Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd stock $3.67, price $5.26, that is 30.3% below the price, quality 64 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.29 – $5.37 · fair‑value band $3.02 – $4.48 · the $5.26 price screens above the $3.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 13, 2026.
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Nissan Shatai Co., Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells vehicles in Japan and internationally. The company offers passenger and commercial vehicles, minibuses, and vehicle parts, as well as premium and specially equipped vehicles.
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It also provides machinery maintenance and servicing, equipment installation, and logistics services; system and program development services; and temporary staff placement services.
In addition, the company is involved in the pressing and assembly of auto parts; and molding and assembly of resin products. It offers its products primarily under the Nissan brand.
The company was formerly known as Nissan Shatai Koki Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nissan Shatai Co., Ltd. in June 1971. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Hiratsuka, Japan.
Stock analysis
Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF) currently trades at $5.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.67, 30% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $13.47 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the $5.26 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.9550, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $3.02 (bear) to $4.48 (bull), the price of $5.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd reported revenue of ¥406B in FY2026 versus ¥215B in FY2022, a compound +17.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥6.9B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $904M Small · P/E ratio 12.2 · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) $0.4300 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 1.7% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and below its previous 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at −30%, NSNHF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$3.02Fair Value $3.67Bull$4.48
Price $5.26 · Downside -30.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2208 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$8.65$10.44$13.0680
Growth DCF$8.80$10.49$12.8477
Residual Income$6.19$6.10$6.2276
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$8.65$10.44$13.0680
Owner Earnings$6.08$6.99$8.3175
5Y Revenue Exit$8.88$11.49$14.8571
5Y EBITDA Exit$11.04$15.24$20.1573
5Y P/E Exit$8.30$10.48$12.7569
10Y Revenue Exit$8.59$10.81$13.4366
10Y EBITDA Exit$10.03$13.21$16.9867
10Y P/E Exit$8.39$10.16$12.0263
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$2.18$4.28$5.3666
EPV$8.03$8.72$9.3270
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$0.7000$0.9600$1.2169
DDM Multi-Stage$0.7000$0.9500$1.2367
Multiples
P/E Multiple$5.29$7.06$8.8263
P/S Multiple$4.09$5.45$6.8258
P/B Multiple$25.43$33.91$42.3855
EV/EBIT$12.15$15.11$18.0663
EV/EBITDA$13.80$17.31$20.8164
EV/Revenue$9.26$11.82$14.3852
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$2.60$3.94$4.9352
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$8.80$10.49$12.8477
Rev-Margin DCF$8.88$11.57$14.5471
Economic Profit
Residual Income$6.19$6.10$6.2276
ROIC Compounder$8.03$8.76$9.5970
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$3.81$5.44$7.0767
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +56.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+26.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 47.7% / 58.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 4%
2026 sits 129% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−23.0%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −24.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Manufacturers · 120 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−30.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.0% · Below median
Return on assets2.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)2.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)4.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)27.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.5% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)12.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.62× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.27× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)9.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA2.4× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 42
PAST (return on equity)20· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)37· sector 51
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.67 versus a price of $5.26, about 30% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NSNHF?
Our model-based fair value for Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd is $3.67 (as of Nov 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.26.
What is the quality score of NSNHF?
Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.67 (as of Nov 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.02, optimistic scenario $4.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.67, about 30% lower versus a price of $5.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.02, optimistic scenario $4.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥428B (latest available figure, as of Nov 13, 2026).
Does Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.45% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 13, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd pays a dividend of $0.0766 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 30, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2022. The payout ratio is 23.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 7.08 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -23.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.3 % per year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NSNHF use?
Our models discount Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd that is -23.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd grew +2.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -23.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (-23.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.29 %: that much free cash flow Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd it is $3.67 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026), against a price of $5.26. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 13, 2026, NSNHF trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.26, fair value $3.67, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NSNHF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.67). For Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd the two are $1.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd worth?
The market values Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd at about $904M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 13, 2026). Per share that is $5.26; our models calculate a fair value of $3.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NSNHF?
Our models span a range for Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd: cautious scenario $3.02, base $3.67, optimistic $4.48 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026, price $5.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NSNHF?
Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.2 (as of Nov 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $3.67 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 2.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (as of Nov 13, 2026): return on equity 5.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NSNHF from its 52-week high?
Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd trades at $5.26, about 23% below its 52-week high of $6.81 and below the previous low of $6.32 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, Ferrari N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 13, 2026: price $5.26, calculated fair value $3.67 (−30%), Quality Score 64/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NSNHF calculated?
We run Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.67 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was $5.26. Our model-based fair value is $3.67, about 30% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF) come from?
Earnings per share at Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd grew −3.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.1 %, EBIT margin −1.4 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −12.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
The market capitalisation of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd is $904M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd is 0.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
Earnings per share at Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd are $0.4300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
The dividend yield of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd is 1.5% (payout 17.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
The net margin of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd is 1.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd is 11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
The operating margin of Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
Revenue at Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd is growing +27.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF)?
Earnings per share at Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd are growing +122% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd (NSNHF) hold?
Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd holds more cash than debt, ¥71.1B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Why does Nissan Shatai Co. Ltd meet the fair value rule although the fair value shown is lower?
Peak profit dampened: $10.48 → $3.67. The latest annual profit is far above the years before, and such peaks rarely last. So we calculate cautiously with $3.67 instead of $10.48. If the profit stays high, we ease the caution year by year. As in the backtest, the fair value rule checks the value before: +99% against the price.
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Broad data
Nov 13, 2026