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Lianhe Chemical Technology Co (002250) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 12.7B CNY

LC Lianhe Chemical Technology Co 002250 · SHE
Price¥16.57
Fair Value¥6.84
Upside-58.7%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.39% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.13 – ¥8.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥7.27 to ¥6.84 (−5.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +11.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥28.49 ¥4.47 Fair Value ¥6.84 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.47 – ¥28.49 · fair‑value band ¥5.13 – ¥8.55 · the ¥16.57 price screens above the ¥6.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Lianhe Chemical Technology Co (002250) currently trades at ¥16.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.84, implying the stock looks roughly 58.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Lianhe Chemical Technology Co generated revenue of 6.9B CNY at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue grew 30.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. Net debt stands at 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.13 (bear case) to ¥8.55 (bull case); at ¥16.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -59%, 002250 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥8.86 ¥15.33 ¥25.87 80
Residual Income ¥5.79 ¥5.91 ¥5.80 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.24 ¥10.55 ¥15.89 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.83 ¥15.61 ¥26.78 38
Owner Earnings ¥10.28 ¥18.07 ¥30.91 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.24 ¥10.56 ¥16.18 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.80 ¥17.60 ¥27.10 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.48 ¥9.04 ¥12.90 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.86 ¥11.16 ¥17.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.37 ¥16.21 ¥26.06 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥6.56 ¥10.07 ¥14.61 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.74 ¥10.95 ¥14.88 54
Lynch FV ¥2.72 ¥3.89 ¥5.06 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.72 ¥3.89 ¥5.06 46
EPV ¥4.45 ¥5.33 ¥6.10 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.35 ¥2.80 ¥4.45 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.35 ¥2.37 ¥2.94 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.13 ¥6.84 ¥8.55 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.13 ¥6.84 ¥8.55 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.13 ¥6.84 ¥8.55 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.04 ¥8.33 ¥10.62 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.40 ¥15.48 ¥19.57 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.12 ¥7.67 ¥10.23 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.73 ¥5.00 ¥7.46 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥8.86 ¥15.33 ¥25.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.24 ¥10.55 ¥15.89 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.79 ¥5.91 ¥5.80 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.45 ¥5.33 ¥6.10 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.25 ¥6.06 ¥7.88 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.16) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +30.0%
Net margin 6.0%
Return on equity 7.0%
Free cash flow 712M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 30.7
More key figures
Operating margin 14.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4600
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +107%
Net debt 1.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lianhe Chemical Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of chemical products in China. It also offers crop protection products, including herbicides, pesticides, fungicides, plant growth regulators, and intermediates; and pharmaceuticals, fine chemicals, and functional chemicals, as well as engineering technology and equipment manufacturing …

Full company description

Lianhe Chemical Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of chemical products in China. It also offers crop protection products, including herbicides, pesticides, fungicides, plant growth regulators, and intermediates; and pharmaceuticals, fine chemicals, and functional chemicals, as well as engineering technology and equipment manufacturing services. Lianhe Chemical Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Taizhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lianhe Chemical Technology Co reported revenue of ¥6.4B in FY2025 versus ¥6.6B in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥362M in FY2025, compounding +3.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+13.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+11.3%
Revenue −0.6%/yr
FY21 ¥6.6B
FY22 ¥7.9B
FY23 ¥6.4B
FY24 ¥5.7B
FY25 ¥6.4B
Net income +3.5%/yr
FY21 ¥315M
FY22 ¥697M
FY23 −¥465M
FY24 ¥103M
FY25 ¥362M

002250 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lianhe Chemical Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002250

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.89× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.85× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 28 · sector 23
HEALTH 89 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 28 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lianhe Chemical Technology Co (002250) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.84 versus a price of ¥16.57, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002250?
Our model-based fair value for Lianhe Chemical Technology Co is ¥6.84 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥16.57.
What is the quality score of 002250?
Lianhe Chemical Technology Co has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lianhe Chemical Technology Co (002250)?
Lianhe Chemical Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002250?
The net profit margin of Lianhe Chemical Technology Co is about 6.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Lianhe Chemical Technology Co pay a dividend?
Lianhe Chemical Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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