Inspired Entertainment, Inc (INSE) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $213M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −6.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 95% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.99). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.11 – $16.30 · fair‑value band $12.99 – $19.25 · the $6.65 price screens below the $12.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Inspired Entertainment, Inc (INSE) currently trades at $6.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.99, implying the stock looks roughly 95.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Inspired Entertainment, Inc generated revenue of $137M at a net margin of -18.7%. Revenue declined 10.1% year over year. Net debt stands at $321M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $12.99 (bear case) to $19.25 (bull case); at $6.65, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 95%, INSE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.67) versus DCF Models ($7.23). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Inspired Entertainment, Inc., a gaming technology company, supplies content, platform, and other products and services to online and land-based regulated lottery, betting, and gaming operators in the United Kingdom, Greece, and internationally. It operates in four segments: Gaming, Virtual Sports, Interactive, and Leisure.
Full company description
Inspired Entertainment, Inc., a gaming technology company, supplies content, platform, and other products and services to online and land-based regulated lottery, betting, and gaming operators in the United Kingdom, Greece, and internationally. It operates in four segments: Gaming, Virtual Sports, Interactive, and Leisure. The Gaming segment supplies gaming terminals and software to licensed betting offices, casinos, gaming halls, and adult gaming centers; a portfolio of games through its digital terminals under the Gold Cash Free Spins, Golden Winner, Cops n Robbers Big Money, Big Piggy Bank, and Wolf it Up; and a range of traditional casino games, such as roulette, blackjack, and number games. This segment also offers Velos, Vantage Slant, Astra's Community Party, Valiant, Vantage Cat C, Vantage, Valor, Prismatic B3, Prismatic Cat C, Ipub3, Sabre Hydra, Eclipse, and Flex gaming cabinets. Its Virtual Sports segment designs, develops, markets, and distributes games, including greyhound racing, tennis, motor racing, cycling, cricket, speedway, golf, and darts games under the V-Play Soccer, V-Play Women's Soccer, V-Play Football, V-Play Basketball, and V-Play Baseball brands. The Interactive segment provides a range of random number generated casino content from feature-rich bonus games to European-style casino free spins and table games. Its Leisure segment supplies gaming terminals and amusement machines in pubs, bingo halls, and adult gaming centers. Inspired Entertainment, Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Inspired Entertainment, Inc reported revenue of $304M in FY2025 versus $206M in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$17.0M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Inspired Entertainment Goes Live Across Alberta's Newly Regulated iGaming Market
- Are Investors Undervaluing Inspired Entertainment (INSE) Right Now?
- Inspired (INSE): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q1 Earnings?
Peer Group
Gambling · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT | $110.66 | $88.33 | -20% |
| Evolution AB EVO | kr 684.00 | kr 974.80 | +43% |
| The Lottery Corporation TLC | A$5.62 | A$2.99 | -47% |
| Super Group SGHC | $14.73 | $9.39 | -36% |
| Lottomatica Group LTMC | €25.62 | €16.38 | -36% |
| Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO | $78.94 | $70.17 | -11% |
| Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN | $83.95 | $94.74 | +13% |
| FDJ United FDJ | €23.24 | €20.97 | -10% |
| Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL | $10.71 | $17.61 | +64% |
| Tabcorp Holdings TAH | A$0.8750 | A$0.3700 | -58% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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