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Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co (002215) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 10.1B CNY

SN Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co 002215 · SHE
Price¥9.14
Fair Value¥11.01
Upside+20.5%
Quality59/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.13% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.68 – ¥14.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +6.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥6.68 to ¥14.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥12.95 ¥4.43 Fair Value ¥11.01 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.43 – ¥12.95 · fair‑value band ¥6.68 – ¥14.23 · the ¥9.14 price screens below the ¥11.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co (002215) currently trades at ¥9.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.01, implying the stock looks roughly 20.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co generated revenue of 6.3B CNY at a net margin of 12.3%. Revenue grew 25.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.6%. Net debt stands at 2.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.68 (bear case) to ¥14.23 (bull case); at ¥9.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 20%, 002215 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.19 ¥6.47 ¥10.32 80
Residual Income ¥4.28 ¥5.35 ¥11.74 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.18 ¥10.48 ¥16.02 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.21 ¥6.69 ¥10.99 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.46 ¥1.72 ¥2.18 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.18 ¥10.66 ¥16.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.89 ¥18.30 ¥29.01 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥7.29 ¥12.95 ¥19.48 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.28 ¥9.32 ¥15.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.95 ¥14.92 ¥25.87 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥6.23 ¥11.00 ¥17.90 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.40 ¥20.33 ¥27.92 54
Lynch FV ¥5.35 ¥7.65 ¥9.94 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.35 ¥7.65 ¥9.94 46
EPV ¥10.10 ¥11.60 ¥12.90 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.87 ¥8.04 ¥12.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.87 ¥6.78 ¥8.44 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.25 ¥11.01 ¥13.76 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.48 ¥8.63 ¥10.79 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.25 ¥11.01 ¥13.76 55
EV/EBIT ¥12.12 ¥15.78 ¥19.44 53
EV/EBITDA ¥13.54 ¥17.68 ¥21.81 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.18 ¥9.77 ¥12.37 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.07 ¥2.78 ¥4.14 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.19 ¥6.47 ¥10.32 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.18 ¥10.48 ¥16.02 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.28 ¥5.35 ¥11.74 76
ROIC Compounder ¥11.20 ¥14.33 ¥18.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.66 ¥10.95 ¥14.23 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥11.01) versus Asset-Based (¥2.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.2%
Net margin 12.3%
Return on equity 15.6%
Free cash flow 240M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.0
More key figures
Operating margin 29.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7700
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +20.6%
Net debt 2.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co., Ltd. researches and develops, manufactures, distributes, and provides technical services for pesticides and fertilizers in China and internationally.

Full company description

Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co., Ltd. researches and develops, manufactures, distributes, and provides technical services for pesticides and fertilizers in China and internationally. The company offers pesticide preparations and fresh food consumption products insecticides, such as fungicides, herbicides; and fresh food consumption that includes blueberries, dragon fruit, and bird's nest fruit. It operates its own brands, such as Noposion, Ruidefeng, Biogen, Royal, Jophne, and Xinnongdazheng. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Noposion Agrochemicals Co.,Ltd and changed its name to Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co., Ltd. in June 2023. Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co reported revenue of ¥5.8B in FY2025 versus ¥4.5B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥650M in FY2025, compounding +20.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+21.7%
Revenue +6.5%/yr
FY21 ¥4.5B
FY22 ¥4.3B
FY23 ¥4.1B
FY24 ¥5.3B
FY25 ¥5.8B
Net income +20.8%/yr
FY21 ¥305M
FY22 ¥328M
FY23 ¥236M
FY24 ¥585M
FY25 ¥650M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002215

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +21% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.60× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.67× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 61 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 37
PAST 62 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 63 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co (002215) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.01 versus a price of ¥9.14, about +20% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002215?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co is ¥11.01 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.14.
What is the quality score of 002215?
Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co (002215)?
Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002215?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co is about 12.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Noposion Crop Science Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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