Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Wisetech Global Ltd stock A$49.32, price A$44.49, upside +10.9%, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$28.76 – A$138.31 · fair‑value band A$34.53 – A$64.12 · the A$44.49 price screens below the A$49.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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WiseTech Global Limited engages in the development and provision of software solutions to the logistics execution industry in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
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It develops, sells, and implements software solutions that enable and empower logistics service providers to facilitate the movement and storage of goods and information.
The company offers various software solutions for forwarding and customs, landside logistics, digital documents, transport and specialist warehouse management system, carrier and rates, and enterprise. WiseTech Global Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Alexandria, Australia.
Stock analysis
Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC) currently trades at A$44.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$49.32, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.8%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$52.36 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$44.49 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at A$7.60, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$34.53 (bear) to A$64.12 (bull), the price of A$44.49 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Wisetech Global Ltd reported revenue of A$2.1B in FY2026 versus A$632M in FY2022, a compound +34.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$264M in FY2026, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$14.9B (≈ $10.3B) Large · P/E ratio 54.9 · P/S ratio 7.03 · EPS (TTM) A$0.8100 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 12.8% · Return on equity 9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 11%, WTC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$34.53Fair Value A$49.32BullA$64.12
Price A$44.49 · Upside +10.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.2311 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+74.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +35.0% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9.3% vs 34.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 32%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+0.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.8% a year for the price and −2.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (91 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
AI conclusion: High margins suggest possible pricing power as the main strength while limited public signals and thin evidence across other factors remain the key weakness.
Main risk: Australian competition authorities could require additional divestitures or block future acquisitions after the e2open deal, constraining expansion and platform integration.
Bull case: WiseTech could deepen integrations across CargoWise and e2open while embedding AI agents to boost customer productivity and retention, turning regulatory scrutiny into a moat through proven compliance expertise.
Bear case: Ongoing antitrust actions or missed deleveraging targets could stall e2open synergies, slow product development and erode the platform's stickiness if customers face higher effective costs or reduced choice.
WiseTech is consolidating users onto its platforms as a service partner launches a migration program for Clippership customers to Transtream before the year-end cutoff. This effort sits alongside the larger task of integrating the e2open acquisition and shifting to a usage-based model. Our models currently see the business as undervalued. Will the migration deliver lasting volume growth and retention or mainly cushion the transition without lifting underlying momentum?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 633 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside+10.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.8% · Above median
Return on assets3.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)12.8% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)33.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)82.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)54.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.67× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wisetech Global Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WTC
Frequently asked questions
Is Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$49.32 versus a price of A$44.49, about +11% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of WTC?
Our model-based fair value for Wisetech Global Ltd is A$49.32 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$44.49.
What is the quality score of WTC?
Wisetech Global Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$49.32 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$34.53, optimistic scenario A$64.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wisetech Global Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$49.32, about +11% upside versus a price of A$44.49 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$34.53, optimistic scenario A$64.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
Wisetech Global Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Wisetech Global Ltd pay a dividend?
Wisetech Global Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.35% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Wisetech Global Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +15.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +32.3 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WTC use?
Our models discount Wisetech Global Ltd at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.20, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Wisetech Global Ltd that is +15.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Wisetech Global Ltd grew +32.3 % a year. The price currently implies +15.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Wisetech Global Ltd (+15.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.80 %: that much free cash flow Wisetech Global Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wisetech Global Ltd it is A$49.32 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of A$44.49. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wisetech Global Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, WTC trades below its calculated fair value: price A$44.49, fair value A$49.32, a gap of about +11% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WTC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$44.49); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$49.32). For Wisetech Global Ltd the two are A$4.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wisetech Global Ltd worth?
The market values Wisetech Global Ltd at about A$14.9B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is A$44.49; our models calculate a fair value of A$49.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WTC?
Our models span a range for Wisetech Global Ltd: cautious scenario A$34.53, base A$49.32, optimistic A$64.12 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price A$44.49). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WTC?
Wisetech Global Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 54.9 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$49.32 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 104.4. Other multiples: P/B 3.7, P/S 7.4, EV/EBITDA 17.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wisetech Global Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 9.8%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WTC from its 52-week high?
Wisetech Global Ltd trades at A$44.49, about 40% below its 52-week high of A$73.86 and 55% above the low of A$28.76 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$49.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wisetech Global Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Salesforce, Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wisetech Global Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price A$44.49, calculated fair value A$49.32 (+11%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WTC calculated?
We run Wisetech Global Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$49.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Wisetech Global Ltd currently trades 10% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$44.49. Our model-based fair value is A$49.32, about +11% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wisetech Global Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (A$34.53 to A$64.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC) come from?
Earnings per share at Wisetech Global Ltd grew +35.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +29.4 %, EBIT margin +4.8 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Wisetech Global Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
The market capitalisation of Wisetech Global Ltd is A$14.9B (≈ $10.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wisetech Global Ltd is 7.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
Earnings per share at Wisetech Global Ltd are A$0.8100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 54.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
The dividend yield of Wisetech Global Ltd is 0.4% (payout 19.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
The net margin of Wisetech Global Ltd is 12.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wisetech Global Ltd is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wisetech Global Ltd is 12.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
The operating margin of Wisetech Global Ltd is 33.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
Revenue at Wisetech Global Ltd is growing +82.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +36.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC)?
Earnings per share at Wisetech Global Ltd are growing +16.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Wisetech Global Ltd (WTC) carry?
The net debt of Wisetech Global Ltd is A$2.7B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 4.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026