Glodon Company (002410) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 14.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥6.97 to ¥4.90 (−29.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +16.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.02 – ¥59.16 · fair‑value band ¥3.68 – ¥6.13 · the ¥9.39 price screens above the ¥4.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Glodon Company (002410) currently trades at ¥9.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.90, implying the stock looks roughly 47.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Glodon Company generated revenue of 6.0B CNY at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue declined 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.68 (bear case) to ¥6.13 (bull case); at ¥9.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -48%, 002410 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.33) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Glodon Company Limited provides digital building platform services to the construction industry in China. The company offers TAS & TRB for architecture, structure, and rebar; TBQ, a 5D BIM digital cost estimation and management solution; Gsite, a centralized platform for construction management; TMEC, a 5D BIM quantity takeoff for mechanical and electrical; …
Full company description
Glodon Company Limited provides digital building platform services to the construction industry in China. The company offers TAS & TRB for architecture, structure, and rebar; TBQ, a 5D BIM digital cost estimation and management solution; Gsite, a centralized platform for construction management; TMEC, a 5D BIM quantity takeoff for mechanical and electrical; CAD reader, a Dwg viewer and measurement tool; MagiCAD cloud for MEP design; PlanForm, a PDF solution for construction; municipal quantity takeoff; BIMSpace MEP detailed design; Glodon labor management system, smart formwork, smart crane guardian, material management, NOVA design architecture, and NOVADesign GJW solutions; building performance analysis platform; DecoCost 2026, a software built on a self-developed AI platform; Power Tunnel Design; sponge city design software; and BIM+Smart construction site solutions. It also provides Gwork collaboration platform; BIMSpace architecture, an architecture BIM design software; BIMSpace Electromechanical; BIM design management platform, a collaborative management platform for design organizations; BIMMAKE, which generates building information modeling; Heating Pipelines Design; HVAC design software; InfraFuser, a multi-discipline comprehensive infrastructure design system; Urban Road Design; ZPlan; Eroad Suite, a road BIM design software; and BIMSpace structure, a structural construction drawing design and review software. In addition, the company offers 5D BIM digital cost management; digital construction; digital city; architecture design integrated; client-cloud big data integrated; and digital design review solutions. The company was formerly known as Glodon Software Company Limited and changed its name to Glodon Company Limited in June 2016. Glodon Company Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Glodon Company reported revenue of ¥6.1B in FY2025 versus ¥5.6B in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥405M in FY2025, compounding −11.5%/yr from FY2021.
002410 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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