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Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Manitowoc Company Inc stock $3.63, price $22.41, that is 83.8% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

MC Manitowoc Company Inc logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

Manitowoc Company Inc

MTW · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 84% below what the stock costs today.

Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Profit last quarter +114% vs. a year ago.
Quality 46/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.2 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
Insiders sold $106,200 (6M)
Fair value $3.63 · Strongly overvalued (−83.8%)
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 22/100
Thin data
Extreme value
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$26.92 $7.24 Fair Value $3.63 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.24 – $26.92 · fair‑value band $3.14 – $4.72 · the $22.41 price screens above the $3.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

The Manitowoc Company, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered lifting solutions in the Americas, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.

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The company designs, manufactures, and distributes crawler-mounted lattice-boom cranes under the Manitowoc brand; a line of top-slewing and self-erecting tower cranes under the Potain brand; mobile hydraulic cranes comprising rough-terrain cranes, all-terrain cranes, truck-mounted cranes, telescopic crawler cranes, industrial cranes, and hydraulic boom trucks under the Grove, Shuttlelift, and National Crane brands.

It also provides aftermarket services, such as sale of parts and accessories, field service work, routine maintenance services, technical support, erection and decommissioning services, crane and component remanufacturing, training, and telematics services.

The company's crane products are used in various applications, including energy production/distribution and utilities; petrochemical and industrial; infrastructure, such as road, bridge, and airport construction; and commercial and residential construction.

It serves various customers, including dealers, rental companies, contractors, and government entities in the petrochemical, industrial, commercial construction, power and utilities, infrastructure, and residential construction end markets.

The Manitowoc Company, Inc. was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Stock analysis

Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW) currently trades at $22.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.63, 84% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $10.37 per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the $22.41 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.18, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $3.14 (bear) to $4.72 (bull), the price of $22.41 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Manitowoc Company Inc reported revenue of $2.2B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $7.2M in FY2025, compounding −10.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $819M Small · P/E ratio 31.6 · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) $0.7100 · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin 5.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −84%, MTW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.6700 to $29.80). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $3.14 Fair Value $3.63 Bull $4.72
Price $22.41 · Downside -83.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6069 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $9.37 $10.15 $11.51 71
EPV n/a $0.6700 $1.55 68
ROIC Compounder n/a $0.6700 $1.55 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.36 $3.96 $5.23 65
Lynch FV $0.8200 $1.18 $1.53 61
PEG = 1.0 $0.8200 $1.18 $1.53 57
EPV n/a $0.6700 $1.55 68
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.14 $4.19 $5.23 63
P/S Multiple $2.54 $3.39 $4.24 58
P/B Multiple $12.59 $16.79 $20.99 55
EV/EBIT $6.71 $13.62 $20.53 63
EV/EBITDA $18.85 $29.80 $40.76 66
EV/Revenue $0.7800 $7.12 $13.46 47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.79 $9.10 $13.58 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.37 $10.15 $11.51 71
ROIC Compounder n/a $0.6700 $1.55 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.54 $3.63 $4.72 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 37
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 41
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 78
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 10
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 91
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 95
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 73
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $106,200 and none bought.

  • SaleKenneth W KruegerDirector9,000 shares at $11.80$106,200May 19, 2026

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 47/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.2% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+4.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−24.4% vs −23.9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

MTW screens overvalued: fair value 84% below the price. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 145 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −83.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 3.8% · Below median
Return on assets 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 1.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 5.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 10.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.64× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 31.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.34× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.88× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)55 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)15 · sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)68 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$34.98 HK$56.97 +63% vs MTW
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥7.17 ¥9.74 +36% vs MTW
Daimler Truck Holding DTG €40.49 €49.70 +23% vs MTW
PACCAR Inc PCAR $101.98 $114.95 +13% vs MTW
Metso Oyj METSO €16.99 €18.69 +10% vs MTW
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥19.50 ¥20.84 +7% vs MTW
Traton SE 8TRA €33.78 €32.85 −3% vs MTW
CNH Industrial N.V CNH $11.56 $8.65 −25% vs MTW
Caterpillar Inc CAT $558.63 $283.68 −49% vs MTW
Deere & Company DE $671.65 $263.46 −61% vs MTW

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Manitowoc Company Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Manitowoc Company Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTW

Frequently asked questions

Is Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.63 versus a price of $22.41, about 84% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MTW?
Our model-based fair value for Manitowoc Company Inc is $3.63 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $22.41.
What is the quality score of MTW?
Manitowoc Company Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.63 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.14, optimistic scenario $4.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Manitowoc Company Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.63, about 84% lower versus a price of $22.41 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.14, optimistic scenario $4.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
Manitowoc Company Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Manitowoc Company Inc it is $3.63 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $22.41. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Manitowoc Company Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, MTW trades above its calculated fair value: price $22.41, fair value $3.63, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MTW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($22.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.63). For Manitowoc Company Inc the two are $18.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Manitowoc Company Inc worth?
The market values Manitowoc Company Inc at about $819M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $22.41; our models calculate a fair value of $3.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MTW?
Our models span a range for Manitowoc Company Inc: cautious scenario $3.14, base $3.63, optimistic $4.72 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $22.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MTW?
Manitowoc Company Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.6 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.63 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 70.0 (reported for FY2025: 113.6). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 26.4. Other multiples: PEG 2.9, P/B 1.2, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
What is the PEG ratio of MTW?
The PEG ratio of Manitowoc Company Inc is 2.88 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Manitowoc Company Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 3.8%, debt of 0.64 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MTW from its 52-week high?
Manitowoc Company Inc trades at $22.41, about 6% below its 52-week high of $23.80 and 116% above the low of $10.36 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Manitowoc Company Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Manitowoc Company Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $22.41, calculated fair value $3.63 (−84%), Quality Score 46/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MTW calculated?
We run Manitowoc Company Inc through 14 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.63 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Manitowoc Company Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $22.41. Our model-based fair value is $3.63, about 84% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Manitowoc Company Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Manitowoc Company Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
The market capitalisation of Manitowoc Company Inc is $819M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Manitowoc Company Inc is 0.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
Earnings per share at Manitowoc Company Inc are $0.7100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
The net margin of Manitowoc Company Inc is 1.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Manitowoc Company Inc is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Manitowoc Company Inc is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
The operating margin of Manitowoc Company Inc is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
Revenue at Manitowoc Company Inc is growing +10.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW)?
Earnings per share at Manitowoc Company Inc are growing +114% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW) generate?
The free cash flow of Manitowoc Company Inc is −$15.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Manitowoc Company Inc (MTW) carry?
The net debt of Manitowoc Company Inc is $506M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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