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Valiant Co (002643) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 15.3B CNY

VC Valiant Co 002643 · SHE
Price¥14.15
Fair Value¥5.28
Upside-62.7%
Quality59/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.78% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.96 – ¥6.60 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥5.74 to ¥5.28 (−8.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −30.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥24.07 ¥7.61 Fair Value ¥5.28 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.61 – ¥24.07 · fair‑value band ¥3.96 – ¥6.60 · the ¥14.15 price screens above the ¥5.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Valiant Co (002643) currently trades at ¥14.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.28, implying the stock looks roughly 62.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Valiant Co generated revenue of 3.9B CNY at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 17.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 319M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.96 (bear case) to ¥6.60 (bull case); at ¥14.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -63%, 002643 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.22 ¥8.86 ¥14.83 80
Residual Income ¥5.82 ¥5.80 ¥5.25 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.42 ¥7.44 ¥11.20 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.21 ¥9.05 ¥15.44 38
Owner Earnings ¥0.5000 ¥0.9600 ¥1.71 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.42 ¥7.48 ¥11.53 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.55 ¥11.73 ¥18.09 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.05 ¥6.74 ¥9.70 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.51 ¥7.46 ¥11.75 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.04 ¥10.51 ¥17.07 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.41 ¥6.93 ¥10.28 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.11 ¥8.69 ¥11.83 54
Lynch FV ¥2.19 ¥3.12 ¥4.06 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.19 ¥3.12 ¥4.06 46
EPV ¥4.81 ¥5.63 ¥6.35 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.33 ¥2.76 ¥4.38 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.33 ¥2.33 ¥2.90 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.96 ¥5.28 ¥6.60 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.96 ¥5.28 ¥6.60 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.96 ¥5.28 ¥6.60 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.92 ¥7.94 ¥9.95 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.93 ¥10.61 ¥13.29 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.13 ¥5.96 ¥7.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.90 ¥5.22 ¥7.79 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.22 ¥8.86 ¥14.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.42 ¥7.44 ¥11.20 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.82 ¥5.80 ¥5.25 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.81 ¥5.63 ¥6.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.35 ¥4.78 ¥6.22 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.46) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.33). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.9%
Net margin 7.6%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow 396M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 52.2
More key figures
Operating margin 13.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3200
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +11.1%
Net debt 319M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Valiant Co.,Ltd. research, develops, produces and sells chemical materials worldwide. The company provides LCD, OLED, cyclohexane materials, photoresist monomer, PAG, polymers, specialty chemicals, and polyimide monomer; and environmental protection materials, including automobile exhausts purification materials, flue gas denitrification, VOCs adsorption, …

Full company description

Valiant Co.,Ltd. research, develops, produces and sells chemical materials worldwide. The company provides LCD, OLED, cyclohexane materials, photoresist monomer, PAG, polymers, specialty chemicals, and polyimide monomer; and environmental protection materials, including automobile exhausts purification materials, flue gas denitrification, VOCs adsorption, methanol to olefin, petroleum cracking materials, new energy materials, energy-saving lighting materials, organic solar technology, other supporting materials for new energy vehicles, etc. It also offers electrolyte additives for lithium batteries and perovskite solar cell materials. In addition, the company offers API, pharmaceutical intermediates, pharmaceutical formulations, Chinese medicine, and nutrition and health foods; life science products related to drug development, genomics, proteomics, metabonomics, food safety analysis, etc.; and diagnostic reagent products used for the diagnosis of human diseases, such as AIDS, hepatitis, cancer, dengue, fever, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, etc., as well as for the detection of drug abuse, endocrine levels, and other human conditions. Valiant Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as Yantai Valiant Fine Chemicals Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Valiant Co.,Ltd. in May 2015. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Yantai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Valiant Co reported revenue of ¥3.7B in FY2025 versus ¥4.4B in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥284M in FY2025, compounding −17.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+12.1%
Revenue −3.9%/yr
FY21 ¥4.4B
FY22 ¥5.1B
FY23 ¥4.3B
FY24 ¥3.7B
FY25 ¥3.7B
Net income −17.9%/yr
FY21 ¥627M
FY22 ¥721M
FY23 ¥763M
FY24 ¥246M
FY25 ¥284M

002643 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Valiant Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002643

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 52.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.14× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.95× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 17.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 90 · sector 20
PAST 20 · sector 19
HEALTH 91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 16 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Valiant Co (002643) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.28 versus a price of ¥14.15, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002643?
Our model-based fair value for Valiant Co is ¥5.28 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.15.
What is the quality score of 002643?
Valiant Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Valiant Co (002643)?
Valiant Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002643?
The net profit margin of Valiant Co is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Valiant Co pay a dividend?
Valiant Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.78% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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