EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd ¥8.65, price ¥10.09, upside -14.3%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · CN · ISIN CNE000000XH3

BS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd

000860 · SHE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value ¥8.65 · Overvalued (−14%)
!Quality 51/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −20.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 14 out of 100
Watch Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥56.91 ¥9.76 Fair Value ¥8.65 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.76 – ¥56.91 · fair‑value band ¥7.87 – ¥9.12 · the ¥10.09 price screens above the ¥8.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

Follow Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the brewing, production, and sale of liquor products under the Niulanshan and Ningcheng brands in China. It operates through Liquor Business, Slaughtering Business, Farming Business, and Other Operations segments.

Show more

Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the brewing, production, and sale of liquor products under the Niulanshan and Ningcheng brands in China. It operates through Liquor Business, Slaughtering Business, Farming Business, and Other Operations segments. It is also involved in the breeding and farming of pigs; provision of commercial pigs under the Xiaodian brand, and fresh and cooked food products under the Pengcheng brand; livestock, poultry, and meat slaughtering; meat and meat by-product processing; animal husbandry; feed processing; paper product processing and production; planting; wholesale and retail of pre-packaged and bulk food; cooperation with farmers to raise pics and provide supporting services; research and development of pig breeding technology; technology development; technical consultation, promotion, and services; and general freight activities. Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co.,Ltd was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860) currently trades at ¥10.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.65, implying the stock looks roughly 16.6% overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥12.86 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥10.09 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.10, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥7.87 (bear) to ¥9.12 (bull), the price of ¥10.09 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd reported revenue of 7.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 14.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −16.5%/yr. Reported net income was −152M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 7.5B CNY (≈ $1.1B) · P/S ratio 1.21 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.4300 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin −2.1% · Return on equity −4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% · Operating margin 8.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −14%, 000860 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥7.87 Fair Value ¥8.65 Bull ¥9.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥9.34 ¥10.12 ¥11.10 78
EV/EBITDA ¥11.46 ¥12.86 ¥14.26 67
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.55 ¥6.10 ¥9.10 54
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥9.34 ¥10.12 ¥11.10 78
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥11.46 ¥12.86 ¥14.26 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.55 ¥6.10 ¥9.10 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when 000860 reaches fair value

Put 000860 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.6% (2020) → −0.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

000860 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →

Compare Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 98 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −14% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −26% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.15× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.17× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.18× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.72× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)14 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)55 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 ¥1,237 ¥1,653 +34%
Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 ¥70.54 ¥77.59 +10%
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 ¥113.20 ¥209.69 +85%
Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 ¥71.48 ¥149.17 +109%
Pernod Ricard SA RI €59.58 €56.69 −5%
Thai Beverage Public Company Y92 0.4350 SGD 0.7300 SGD +68%
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 ¥38.35 ¥24.22 −37%
Davide Campari-Milano N.V CPR €6.08 €4.53 −25%
Radico Khaitan Limited RADICO ₹4,602 ₹947.44 −79%
Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Joint-Stock Co 603369 ¥27.26 ¥38.66 +42%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥8.65 −17%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000860

Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.65 versus a price of ¥10.09, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000860?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd is ¥8.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.09.
What is the quality score of 000860?
Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.87, optimistic scenario ¥9.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.65, about −14% upside versus a price of ¥10.09 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.87, optimistic scenario ¥9.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd it is ¥8.65 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥10.09. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 000860 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥10.09, fair value ¥8.65, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 000860?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥10.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.65). For Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd the two are ¥1.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd worth?
The market values Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd at about 7.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥10.09; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 000860?
Our models span a range for Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥7.87, base ¥8.65, optimistic ¥9.12 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥10.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 000860?
The PEG ratio of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd is 0.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.4%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 000860 from its 52-week high?
Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd trades at ¥10.09, about 37% below its 52-week high of ¥16.07 and 3% above the low of ¥9.76 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Luzhou Laojiao Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥10.09, calculated fair value ¥8.65 (−14%), Quality Score 51/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 000860 calculated?
We run Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥10.09. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.65, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
The market capitalisation of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd is 7.5B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd is 1.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd are ¥−0.4300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
The dividend yield of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd is 2.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
The net margin of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd is −2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd is −4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
The operating margin of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
Revenue at Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd is growing −26.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd are growing −59.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860) generate?
The free cash flow of Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd is −356M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd (000860) hold?
Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 2.7B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Beijing Shunxin Agriculture Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.