Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd stock $27.26, price $24.76, upside +10.1%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.30 – $52.01 · fair‑value band $18.20 – $38.40 · the $24.76 price screens below the $27.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.
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MITSUI E&S Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine propulsion systems in Japan, rest of Asia, Europe, North America, and internationally.
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It operates through New Business Development, Marine Propulsion Systems, Logistics Systems, Peripheral Businesses, and Ocean Development segments.
The company offers marine propulsion systems, including marine engines, fuel supply systems, auxiliary machineries for dual fuel engines, CMAXS e-GICSX engine monitoring system, and e-GICS advance marine engine performance diagnostic system; logistics system comprising container and industrial cranes, port cranes, container terminal management systems, crane monitoring systems, and crane advance remote monitoring systems; industrial machinery, such as process compressors, gas turbines, blowers, process equipment, reciprocating and axial flow compressors, top pressure recovery turbine generating systems, pressure vessels, and steam tube dryers; and after-sales services.
It is also involved in gas carriers engineering, stationary power generation plants, system development/system related equipment, steel structures, hull blocks, and mechanical and electrical equipment maintenance activities.
In addition, the company provides floating production storage offloading vessels; and IT solutions. Further, it offers rubber-tired-gantry crane; and hydraulic model testing equipment. MITSUI E&S Co., Ltd. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY) currently trades at $24.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.26, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $41.60 per share, and 13 of the 24 models we run sit above the $24.76 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $9.06, and 11 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $18.20 (bear) to $38.40 (bull), the price of $24.76 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥374B in FY2026 versus ¥579B in FY2022, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥40.8B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $2.5B Mid · P/E ratio 9.8 · P/S ratio 1.07 · EPS (TTM) $2.53 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 10.9% · Return on equity 19.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% (3-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 10%, MIESY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$18.20Fair Value $27.26Bull$38.40
Price $24.76 · Upside +10.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.54 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −7.4% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+38.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+37.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 11%
2026 sits 54% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.4% a year for the price and +1.9% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: Specialized segments support steadier results via marine engine focus after the shipbuilding exit, yet this narrows the business and raises sensitivity to engine cycle swings plus defense spending shifts.
Main risk: Heightened exposure to marine engine demand cycles and defense spending changes threatens revenue stability and margins in the narrowed specialized segments.
Mitsui E&S expects profits to surpass its full-year guidance on the back of strong marine engine demand following a shift in its crane operations. The move away from commercial shipbuilding narrows the business to specialized segments that may deliver steadier results yet also heighten exposure to engine cycle swings or defense spending changes. Will the engine focus drive more durable gains than the risks it introduces?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside+10.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)19.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets8.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)10.8% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)11.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)13.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)9.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.72× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.09× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)19.3× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MIESY
Frequently asked questions
Is Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.26 versus the last price from Oct 16, 2026 of $24.76, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MIESY?
Our model-based fair value for Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd is $27.26 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 16, 2026): $24.76.
What is the quality score of MIESY?
Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $27.26 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $18.20, optimistic scenario $38.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $27.26, about +10% upside versus the last price from Oct 16, 2026 of $24.76 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $18.20, optimistic scenario $38.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥364B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.43% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 1.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 31, 2026. The payout ratio is 9.1% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 5.51 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +12.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.8 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MIESY use?
Our models discount Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.36, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd that is +12.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd grew -10.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +12.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (+12.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.18 %: that much free cash flow Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd it is $27.26 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $24.76. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, MIESY trades below its calculated fair value: price $24.76, fair value $27.26, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MIESY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($24.76); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($27.26). For Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd the two are $2.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd at about $2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $24.76; our models calculate a fair value of $27.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MIESY?
Our models span a range for Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd: cautious scenario $18.20, base $27.26, optimistic $38.40 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $24.76). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MIESY?
Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $27.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 7.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 19.5%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MIESY from its 52-week high?
Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd trades at $24.76, about 52% below its 52-week high of $52.01 and 3% above the low of $24.05 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $27.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Safran SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $24.76, calculated fair value $27.26 (+10%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MIESY calculated?
We run Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $27.26 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 16, 2026 and stands at $24.76. Our model-based fair value is $27.26, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd ADR right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($18.20 to $38.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY) come from?
Earnings per share at Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd grew +12.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −11.2 %, EBIT margin +21.7 %, tax rate +9.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
The market capitalisation of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd is $2.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd is 1.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
Earnings per share at Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd are $2.53 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
The dividend yield of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd is 1.4% (payout 14.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
The net margin of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd is 10.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd is 19.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd is 5.8% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
The operating margin of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd is 11.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
Revenue at Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd is growing +13.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY)?
Earnings per share at Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd are growing +13.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd (MIESY) carry?
The net debt of Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co Ltd is ¥41.7B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 4, 2026