Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group (002160) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 4.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥1.34 to ¥1.14 (−14.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +8.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.64 – ¥7.25 · fair‑value band ¥0.8600 – ¥1.43 · the ¥3.93 price screens above the ¥1.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group (002160) currently trades at ¥3.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.14, implying the stock looks roughly 71.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group generated revenue of 8.5B CNY at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. Net debt stands at 2.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.8600 (bear case) to ¥1.43 (bull case); at ¥3.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at -71%, 002160 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.44) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.7000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group Co., Ltd. provides industrial heat transfer materials, heat transfer equipment, and comprehensive solutions in China and internationally.
Full company description
Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group Co., Ltd. provides industrial heat transfer materials, heat transfer equipment, and comprehensive solutions in China and internationally. It offers automotive/industrial heat treatment and heat transfer system solutions, such as cooling systems, thermal and sound insulation materials, car air conditioning systems, battery cooling systems, and automobile power battery shells; new energy products comprising lithium-ion batteries and water-cooling plates; conditioning heat exchange solutions, such as light foils and hydrophilic coated aluminum foils; and clean energy solutions that include design consulting services, clean engineering services, clean industrial equipment, and clean engineering materials. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group Co., Ltd. in May 2019. Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Changshu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group reported revenue of ¥8.5B in FY2025 versus ¥6.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥69.5M in FY2025, compounding −9.6%/yr from FY2021.
002160 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →
Peer Group
Aluminum · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥18.54 | ¥26.70 | +44% |
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.54 | HK$45.53 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹955.80 | ₹1,026 | +7% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥8.11 | ¥12.58 | +55% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 84.96 | kr 58.10 | -32% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 8.02 MYR | 3.88 MYR | -52% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$70.60 | A$49.53 | -30% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥25.12 | ¥29.68 | +18% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥25.51 | ¥30.28 | +19% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥11.99 | ¥21.86 | +82% |
Compare Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group (002160) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 002160?
What is the quality score of 002160?
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group (002160)?
What is the net profit margin of 002160?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Jiangsu Alcha Aluminium Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.