Onewater Marine (ONEW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Onewater Marine stock $7.58, price $9.58, that is 20.9% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.35 – $60.97 · fair‑value band $7.58 – $23.16 · the $9.58 price screens above the $7.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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OneWater Marine Inc. operates as a recreational marine retailer in the United States. The company offers new and pre-owned recreational boats and yachts, as well as related marine products comprising parts and accessories.
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It also provides boat repair and maintenance services; and other ancillary services, including indoor and outdoor storage, and marina services.
In addition, the company arranges related boat financing, insurance, and extended service contracts for customers with third-party lenders and insurance companies. Further, it is involved in the rental of boats and personal watercraft.
OneWater Marine Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Buford, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Onewater Marine (ONEW) currently trades at $9.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.58, 21% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $55.59 per share, and 8 of the 11 models we run sit above the $9.58 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $6.00, and 3 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $7.58 (bear) to $23.16 (bull), the price of $9.58 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Onewater Marine reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$115M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $162M Micro · P/E ex one-offs 21.8 · P/S ratio 0.09 · EPS (TTM) $−7.75 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −6.7% · Return on equity −35.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −21%, ONEW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$7.58Fair Value $7.58Bull$23.16
Price $9.58 · Downside -20.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SalePeter H. Bos Jr.10% owner3× since Feb 6, 2026: 73,432 shares, avg. $12.32$904,408Sep 4, 2026
SaleLegendary, LLCMember of 10% owner group2× since Jun 3, 2026: 52,165 shares, avg. $12.03$627,508Sep 2, 2026
SaleLegendary Investments, LLC/FLMember of 10% owner group3× since Feb 3, 2026: 191,680 shares, avg. $13.20$2.5MAug 11, 2026
SaleJohn TroianoDirector2× since Feb 12, 2026: 33,177 shares, avg. $12.14$402,638May 8, 2026
BuyPhilip Singleton Irrevocable Trust, dated December 24, 2015Member of 10% Ownership Group2× since Nov 24, 2025: 65,219 shares, avg. $11.27$734,956May 5, 2026
BuySingleton Asset Management, LLCMember of 10% Ownership Group24,353 shares at $12.63$307,501Feb 12, 2026
SaleTeresa D. Bos10% owner5,752 shares at $14.00$80,530Feb 6, 2026
Plus 3 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.1% (2019) → 3.7% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.4% a year for the price and −3.3% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 203 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−20.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−8.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−6.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)6.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−4.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.17× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.57× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Onewater Marine Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ONEW
Frequently asked questions
Is Onewater Marine (ONEW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.58 versus a price of $9.58, about 21% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ONEW?
Our model-based fair value for Onewater Marine is $7.58 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.58.
What is the quality score of ONEW?
Onewater Marine has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.58 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.58, optimistic scenario $23.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Onewater Marine stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.58, about 21% lower versus a price of $9.58 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.58, optimistic scenario $23.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
Onewater Marine reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Onewater Marine pay a dividend?
Onewater Marine currently shows a dividend yield of 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
Onewater Marine has a dividend yield of 0.2%.
What growth is priced into Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Onewater Marine would have to grow free cash flow by +9.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.9 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ONEW use?
Our models discount Onewater Marine at 14.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.60, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Onewater Marine that is +9.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (14.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Onewater Marine (ONEW) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Onewater Marine grew +12.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +9.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Onewater Marine (ONEW) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Onewater Marine (+9.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 48.65 %: that much free cash flow Onewater Marine produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Onewater Marine it is $7.58 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $9.58. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Onewater Marine stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, ONEW trades above its calculated fair value: price $9.58, fair value $7.58, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ONEW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.58). For Onewater Marine the two are $2.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Onewater Marine worth?
The market values Onewater Marine at about $162M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $9.58; our models calculate a fair value of $7.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ONEW?
Our models span a range for Onewater Marine: cautious scenario $7.58, base $7.58, optimistic $23.16 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $9.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Onewater Marine (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −35.9%, debt of 1.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ONEW from its 52-week high?
Onewater Marine trades at $9.58, about 38% below its 52-week high of $15.50 and 15% above the low of $8.35 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Onewater Marine?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Onewater Marine stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $9.58, calculated fair value $7.58 (−21%), Quality Score 36/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ONEW calculated?
We run Onewater Marine through 12 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $7.58 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Onewater Marine itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $9.58. Our model-based fair value is $7.58, about 21% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Onewater Marine right now?
Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($7.58 to $23.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Onewater Marine
How large is the market capitalisation of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
The market capitalisation of Onewater Marine is $162M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Onewater Marine (ONEW) excluding one-off items?
Excluding one-off items, the price-to-earnings ratio of Onewater Marine is 21.8 (fiscal year 2025, the reported result was a loss).
What is the P/S ratio of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Onewater Marine is 0.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
Earnings per share at Onewater Marine are $−7.75. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
The dividend yield of Onewater Marine is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
The net margin of Onewater Marine is −6.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Onewater Marine is −35.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Onewater Marine is 9.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
The operating margin of Onewater Marine is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
Revenue at Onewater Marine is growing −4.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Onewater Marine (ONEW)?
Earnings per share at Onewater Marine are growing +6.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Onewater Marine (ONEW) carry?
The net debt of Onewater Marine is $912M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 7, 2026