Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. stock MXN 35.92, price MXN 22.31, upside +61.0%, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.73 MXN – 48.66 MXN · fair‑value band 20.30 MXN – 60.34 MXN · the 22.31 MXN price screens below the 35.92 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, provides polymer solutions in the United States, Northwest Europe, Southwest Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Brazil, Mexico, Central and Eastern Europe, Colombia, Central America, Peru, Southeast Europe, Canada, Ecuador, Israel, Argentina, Chile, and internationally.
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It operates in five segments: Polymer Solutions, Building and Infrastructure, Precision Agriculture, Connectivity Solutions, and Fluor and Energy Materials.
The company offers derivatives comprising ethylene, salt, chlorine, caustic soda, methyl and ethyl chloride, hydrochloric acid, and sodium hypochlorite; general-purpose and specialty polyvinyl chloride resins; and plastic compounds.
It also provides plastic piping systems and solutions; high-density polyethylene conduit, accessories, and other connectivity infrastructure products; digital education and fiber-optic network design services; sprinklers, micro-sprinklers, drippers, drip lines, greenhouse solutions, and advanced digital technology for agriculture and greenhouse components; and strategic system components, such as filters, valves, and air valves.
In addition, the company offers fluorite; hydrofluoric acid and aluminum trifluoride; refrigerant and medical propellant gases, such as R-134a gas; and fluorinated additives and co-solvents, fluor silane and electrolyte additives, electrolyte salts, and binders for lithium-ion batteries.
It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Mexichem, S.A.B. de C.V. and changed its name to Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. in August 2019. Orbia Advance Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA) currently trades at 22.31 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 35.92 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 38% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the data coverage at medium.
Scenario range: 20.30 MXN (bear) to 60.34 MXN (bull), the price of 22.31 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. reported revenue of $7.6B in FY2025 versus $8.8B in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$457M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 42.7B MXN (≈ $2.3B) Mid · P/S ratio 5.06 · EPS (TTM) −1.28 MXN · Dividend yield 7.0% · Net margin −6.0% · Return on equity −1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 7.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 61%, ORBIA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear20.30 MXNFair Value 35.92 MXNBull60.34 MXN
Price 22.31 MXN · Upside +61.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.37/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.6% (2020) → 5.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.2% a year for the price and +1.6% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Compare Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 304 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+61.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−4.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−1.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)7.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)11.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)7.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.13× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.07× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ORBIA
Frequently asked questions
Is Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 35.92 MXN versus a price of 22.31 MXN, about +61% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ORBIA?
Our model-based fair value for Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. is 35.92 MXN (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22.31 MXN.
What is the quality score of ORBIA?
Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 35.92 MXN (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 20.30 MXN, optimistic scenario 60.34 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 35.92 MXN, about +61% upside versus a price of 22.31 MXN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 20.30 MXN, optimistic scenario 60.34 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. pay a dividend?
Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. currently shows a dividend yield of 7.04% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. has a dividend yield of 7.0%.
What growth is priced into Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. would have to grow free cash flow by +5.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.5 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ORBIA use?
Our models discount Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. that is +5.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. grew +3.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +5.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (+5.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.88 %: that much free cash flow Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. it is 35.92 MXN per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 22.31 MXN. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 1 family (Growth DCF).
Is Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, ORBIA trades below its calculated fair value: price 22.31 MXN, fair value 35.92 MXN, a gap of about +61% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ORBIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22.31 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (35.92 MXN). For Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. the two are 13.61 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. worth?
The market values Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. at about 42.7B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 22.31 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 35.92 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ORBIA?
Our models span a range for Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V.: cautious scenario 20.30 MXN, base 35.92 MXN, optimistic 60.34 MXN per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 22.31 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of ORBIA?
The PEG ratio of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. is 1.43 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −1.5%, debt of 2.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ORBIA from its 52-week high?
Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. trades at 22.31 MXN, about 9% below its 52-week high of 24.59 MXN and 43% above the low of 15.57 MXN (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 35.92 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, Swire Pacific Limited, SGH Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 22.31 MXN, calculated fair value 35.92 MXN (+61%), Quality Score 44/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ORBIA calculated?
We run Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. through 2 models from 1 family: Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 35.92 MXN builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. currently trades 38% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 22.31 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 35.92 MXN, about +61% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (20.30 MXN to 60.34 MXN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V.
How large is the market capitalisation of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
The market capitalisation of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. is 42.7B MXN (≈ $2.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. is 5.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
Earnings per share at Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. are −1.28 MXN. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
The dividend yield of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. is 7.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
The net margin of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. is −6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. is −1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
The operating margin of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
Revenue at Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. is growing +11.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA)?
Earnings per share at Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. are growing +25.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. (ORBIA) carry?
The net debt of Orbia Advance Corporation S.A.B. de C.V. is $4.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 6, 2026