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Nissan Shatai Co (NSNHF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $904M

NS Nissan Shatai Co logo Nissan Shatai Co NSNHF · US
Price$6.68
Fair Value$6.98
Upside+4.6%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.7% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.47% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range $6.14 – $8.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $11.89 to $6.98 (−41.3%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $6.14 (bear) to $8.73 (bull), base $6.98. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$6.81 $5.44 Fair Value $6.98 Oct 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range $5.44 – $6.81 · fair‑value band $6.14 – $8.73 · the $6.68 price screens below the $6.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Nissan Shatai Co (NSNHF) currently trades at $6.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.98, implying the stock looks roughly 4.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nissan Shatai Co generated revenue of $404B at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 13.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $71.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.14 (bear case) to $8.73 (bull case); at $6.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 5%, NSNHF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $8.87 $13.17 $19.93 72
Growth-Adj P/E $8.91 $12.73 $16.55 68
Rev-Margin DCF $9.37 $14.41 $24.94 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.27 $12.17 $20.82 38
Owner Earnings $6.69 $10.69 $18.10 31
5Y Revenue Exit $8.77 $12.97 $21.77 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.19 $17.87 $30.97 41
5Y P/E Exit $8.11 $13.73 $21.27 38
10Y Revenue Exit $8.77 $15.47 $19.68 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.58 $20.24 $37.17 37
10Y P/E Exit $8.53 $14.19 $23.19 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.86 $12.99 $18.23 54
Lynch FV $6.71 $9.59 $12.47 50
PEG = 1.0 $6.71 $9.59 $12.47 46
EPV $6.50 $6.98 $7.38 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.52 $6.03 $7.53 63
P/S Multiple $3.49 $4.66 $5.82 58
P/B Multiple $3.49 $4.66 $5.82 55
EV/EBIT $10.54 $13.06 $15.59 53
EV/EBITDA $11.95 $14.94 $17.94 54
EV/Revenue $8.07 $10.26 $12.45 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.65 $4.90 $7.31 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $8.87 $13.17 $19.93 72
Rev-Margin DCF $9.37 $14.41 $24.94 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.08 $4.88 $3.99 61
ROIC Compounder $6.50 $6.98 $7.49 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.91 $12.73 $16.55 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($13.73) versus Economic Profit ($4.88). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $404B
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.6%
Net margin 1.7%
Return on equity 3.8%
Free cash flow $11.7B FY2026
P/E ratio 20.9
More key figures
Operating margin 3.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.3200
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.0%
Net cash $71.1B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nissan Shatai Co., Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells vehicles in Japan and internationally. The company offers passenger and commercial vehicles, minibuses, and vehicle parts, as well as premium and specially equipped vehicles.

Full company description

Nissan Shatai Co., Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells vehicles in Japan and internationally. The company offers passenger and commercial vehicles, minibuses, and vehicle parts, as well as premium and specially equipped vehicles. It also provides machinery maintenance and servicing, equipment installation, and logistics services; system and program development services; and temporary staff placement services. In addition, the company is involved in the pressing and assembly of auto parts; and molding and assembly of resin products. It offers its products primarily under the Nissan brand. The company was formerly known as Nissan Shatai Koki Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nissan Shatai Co., Ltd. in June 1971. The company was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Hiratsuka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nissan Shatai Co reported revenue of $406B in FY2026 versus $215B in FY2022, a compound +17.2%/yr. Reported net income was $6.9B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$406B
Latest YoY
+15.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
−1.7%
Revenue +17.2%/yr
FY22 $215B
FY23 $308B
FY24 $301B
FY25 $351B
FY26 $406B
Net income
FY22 −$2.2B
FY23 $3.9B
FY24 $407M
FY25 $3.0B
FY26 $6.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nissan Shatai Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NSNHF

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.9× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 39 · sector 28
FUTURE 68 · sector 33
PAST 15 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $179.76 $224.63 +25%
BYD Company 81211 HK$80.55 HK$50.85 -37%
Hyundai Motor Company 005380 425,000 KRW 616,918 KRW +45%
General Motors Company GM $77.72 $56.93 -27%
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N 1,909 MXN 2,944 MXN +54%
Ferrari N.V RACE $376.64 $228.05 -39%
Ford Motor Company F C$11.86 C$4.00 -66%
Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ C$20.44 C$35.15 +72%
Volkswagen AG VOW 2,149 CZK 7,191 CZK +235%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹13,803 ₹8,236 -40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nissan Shatai Co (NSNHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.98 versus a price of $6.68, about +5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NSNHF?
Our model-based fair value for Nissan Shatai Co is $6.98 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.68.
What is the quality score of NSNHF?
Nissan Shatai Co has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nissan Shatai Co (NSNHF)?
Nissan Shatai Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $404B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NSNHF?
The net profit margin of Nissan Shatai Co is about 1.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nissan Shatai Co pay a dividend?
Nissan Shatai Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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