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Kuang-Chi Technologies Co (002625) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 59.5B CNY

KC Kuang-Chi Technologies Co 002625 · SHE
Price¥30.59
Fair Value¥7.01
Upside-77.1%
Quality52/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 32.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.13% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.01 – ¥8.67 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +1.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.67). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥57.50 ¥10.31 Fair Value ¥7.01 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.31 – ¥57.50 · fair‑value band ¥5.01 – ¥8.67 · the ¥30.59 price screens above the ¥7.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Kuang-Chi Technologies Co (002625) currently trades at ¥30.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.01, implying the stock looks roughly 77.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kuang-Chi Technologies Co generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of 32.5%. Revenue grew 40.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 4.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.01 (bear case) to ¥8.67 (bull case); at ¥30.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -77%, 002625 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.17 ¥4.19 ¥6.23 80
Residual Income ¥3.67 ¥3.89 ¥4.18 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.64 ¥5.51 ¥8.43 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.24 ¥3.97 ¥6.24 38
Owner Earnings ¥3.62 ¥5.69 ¥10.02 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.64 ¥5.13 ¥8.15 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.45 ¥8.92 ¥15.51 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.83 ¥11.05 ¥18.09 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.45 ¥5.46 ¥7.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.82 ¥9.11 ¥17.56 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.09 ¥9.87 ¥18.72 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.17 ¥15.12 ¥21.22 54
Lynch FV ¥5.01 ¥7.16 ¥9.31 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.01 ¥7.16 ¥9.31 46
EPV ¥4.91 ¥5.40 ¥5.82 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.13 ¥4.44 ¥7.04 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.13 ¥3.74 ¥4.66 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.78 ¥6.38 ¥7.97 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.78 ¥2.37 ¥2.97 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.07 ¥5.42 ¥6.78 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.75 ¥8.34 ¥9.92 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.27 ¥7.69 ¥9.11 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.67 ¥4.38 ¥5.09 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.23 ¥2.99 ¥4.47 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.17 ¥4.19 ¥6.23 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.64 ¥5.51 ¥8.43 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.67 ¥3.89 ¥4.18 76
ROIC Compounder ¥5.34 ¥6.77 ¥7.99 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.50 ¥9.28 ¥12.07 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥9.28) versus Asset-Based (¥2.99). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +40.3%
Net margin 32.5%
Return on equity 7.6%
Free cash flow 160M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 113.6
More key figures
Operating margin 33.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3300
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +14.3%
Net cash 4.5B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kuang-Chi Technologies Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of metamaterial cutting-edge equipment products in China. It serves railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and other transportation equipment manufacturing industries. The company was formerly known as Zhejiang Longsheng Auto Parts Co., Ltd.

Full company description

Kuang-Chi Technologies Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of metamaterial cutting-edge equipment products in China. It serves railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and other transportation equipment manufacturing industries. The company was formerly known as Zhejiang Longsheng Auto Parts Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Kuang-Chi Technologies Co., Ltd. in June 2017. Kuang-Chi Technologies Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kuang-Chi Technologies Co reported revenue of ¥2.0B in FY2025 versus ¥859M in FY2021, a compound +24.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥687M in FY2025, compounding +26.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+31.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+20.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+26.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+19.2%
Revenue +24.2%/yr
FY21 ¥859M
FY22 ¥1.2B
FY23 ¥1.5B
FY24 ¥1.6B
FY25 ¥2.0B
Net income +26.1%/yr
FY21 ¥271M
FY22 ¥377M
FY23 ¥583M
FY24 ¥652M
FY25 ¥687M

002625 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kuang-Chi Technologies Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002625

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 40% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 83.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.18× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 27.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 55.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 60.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 47
PAST 30 · sector 39
HEALTH 99 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.25 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kuang-Chi Technologies Co (002625) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.01 versus a price of ¥30.59, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002625?
Our model-based fair value for Kuang-Chi Technologies Co is ¥7.01 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥30.59.
What is the quality score of 002625?
Kuang-Chi Technologies Co has a Quality Score of 52/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kuang-Chi Technologies Co (002625)?
Kuang-Chi Technologies Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002625?
The net profit margin of Kuang-Chi Technologies Co is about 32.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kuang-Chi Technologies Co pay a dividend?
Kuang-Chi Technologies Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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