Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd ¥21.60, price ¥37.42, upside -42.3%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range ¥15.69 – ¥64.93 · fair‑value band ¥16.20 – ¥27.01 · the ¥37.42 price screens above the ¥21.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.,Ltd provides cross-border chemical logistics supply chain services in China. It provides hazardous goods storage; dangerous goods domestic transportation and distribution; and integrated supply chain trade services.
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Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.,Ltd provides cross-border chemical logistics supply chain services in China. It provides hazardous goods storage; dangerous goods domestic transportation and distribution; and integrated supply chain trade services. The company also offers warehousing, customs declaration and inspection, documentation services, international shipping and logistics information monitoring, and port services. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Ningbo, China.
Stock analysis
Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228) currently trades at ¥37.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.60, implying the stock looks roughly 73.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥47.10 per share, and 6 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥37.42 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥10.91, and 11 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥16.20 (bear) to ¥27.01 (bull), the price of ¥37.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd reported revenue of 5.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +28.2%/yr. Reported net income was 107M CNY in FY2025, compounding −10.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.9B CNY (≈ $580M) · P/E ratio 37.4 · P/S ratio 0.69 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.00 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −42%, 001228 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥16.20Fair Value ¥21.60Bull ¥27.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2937 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+48.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 5%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001228
Frequently asked questions
Is Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥21.60 versus a price of ¥37.42, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001228?
Our model-based fair value for Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd is ¥21.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥37.42.
What is the quality score of 001228?
Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥21.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥16.20, optimistic scenario ¥27.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥21.60, about −42% upside versus a price of ¥37.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥16.20, optimistic scenario ¥27.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd pay a dividend?
Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd it is ¥21.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥37.42. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 001228 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥37.42, fair value ¥21.60, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 001228?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥37.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥21.60). For Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd the two are ¥15.82 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd worth?
The market values Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd at about 3.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥37.42; our models calculate a fair value of ¥21.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 001228?
Our models span a range for Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd: cautious scenario ¥16.20, base ¥21.60, optimistic ¥27.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥37.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 001228?
Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥21.60 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 8.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 001228 from its 52-week high?
Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd trades at ¥37.42, at its 52-week high of ¥37.42 and 62% above the low of ¥23.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥21.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥37.42, calculated fair value ¥21.60 (−42%), Quality Score 46/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 001228 calculated?
We run Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥21.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥37.42. Our model-based fair value is ¥21.60, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥27.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
The market capitalisation of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd is 3.9B CNY (≈ $580M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd is 0.69 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
Earnings per share at Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd are ¥1.00 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
The dividend yield of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd is 1.6% (payout 60.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
The net margin of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd is 1.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd is 10.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
The operating margin of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
Revenue at Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd is growing −8.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228)?
Earnings per share at Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd are growing −8.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228) generate?
The free cash flow of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd is −1.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd (001228) carry?
The net debt of Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.Ltd is 1.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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