operators in the United Kingdom, Greece, and internationally. It operates in four segments: Gaming, Virtual Sports, Interactive, and Leisure. The Gaming segment supplies gaming terminals and software to licensed betting offices, casinos, gaming halls, and adult gaming centers; a portfolio of games through its digital terminals under the Gold Cash Free Spins, Golden Winner, Cops n Robbers Big Money, Big Piggy Bank, and Wolf it Up; and a range of traditional casino games, such as roulette, blackjack, and number games. This segment also offers Velos, Vantage Slant, Astra's Community Party, Valiant, Vantage Cat C, Vantage, Valor, Prismatic B3, Prismatic Cat C, Ipub3, Sabre Hydra, Eclipse, and Flex gaming cabinets. Its Virtual Sports segment designs, develops, markets, and distributes games, including greyhound racing, tennis, motor racing, cycling, cricket, speedway, golf, and darts games under the V-Play Soccer, V-Play Women's Soccer, V-Play Football, V-Play Basketball, and V-Play Baseball brands. The Interactive segment provides a range of random number generated casino content from feature-rich bonus games to European-style casino free spins and table games. Its Leisure segment supplies gaming terminals and amusement machines in pubs, bingo halls, and adult gaming centers. Inspired Entertainment, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Inspired Entertainment, Inc reported revenue of $304M in FY2025 versus $206M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$17.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$304M
Latest YoY
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Revenue +10.3%/yr
FY21 $206M
FY22 $285M
FY23 $323M
FY24 $297M
FY25 $304M
Net income
FY21 −$40.6M
FY22 $21.2M
FY23 $6.9M
FY24 $64.8M
FY25 −$17.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Inspired Entertainment, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INSE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Gambling · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +95% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 1.56× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 33.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 30
FUTURE 0 · sector 9
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT $110.66 $88.33 -20%
Evolution AB EVO kr 684.00 kr 974.80 +43%
The Lottery Corporation TLC A$5.62 A$2.99 -47%
Super Group SGHC $14.73 $9.39 -36%
Lottomatica Group LTMC €25.62 €16.38 -36%
Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO $78.94 $70.17 -11%
Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN $83.95 $94.74 +13%
FDJ United FDJ €23.24 €20.97 -10%
Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL $10.71 $17.61 +64%
Tabcorp Holdings TAH A$0.8750 A$0.3700 -58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Inspired Entertainment, Inc (INSE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.99 versus a price of $6.65, about +95% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of INSE?
Our model-based fair value for Inspired Entertainment, Inc is $12.99 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.65.
What is the quality score of INSE?
Inspired Entertainment, Inc has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Inspired Entertainment, Inc (INSE)?
Inspired Entertainment, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $137M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of INSE?
The net profit margin of Inspired Entertainment, Inc is about -18.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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