Shenzhen New Nanshan Holding (002314) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CN · Market cap 6.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +5.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 88% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥2.89). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥2.89 to ¥6.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.85 – ¥6.32 · fair‑value band ¥2.89 – ¥6.18 · the ¥2.09 price screens below the ¥3.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen New Nanshan Holding (002314) currently trades at ¥2.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.93, implying the stock looks roughly 88.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen New Nanshan Holding generated revenue of 10.4B CNY at a net margin of -22.7%. Revenue declined 66.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.0%. Net debt stands at 13.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.89 (bear case) to ¥6.18 (bull case); at ¥2.09, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 88%, 002314 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥9.03) versus Asset-Based (¥1.70). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen New Nanshan Holding (Group) Co., Ltd. operates in the real estate development, and warehousing and logistics businesses in China.
Full company description
Shenzhen New Nanshan Holding (Group) Co., Ltd. operates in the real estate development, and warehousing and logistics businesses in China. The company involved in the development of residential, industrial, and commercial real estate projects; development and operation of logistics parks; engineering, procurement, and construction; photovoltaic, and wind power generation business; offshore engineering; and offshore and onshore general contracting, including design, procurement, and construction. It also invests, develops, constructs, and operates management of modern logistics centers, as well as provides high-end warehousing, intelligent warehouse distribution, distribution processing, logistics value-added, green distribution, other comprehensive modern logistics, and supply chain business services. In addition, the company provides management output, cold chain logistics, and supply chain finance; and regional industrial development planning, urban supporting construction, industrial resource integration, and intelligent operation for target urban agglomerations, as well as new energy, manufacturing, and petroleum logistics services. Further, the company engages in the investment, development, construction, and operation of clean energy power stations; research and development, design, production, and sale of ship outfitting, as well as provides engineering technical services; development and operation of various light steel structure integrated houses, and other products, such as packing and folding boxes, modular buildings, special containers, and prefabricated houses. The company was formerly known as Yahgee Modular House Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shenzhen New Nanshan Holding (Group) Co., Ltd. in November 2015. Shenzhen New Nanshan Holding (Group) Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China. Shenzhen New Nanshan Holding (Group) Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of China Nanshan Development (Group) Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen New Nanshan Holding reported revenue of ¥13.1B in FY2025 versus ¥11.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥2.0B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 129.20 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 68.75 THB | 71.37 THB | +4% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,733 | ₹645.21 | -63% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹2,076 | ₹701.74 | -66% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 50.42 | kr 70.70 | +40% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 16.39 SAR | 11.62 SAR | -29% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.89 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥19.95 | ¥4.60 | -77% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,940 CLP | 2,777 CLP | -30% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 53.94 MXN | -9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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