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Jameson Resources Limited (JAL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$35.6M

JR Jameson Resources Limited JAL · AU
PriceA$0.0450
Fair ValueA$0.0340
Upside-24.4%
Quality27/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0325 – A$0.0402 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0402). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.1250 A$0.0220 Fair Value A$0.0340 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0220 – A$0.1250 · fair‑value band A$0.0325 – A$0.0402 · the A$0.0450 price screens above the A$0.0340 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Jameson Resources Limited (JAL) currently trades at A$0.0450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0340, implying the stock looks roughly 24.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$23.0K. Revenue declined 61.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0325 (bear case) to A$0.0402 (bull case); at A$0.0450, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -24%, JAL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0500 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$23.0K
Revenue growth (YoY) -61.2%
Return on equity -2.4%
Free cash flow −A$7.2M FY2025
Operating margin -3,706%
Net cash A$2.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jameson Resources Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of coal projects in Canada. Its flagship project is the Crown Mountain Hard Coking Coal Project located in the Elk Valley, British Columbia. Jameson Resources Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Sydney, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jameson Resources Limited reported revenue of A$47.9K in FY2025 versus A$35.1K in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$47.9K
Latest YoY
+466.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.6%
Revenue +8.0%/yr
FY21 A$35.1K
FY22 A$559
FY23 A$5.1K
FY24 A$8.4K
FY25 A$47.9K
Net income
FY21 −A$841K
FY22 −A$861K
FY23 −A$1.8M
FY24 −A$1.2M
FY25 −A$1.1M

JAL screens 24% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jameson Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JAL

Peer Group

Coking Coal · 28 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Below median
Fair Value upside −24% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -61% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.58× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 1 · sector 3
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 11

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR 1,515 IDR 1,267 IDR -16%
Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC $78.91 $18.35 -77%
Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 ¥3.34 ¥1.24 -63%
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR $143.80 $45.29 -69%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 HK$2.39 HK$2.34 -2%
Shanxi Coking Co 600740 ¥3.54 ¥1.75 -51%
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 ¥5.41 ¥1.72 -68%
Ramaco Resources, Inc METC $12.80 $1.74 -86%
Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 ¥2.63 ¥1.91 -27%
SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC $8.37 $3.67 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jameson Resources Limited (JAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0340 versus a price of A$0.0450, about −24% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JAL?
Our model-based fair value for Jameson Resources Limited is A$0.0340 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0450.
What is the quality score of JAL?
Jameson Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jameson Resources Limited (JAL)?
Jameson Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$23.0K (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JAL?
The net profit margin of Jameson Resources Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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