Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Jameson Resources Ltd A$0.03, price A$0.04, upside -11.7%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0220 – A$0.1250 · fair‑value band A$0.0287 – A$0.0349 · the A$0.0360 price screens above the A$0.0318 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Jameson Resources Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of coal projects in Canada. Its flagship project is the Crown Mountain Hard Coking Coal Project located in the Elk Valley, British Columbia. Jameson Resources Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL) currently trades at A$0.0360, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0318, implying the stock looks roughly 13.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: A$0.0287 (bear) to A$0.0349 (bull), the price of A$0.0360 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Jameson Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$47.9K in FY2025 versus A$35.1K in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$32.4M (≈ $22.8M) · Return on equity −2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.8% · Operating margin −3,706% · Revenue (TTM) A$23.0K · Revenue growth (YoY) −61.2% · Free cash flow −A$7.2M · Net cash A$2.8M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −12%, JAL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0287Fair Value A$0.0318Bull A$0.0349
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+466.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.0% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2,607.1% (2020) → −2,581.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Coking Coal · 27 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Below median
Fair Value upside−12% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−61% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
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Is Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0318 versus a price of A$0.0360, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JAL?
Our model-based fair value for Jameson Resources Ltd is A$0.0318 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0360.
What is the quality score of JAL?
Jameson Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0318 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0287, optimistic scenario A$0.0349. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jameson Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0318, about −12% upside versus a price of A$0.0360 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0287, optimistic scenario A$0.0349. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
Jameson Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$23.0K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jameson Resources Ltd it is A$0.0318 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0360. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jameson Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, JAL trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0360, fair value A$0.0318, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JAL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0360); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0318). For Jameson Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0042 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jameson Resources Ltd worth?
The market values Jameson Resources Ltd at about A$32.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0360; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0318 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JAL?
Our models span a range for Jameson Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0287, base A$0.0318, optimistic A$0.0349 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0360). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jameson Resources Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −2.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JAL from its 52-week high?
Jameson Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0360, about 67% below its 52-week high of A$0.1100 and 9% above the low of A$0.0330 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0318 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jameson Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Warrior Met Coal, Inc, PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk,, Shanxi Meijin Energy Co, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jameson Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0360, calculated fair value A$0.0318 (−12%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JAL calculated?
We run Jameson Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0318, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Jameson Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0360. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0318, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jameson Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0349). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Jameson Resources Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
The market capitalisation of Jameson Resources Ltd is A$32.4M (≈ $22.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jameson Resources Ltd is −2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jameson Resources Ltd is −2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
The operating margin of Jameson Resources Ltd is −3,706% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL)?
Revenue at Jameson Resources Ltd is growing −61.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +341%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL) generate?
The free cash flow of Jameson Resources Ltd is −A$7.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Jameson Resources Ltd (JAL) hold?
Jameson Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$2.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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