Kingenta Ecological Engineering Group (002470) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 7.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +0.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.4400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.20 – ¥3.60 · fair‑value band ¥0.2700 – ¥0.4400 · the ¥1.95 price screens above the ¥0.4400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Kingenta Ecological Engineering Group (002470) currently trades at ¥1.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4400, implying the stock looks roughly 77.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kingenta Ecological Engineering Group generated revenue of 10.5B CNY at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 25.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.6%. Net debt stands at 2.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.2700 (bear case) to ¥0.4400 (bull case); at ¥1.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -77%, 002470 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥0.5600) versus Growth Earnings (¥0.1400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kingenta Ecological Engineering Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, research, develops, produces, and sells agricultural fertilizers and raw materials in China. The company offers various products, such as compound, phosphate, controlled-release, nitro, water soluble, and microbial fertilizers.
Full company description
Kingenta Ecological Engineering Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, research, develops, produces, and sells agricultural fertilizers and raw materials in China. The company offers various products, such as compound, phosphate, controlled-release, nitro, water soluble, and microbial fertilizers. It also trades, imports, and exports chemical fertilizers, raw materials, pesticides, herbicides, foliar fertilizers, and bio stimulants. In addition, the company engages in phosphogypsum products; technical services; investment consulting; phosphate mining; technology and technical development; agricultural and business investment; agricultural services; investment; technical training; food production and processing; planting; financing; soil remediation technology; sale of culture media and plant protection products; and lease activities. The company was formerly known as Shandong Kingenta Ecological Engineering Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Kingenta Ecological Engineering Group Co., Ltd. in February 2014. Kingenta Ecological Engineering Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Linyi, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kingenta Ecological Engineering Group reported revenue of ¥9.9B in FY2025 versus ¥9.3B in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥34.6M in FY2025.
002470 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →
Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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