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Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jameson Resources Ltd stock A$0.03, price A$0.04, that is 15.8% below the price, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000JAL1

JR Jameson Resources Ltd logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

Jameson Resources Ltd

JAL · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 16% below what the stock costs today.

Ranks above peers (5/6)
Revenue last quarter +32% vs. a year ago.
Fair value A$0.0337 · Overvalued
Quality 38/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.4 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 11/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1250 A$0.0220 Fair Value A$0.0337 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0220 – A$0.1250 · fair‑value band A$0.0295 – A$0.0379 · the A$0.0400 price screens above the A$0.0337 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Jameson Resources Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of coal projects in Canada. Its flagship project is the Crown Mountain Hard Coking Coal Project located in the Elk Valley, British Columbia. Jameson Resources Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Stock analysis

Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL) currently trades at A$0.0400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0337, 16% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0295 (bear) to A$0.0379 (bull), the price of A$0.0400 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Jameson Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$47.9K in FY2025 versus A$35.1K in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.3M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$41.3M (≈ $28.5M) Micro · Return on equity −2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −5,659% · Revenue (TTM) A$25.3K · Revenue growth (YoY) +31.5% · Free cash flow −A$764K · Net cash A$647K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −16%, JAL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0295 Fair Value A$0.0337 Bull A$0.0379
Price A$0.0400 · Downside -15.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 27
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 76
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 73
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 41
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 19
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 6
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 4/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+466.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.0% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,607.1% (2020) → −2,581.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

JAL screens overvalued: fair value 16% below the price. Compare with Warrior Met Coal, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Coking Coal · 20 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/5 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside −15.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 31.5% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.96× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)12 · sector 9
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 62
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal

Similar stocks

10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 HK$2.55 HK$3.68 +44% vs JAL
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 ¥5.38 ¥6.12 +14% vs JAL
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR 1,310 IDR 1,238 IDR −6% vs JAL
Mongolian Mining Corporation 0975 HK$6.89 HK$5.60 −19% vs JAL
Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 ¥3.24 ¥2.48 −23% vs JAL
Shanxi Coking Co 600740 ¥3.50 ¥2.38 −32% vs JAL
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR $147.93 $92.08 −38% vs JAL
SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC $9.80 $5.64 −42% vs JAL
Coronado Global Resources Inc CODQL $0.1050 $0.0400 −62% vs JAL
Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC $84.15 $28.76 −66% vs JAL

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Jameson Resources Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jameson Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JAL

Frequently asked questions

Is Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0337 versus a price of A$0.0400, about 16% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JAL?
Our model-based fair value for Jameson Resources Ltd is A$0.0337 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0400.
What is the quality score of JAL?
Jameson Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0337 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0295, optimistic scenario A$0.0379. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jameson Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0337, about 16% lower versus a price of A$0.0400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0295, optimistic scenario A$0.0379. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
Jameson Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$25.3K (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jameson Resources Ltd it is A$0.0337 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of A$0.0400. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Jameson Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, JAL trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0400, fair value A$0.0337, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JAL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0337). For Jameson Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0063 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jameson Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Jameson Resources Ltd at about A$41.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0400; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0337 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JAL?
Our models span a range for Jameson Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0295, base A$0.0337, optimistic A$0.0379 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price A$0.0400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jameson Resources Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −2.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JAL from its 52-week high?
Jameson Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0400, about 57% below its 52-week high of A$0.0930 and 21% above the low of A$0.0330 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0337 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jameson Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Warrior Met Coal, Inc, PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk,, Shanxi Meijin Energy Co, Coronado Global Resources Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jameson Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price A$0.0400, calculated fair value A$0.0337 (−16%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JAL calculated?
We run Jameson Resources Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0337 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Jameson Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$0.0400. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0337, about 16% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jameson Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0379). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Jameson Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
The market capitalisation of Jameson Resources Ltd is A$41.3M (≈ $28.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jameson Resources Ltd is −2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jameson Resources Ltd is −2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
The operating margin of Jameson Resources Ltd is −5,659% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
Revenue at Jameson Resources Ltd is growing +31.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +341%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL) generate?
The free cash flow of Jameson Resources Ltd is −A$764K (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL) hold?
Jameson Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$647K net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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