NetScout Systems Inc (NTCT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NetScout Systems Inc stock $36.79, price $31.51, upside +16.8%, quality 79 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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NetScout Systems Inc
NTCT · USThe stock costs 14% less than our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.65 – $44.84 · fair‑value band $27.59 – $45.99 · the $31.51 price screens below the $36.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Company profile
NetScout Systems, Inc. provides carrier service assurance, cybersecurity, and Distributed Denial-of-Service (DDoS) solutions to protect digital business services against disruptions.
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It offers nGeniusONE management software to predict, preempt, and resolve network and service delivery problems, as well as facilitate the optimization and capacity planning of their network infrastructures; and specialized platforms and analytic modules to analyze and troubleshoot traffic in radio access and Wi-Fi networks; and Omnis Insights, a solution that is designed to generate a high-fidelity and curated dataset that strengthens observability and cybersecurity operations.
Its platform provides real-time generation and analysis of information-rich, high-volume network-derived data for use its applications and partner networks.
In addition, it offers ISNG, a real-time information platform that provides insights to optimize network performance; packet flow systems that delivers targeted network traffic access to a range of monitoring and cybersecurity tools and systems, including the nGeniusONE application; vSTREAM, a virtualized form factor version; Infinistream, an advanced passive network probe; and markets test access points that enables full and non-disruptive access to network traffic.
Further, the company provides cybersecurity solutions to protect networks against DDoS attacks under the Arbor solutions, including Arbor Sightline, Arbor Threat Mitigation System, Arbor Insight, Arbor Edge Defense, and Omnis Cyber Intelligence solutions.
It serves enterprise customers in financial services, technology, manufacturing, healthcare, utilities, education, transportation, and retail; mobile, wireline, and cable operators, internet service providers, and cloud providers industries; and government and associated agencies through a direct sales force, and indirect reseller and distribution channels.
The company was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Westford, Massachusetts.
Stock analysis
NetScout Systems Inc (NTCT) currently trades at $31.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.79, implying the stock looks roughly 14% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $60.11 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the $31.51 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $15.04, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $27.59 (bear) to $45.99 (bull), the price of $31.51 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
NetScout Systems Inc reported revenue of $859M in FY2026 versus $856M in FY2022, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was $95.5M in FY2026, compounding +27.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $2.3B Mid · P/E ratio 19.3 · P/S ratio 2.56 · EPS (TTM) $1.63 · Net margin 13.7% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 17%, NTCT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 5 officers or directors sold shares worth $1.6M and none bought.
- SaleChristopher PerrettaDirector2× since Dec 12, 2025: 17,000 shares, avg. $32.12$546,100Sep 11, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleMichael SzabadosDirector4× since Nov 12, 2025: 16,000 shares, avg. $33.41$534,520Aug 25, 2026
- SaleSanjay MunshiChief Operating Officer4× since Dec 3, 2025: 8,254 shares, avg. $33.70$278,148Aug 17, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleJohn DowningEVP, Worldwide Sales Ops4× since Feb 18, 2026: 22,000 shares, avg. $36.69$807,140Aug 11, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleAlfred GrassoDirector5,000 shares at $40.67$203,350May 12, 202610b5-1 plan
- SaleJoseph G Hadzima JrDirector3,113 shares at $25.63$79,786Nov 19, 202510b5-1 plan
Plus 25 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
Watch NTCT, get fair value alerts →
Recent news
- What NetScout Systems (NTCT)'s Earnings Beat Means For Shareholders
- Why Did NetScout Systems (NTCT) Shares Drop After Its Latest Update?
- NetScout Systems Inc (NTCT) (Q2 2027) Earnings Call Highlights: Reaffirmed Outlook, Margin ...
- NetScout Systems (NTCT) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Compare NetScout Systems Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 346 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Return on assets by industry
- Fair value gap by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $530.61 | $583.67 | +10% | vs NTCT |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $118.84 | $130.72 | +10% | vs NTCT |
| Oracle Corporation ORCL | $116.10 | $111.97 | −4% | vs NTCT |
| NetApp, Inc NTAP | $169.19 | $156.80 | −7% | vs NTCT |
| Block, Inc XYZ | $85.48 | $76.43 | −11% | vs NTCT |
| Synopsys, Inc SNPS | $450.46 | $288.23 | −36% | vs NTCT |
| Zscaler, Inc ZS | $197.66 | $101.45 | −49% | vs NTCT |
| Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR | $160.38 | $42.20 | −74% | vs NTCT |
| CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD | $216.90 | $37.97 | −82% | vs NTCT |
| Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW | $313.84 | $39.54 | −87% | vs NTCT |
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Key figures of NetScout Systems Inc
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