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Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co (002125) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 12.9B CNY

XE Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co 002125 · SHE
Price¥12.54
Fair Value¥5.40
Upside-56.9%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.60% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/14)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.45 – ¥6.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +1.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 57% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.45 to ¥6.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥23.25 ¥6.30 Fair Value ¥5.40 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.30 – ¥23.25 · fair‑value band ¥3.45 – ¥6.97 · the ¥12.54 price screens above the ¥5.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co (002125) currently trades at ¥12.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.40, implying the stock looks roughly 56.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co generated revenue of 1.9B CNY at a net margin of 13.9%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at 545M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.45 (bear case) to ¥6.97 (bull case); at ¥12.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -57%, 002125 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.49 ¥4.32 ¥7.23 80
Residual Income ¥4.10 ¥4.34 ¥4.68 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.24 ¥4.00 ¥6.09 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.46 ¥4.32 ¥7.29 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.76 ¥11.33 ¥18.59 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.24 ¥4.01 ¥6.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.29 ¥6.01 ¥9.27 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.21 ¥5.86 ¥8.72 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.21 ¥3.85 ¥6.15 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.96 ¥5.27 ¥8.49 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.91 ¥5.16 ¥8.06 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.44 ¥8.68 ¥11.70 54
Lynch FV ¥2.04 ¥2.92 ¥3.79 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.04 ¥2.92 ¥3.79 46
EPV ¥1.59 ¥1.95 ¥2.25 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.89 ¥3.92 ¥6.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.89 ¥3.31 ¥4.11 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.57 ¥6.09 ¥7.61 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.43 ¥4.58 ¥5.72 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.57 ¥6.09 ¥7.61 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.66 ¥3.72 ¥4.78 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.19 ¥5.75 ¥7.32 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.24 ¥3.41 ¥4.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.51 ¥3.36 ¥5.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.49 ¥4.32 ¥7.23 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.24 ¥4.00 ¥6.09 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.10 ¥4.34 ¥4.68 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.59 ¥1.95 ¥2.25 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.45 ¥4.93 ¥6.41 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.16) versus Economic Profit (¥1.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.3%
Net margin 13.9%
Return on equity 7.8%
Free cash flow 159M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 49.9
More key figures
Operating margin 5.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4100
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +75.0%
Net debt 545M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of battery materials.

Full company description

Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of battery materials. The company offers C-Zn battery grade, mercury-free alkaline manganese, primary lithium manganese, material level for lithium manganese oxide, and high-performance batteries; and new energy battery materials, such as lithium manganate, manganese tetroxide, and manganese sulfate. It also engages in urban sewage and industrial wastewater treatment, sludge treatment, and application and development of utility technology activities, as well as provides related technical services. In addition, the company trades in ferromanganese alloys, electrolytic manganese metal, primary and secondary battery materials, manganese dioxide, manganese tetroxide, catalyst, discharge manganese, manganese carbonate ore, oxidized manganese ore, fund tray trading, etc. It also exports its products to various countries, including America, Japan, the European Union, and Southeast Asia. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Xiangtan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co reported revenue of ¥1.9B in FY2025 versus ¥1.9B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥225M in FY2025, compounding −1.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+9.3%
Revenue +0.7%/yr
FY21 ¥1.9B
FY22 ¥2.1B
FY23 ¥2.2B
FY24 ¥1.9B
FY25 ¥1.9B
Net income −1.3%/yr
FY21 ¥238M
FY22 ¥394M
FY23 ¥352M
FY24 ¥315M
FY25 ¥225M

002125 screens 57% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002125

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −57% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 49.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.70× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 12.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 36.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 2 · sector 20
PAST 31 · sector 19
HEALTH 85 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 12 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co (002125) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.40 versus a price of ¥12.54, about −57% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002125?
Our model-based fair value for Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co is ¥5.40 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.54.
What is the quality score of 002125?
Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co (002125)?
Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002125?
The net profit margin of Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co is about 13.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co pay a dividend?
Xiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.60% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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