XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of XBS PRO-LOG S.A stock PLN 56.97, price PLN 59.00, that is 3.4% below the price, quality 70 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.72 PLN – 109.49 PLN · fair‑value band 36.28 PLN – 84.31 PLN · the 59.00 PLN price screens above the 56.97 PLN fair value. As of Nov 5, 2026.
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XBS PRO-LOG S.A. provides logistics and warehousing management services in Poland. The company offers Alcohol logistics, excise stamping of alcohol, customs and tax services, tax warehouse, bonded warehouse, product labeling, co packing, and starter packaging services.
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The company was formerly known as PRO-LOG Spólka Akcyjna. XBS PRO-LOG S.A. was founded in 1997 and is based in Pruszków, Poland. XBS PRO-LOG S.A. operates as a subsidiary of XBS Logistics S.A.
Stock analysis
XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS) currently trades at 59.00 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 56.97 PLN, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.6%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 95.46 PLN per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the 59.00 PLN price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 11.91 PLN, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 36.28 PLN (bear) to 84.31 PLN (bull), the price of 59.00 PLN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
XBS PRO-LOG S.A reported revenue of 38.9M PLN in FY2026 versus 46.0M PLN in FY2023, a compound −5.5%/yr. Reported net income was 6.0M PLN in FY2026, compounding −10.9%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap 59.0M PLN (≈ $15.1M) Micro · P/E ratio 9.8 · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) 6.01 PLN · Dividend yield 11.4% · Net margin 15.5% · Return on equity 30.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 36.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 77 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −3%, XBS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear36.28 PLNFair Value 56.97 PLNBull84.31 PLN
Price 59.00 PLN · Downside -3.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.11 PLN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)11.4%
Profit margin 2023 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 19%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+26.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Poland: IMF forecast 3.1% a year to 2030, 4.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 211 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 56.97 PLN versus a price of 59.00 PLN, about 3% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of XBS?
Our model-based fair value for XBS PRO-LOG S.A is 56.97 PLN (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 59.00 PLN.
What is the quality score of XBS?
XBS PRO-LOG S.A has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 56.97 PLN (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 36.28 PLN, optimistic scenario 84.31 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the XBS PRO-LOG S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 56.97 PLN, about 3% lower versus a price of 59.00 PLN (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 36.28 PLN, optimistic scenario 84.31 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
XBS PRO-LOG S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 38.9M PLN (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does XBS PRO-LOG S.A pay a dividend?
XBS PRO-LOG S.A currently shows a dividend yield of 11.43% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, XBS PRO-LOG S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +26.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -5.5 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of XBS use?
Our models discount XBS PRO-LOG S.A at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for Poland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For XBS PRO-LOG S.A that is +26.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at XBS PRO-LOG S.A grew -5.5 % a year. The price currently implies +26.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into XBS PRO-LOG S.A (+26.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.78 %: that much free cash flow XBS PRO-LOG S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For XBS PRO-LOG S.A it is 56.97 PLN per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 59.00 PLN. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is XBS PRO-LOG S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, XBS trades above its calculated fair value: price 59.00 PLN, fair value 56.97 PLN, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XBS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (59.00 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (56.97 PLN). For XBS PRO-LOG S.A the two are 2.03 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is XBS PRO-LOG S.A worth?
The market values XBS PRO-LOG S.A at about 59.0M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 59.00 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 56.97 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XBS?
Our models span a range for XBS PRO-LOG S.A: cautious scenario 36.28 PLN, base 56.97 PLN, optimistic 84.31 PLN per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 59.00 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of XBS?
XBS PRO-LOG S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 56.97 PLN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.1, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 6.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
Balance-sheet figures for XBS PRO-LOG S.A (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 30.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XBS from its 52-week high?
XBS PRO-LOG S.A trades at 59.00 PLN, about 36% below its 52-week high of 92.50 PLN and at the low of 59.00 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 56.97 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to XBS PRO-LOG S.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is XBS PRO-LOG S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 59.00 PLN, calculated fair value 56.97 PLN (−3%), Quality Score 70/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XBS calculated?
We run XBS PRO-LOG S.A through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 56.97 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. XBS PRO-LOG S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was 59.00 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 56.97 PLN, about 3% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with XBS PRO-LOG S.A right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (36.28 PLN to 84.31 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of XBS PRO-LOG S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
The market capitalisation of XBS PRO-LOG S.A is 59.0M PLN (≈ $15.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of XBS PRO-LOG S.A is 1.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
Earnings per share at XBS PRO-LOG S.A are 6.01 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
The dividend yield of XBS PRO-LOG S.A is 11.4% (payout 112%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
The net margin of XBS PRO-LOG S.A is 15.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of XBS PRO-LOG S.A is 30.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of XBS PRO-LOG S.A is 36.7% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
The operating margin of XBS PRO-LOG S.A is 19.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
Revenue at XBS PRO-LOG S.A is growing +2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at XBS PRO-LOG S.A (XBS)?
Earnings per share at XBS PRO-LOG S.A are growing +4.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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